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Riley Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 8 10 18
2 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 22 20 42
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 31 16 47
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 45 25 70
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 38 37 75
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 31 55 86
7 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 53 39 92
8 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 30 65 95
9 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 43 56 99
10 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 71 38 109
11 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 69 53 122
12 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 64 71 135
13 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 56 93 149
14 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 85 84 169
15 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 91 79 170
16 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 85 88 173
17 American University American University Eagles 98 89 187
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 8 Andy Reiter '19
Claire Mohun '19
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 5 4 5 2 3 22 Andrew Sheerin '19
Tanner Chapko '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 6 2 3 8 3 8 30 John Lawless '19
Brian Buckley '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 5 3 9 2 8 4 31 Jack Elkin '19
Stephen Guglielmo '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 8 8 3 4 1 31 Jc Hermus '22
Kelly Milliken '21
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 9 5 4 10 6 38 Joshua Paper '20
Kaisey Mccallion '19
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 7 1 6 DSQ 9 43 Luca Taglialegne '20
Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 8 6 12 7 5 7 45 Noah Kelleher '19
Juliana Rustum '20
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 10 4 11 11 7 10 53 Spencer Charney '20 [1-6]
Henry Clune '21 [1-3, 5-6]
Ian O'Connell '20 [4]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11 12 7 12 9 5 56 Kieran Cullen '21
Rachel Mckenzie '22
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 12 10 10 9 12 11 64 Hunter Kahler '21
Kaitlin Brzostek '22
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 13 11 6 14 11 14 69 Christopher Magno '22
Gustav Berner '21
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 16 15 10 6 15 71 Colin Suvak '19 [1-2, 4-6]
Judson Innes '22 [3]
Hannah Lothrop '21 [1-2, 4-6]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 14 14 16 15 14 12 85 Grace Wagner '19
Lauren Wolter '21
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 15 17 14 13 13 13 85 Derek Safieh '21
Rachel Prucnal '20
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 17 13 13 16 15 17 91 Alexander Holderness '21
Sophia Jefferson '21
American University American University Eagles 16 15 DNF 17 16 16 98 Cala Coffman '21 [1-6]
Zoe Gluck '19 [1-3]
Zachary Forrester '20 [4-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 1 1 1 5 1 10 Jack Reiter '22
Gwynie Dunlevy '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 2 2 3 3 4 16 Gray Benson '22
Holly Koerwer '21
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 5 7 3 2 1 2 20 Matt Logue '22
Michael Houllahan '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 3 3 4 6 2 7 25 Macey Mccann '20
Jack Hogan '22
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 4 8 4 7 8 37 Katherine Bennett '22
Allison Gingerich '21
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 4 6 9 10 6 3 38 Katarina Catallo '20
Connor Segal '20
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 8 8 6 7 4 6 39 Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Daniel Hodges '22 [3-4]
Ethan Caldwell '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [3-4]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 7 10 5 8 12 11 53 Reid Shanabrook '22
Olivia Bule '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 9 12 7 9 9 9 55 Hannah Pokorny '21
Gavin Burkhart '20
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 10 15 13 5 8 5 56 Elisabeth Kuester '19
Mercedes Matlock '20
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 13 5 11 14 10 12 65 Clara Guarascio '22
Christian Neuman '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 11 9 10 15 16 10 71 Aidan Molesky '20
Katherine Mooney '22
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 12 14 12 12 13 16 79 Connor Chapin '20 [1-2]
Alba Fernandez '20 [3-6]
Charles Neff '20 [1-2]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 14 11 16 13 15 15 84 Jacob Stoner '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Brown '21 [3-4]
Amanda Kushner '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Howard '20 [3-4]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 16 16 14 17 11 14 88 Chris Lukas '21 [1-2]
Alex Walters '22 [3-6]
Colton Nowakowski '21 [1-2]
Chris Lukas '21 [3-4]
Lauren Wolter '21 [5-6]
American University American University Eagles 17 17 17 11 14 13 89 Jordan Manowitz '21 [1-6]
Zachary Forrester '20 [1-2]
Arin Kaye '21 [3-6]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 15 13 15 16 17 17 93 Tanner Comer '20 [1-6]
Eddy Harris '22 [1-4]
Eli Reese '22 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles113355
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals224466
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains335577
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials446688
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1557799
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 266881010
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates77991111
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners121214141616
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps1414161611
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen131315151717
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 1101012121414
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 29911111313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs8810101212
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks111113131515
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1515171722
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies16161133
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe17172244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles224466
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals335577
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains446688
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials557799
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 166881010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 277991111
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates8810101212
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners131315151717
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps1515171722
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414161611
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 1111113131515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 2101012121414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs9911111313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121214141616
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos16161133
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies17172244
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Cala Coffman '21 [1-6] Zoe Gluck '19 [1-3]
Zachary Forrester '20 [4-6]
Eagles Jordan Manowitz '21 [1-6] Zachary Forrester '20 [1-2]
Arin Kaye '21 [3-6]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Grace Wagner '19 Lauren Wolter '21
Cardinals Chris Lukas '21 [1-2]
Alex Walters '22 [3-6]		 Colton Nowakowski '21 [1-2]
Chris Lukas '21 [3-4]
Lauren Wolter '21 [5-6]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Spencer Charney '20 [1-6] Henry Clune '21 [1-3, 5-6]
Ian O'Connell '20 [4]
Captains Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Daniel Hodges '22 [3-4]		 Ethan Caldwell '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [3-4]
George Washington University George Washington University Andrew Sheerin '19 Tanner Chapko '21
Colonials Matt Logue '22 Michael Houllahan '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Andy Reiter '19 Claire Mohun '19
Hoyas 1 Jack Reiter '22 Gwynie Dunlevy '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Noah Kelleher '19 Juliana Rustum '20
Hoyas 2 Macey Mccann '20 Jack Hogan '22
Hampton University Hampton University Luca Taglialegne '20 Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Pirates Elisabeth Kuester '19 Mercedes Matlock '20
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Jack Elkin '19 Stephen Guglielmo '19
Monarchs Hannah Pokorny '21 Gavin Burkhart '20
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College John Lawless '19 Brian Buckley '21
Privateers 1 Clara Guarascio '22 Christian Neuman '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Hunter Kahler '21 Kaitlin Brzostek '22
Privateers 2 Aidan Molesky '20 Katherine Mooney '22
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Joshua Paper '20 Kaisey Mccallion '19
Seahawks Katherine Bennett '22 Allison Gingerich '21
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Kieran Cullen '21 Rachel Mckenzie '22
Mariners Tanner Comer '20 [1-6] Eddy Harris '22 [1-4]
Eli Reese '22 [5-6]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jc Hermus '22 Kelly Milliken '21
Midshipmen Gray Benson '22 Holly Koerwer '21
University of Maryland University of Maryland Derek Safieh '21 Rachel Prucnal '20
Terps Jacob Stoner '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Brown '21 [3-4]		 Amanda Kushner '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Howard '20 [3-4]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Colin Suvak '19 [1-2, 4-6]
Judson Innes '22 [3]		 Hannah Lothrop '21 [1-2, 4-6]
Wahoos Katarina Catallo '20 Connor Segal '20
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Christopher Magno '22 Gustav Berner '21
Hokies Reid Shanabrook '22 Olivia Bule '21
William and Mary William and Mary Alexander Holderness '21 Sophia Jefferson '21
Tribe Connor Chapin '20 [1-2]
Alba Fernandez '20 [3-6]		 Charles Neff '20 [1-2]

Conditions — 09/08/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1014.9 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From N (359°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1014.9 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn · NE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →