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South Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 30 31 61
2 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 34 46 80
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 42 48 90
4 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 56 36 92
5 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 58 42 100
6 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 71 66 137
7 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 68 75 143
8 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 94 116 210
9 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 109 105 214
10 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 113 116 229
11 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 119 123 242
12 Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 142 132 274
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 3 4 1 1 1 1 2 5 1 3 3 30 Sean Segerblom '20
Meaghan Macrae '18
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 1 5 3 3 3 2 1 2 6 4 1 34 Andrew Sheerin '19
Matthew Homa '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 4 1 7 4 2 6 7 1 3 1 2 42 Jeremy Herrin '18
Carter Little '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 8 3 2 6 6 3 5 3 4 5 9 56 Edmund Cooper '17
Kaisey Mccallion '19
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 7 5 7 6 5 4 5 4 4 2 2 7 58 Maximilian Kuester '18
Dario Abou Rjeili '20
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 2 8 4 9 7 4 3 8 5 7 10 68 Colin Suvak '19
Colleen Roney '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 6 7 2 5 2 5 9 10 6 8 6 5 71 Vir Menon '20 [1-12]
Mackenzie Conner '20 [1-6, 9-12]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [7-8]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 8 6 11 9 7 8 8 8 7 7 9 6 94 Ava Haag '21
Ann Bell '20
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 10 9 10 8 11 10 7 9 9 11 11 4 109 Christopher Magno '22
Gustav Berner '21
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 11 12 6 11 10 9 11 6 11 10 8 8 113 Patrick Mazzeo '18 [1-6]
Miguel Monllor '21 [7-12]
Alexander Holderness '21 [1-6]
Patrick Mazzeo '18 [7-12]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 9 11 9 10 8 11 10 11 10 9 10 11 119 Natalie Jones '20
Ryan Howard '20
Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 12 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 142
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 3 4 1 2 2 4 1 5 3 4 31 Roger Dorr '18
Haley Shea '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 2 4 1 4 3 1 2 7 7 1 1 36 Dane Byerly '20
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 4 2 3 5 5 3 1 2 4 4 7 42 Luca Taglialegne '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 6 5 6 5 2 1 4 3 5 1 5 3 46 Derek Poon Tip '19
Shira Golub '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 7 6 1 2 3 4 7 5 3 3 2 5 48 Dreugh Phillips '21
Elleanor Wells '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 5 3 5 6 8 6 6 7 4 8 6 2 66 Spencer Charney '20 [1-12]
Henry Clune '21 [1-8]
Aerin Gilday '21 [9-12]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 4 8 7 7 6 7 5 6 6 2 8 9 75 Julia Gowell '18 [1-12]
Connor Segal '20 [1-8]
Katherine Green '19 [9-12]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 10 7 10 9 7 12 9 8 8 10 7 8 105 Reid Shanabrook '22
Xan Palmer '20
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 8 9 8 10 10 10 11 11 10 9 10 10 116 Nina Willms '20
Elizabeth Plaster '20
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 11 11 12 11 11 8 10 10 9 6 11 6 116 Charles Debski '19
Genevieve Lee '20
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 9 10 9 12 12 9 8 9 11 11 12 11 123 Ryan Dorsey '20
Matthew Nicholson '18
Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 12 12 11 8 9 11 12 12 12 12 9 12 132
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials221112121111101099
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas334455667788
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates4433221112121111
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD55667788991010
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps991010111112121122
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs665544332211
SeagullsSeagulls Seagulls778899101011111212
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks887766554433
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos10109988776655
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1111121211223344
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe121211111010998877

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials221112121111101099
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas334455667788
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates4433221112121111
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD55667788991010
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps991010111112121122
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs665544332211
SeagullsSeagulls Seagulls778899101011111212
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks887766554433
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos10109988776655
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1111121211223344
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe121211111010998877

Conditions — 09/23/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From NNE (14°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1017.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →