Truxtun Umsted Coed Showcase

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 76 77 153
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 107 65 172
3 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 107 74 181
4 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 105 81 186
5 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 91 111 202
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 120 95 215
7 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 99 130 229
8 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 91 153 244
9 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 119 125 244
10 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 105 181 286
11 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 135 162 297
12 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 174 131 305
13 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 182 134 316
14 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 190 141 331
15 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 164 167 331
16 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 176 178 354
17 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 197 169 366
18 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 183 215 398
19 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 245 255 500
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 1 10 5 5 5 17 1 1 4 15 4 2 4 76 Liam Mccarthy '19 [1-10]
Lewis Cooper '21 [11-14]
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19 [1-10]
Thomas Walker '21 [11-14]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 3 1 4 4 2 6 7 DSQ 6 8 7 4 14 91 Karl Rasmus Sayre '19 [1-14]
Camryn Kennedy '21 [1-10]
Liam Farese '22 [11-14]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 9 11 8 1 6 4 3 5 8 2 6 13 6 9 91 Clark Uhl '19 [1-10]
Phillip Schofield '21 [11-14]
Adeline Sutton '21 [1-10]
Ethan Andersen '20 [11-14]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 9 9 2 14 10 8 10 3 11 1 6 8 5 99 Nicholas Floyd '19 [1-14]
Dana Hackett '20 [1-10]
Tanner Probst '21 [11-14]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 1 2 11 12 15 9 16 4 7 7 2 2 5 12 105 Luca Taglialegne '20
Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 8 4 13 3 2 1 14 17 15 8 9 1 9 1 105 Roberto Stevens '19 [1-10]
Clayton Snyder '22 [11-14]
Cortney Rielly '20 [1-10]
Declan Lombard '21 [11-14]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 4 10 4 6 3 13 4 2 2 18 5 8 15 13 107 Andrew Sheerin '19 [1-10]
Wade Wagner '19 [11-14]
Zachary Lehan '20 [1-10]
Connor West '19 [11-14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 12 DSQ 5 13 1 3 2 3 14 12 3 10 1 8 107 Maxwell Brill '20 [1-13]
Nicholas Gartner '20 [14]
Kimmie Leonard '22 [1-10]
Nicholas Gartner '20 [11-13]
Maxwell Brill '20 [14]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 6 12 11 7 7 10 13 9 1 11 5 14 6 119 Thomas Harden '20 [1-14]
Amanda Engeman '20 [1-10]
Nicholas Salvesen '22 [11-14]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 5 3 14 8 8 7 9 10 10 10 11 12 7 120 Cj Mckenna '23 [1-14]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [1-10]
Walter Henry '23 [11-14]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 13 7 17 7 12 14 11 15 13 3 7 3 11 2 135 Santiago Hirschmann '23
Romain Astie '20
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 17 14 7 8 10 11 5 14 17 16 16 16 10 3 164 Garrett Lawlor '20 [1-8, 11-14]
Adam Krzeszowski '21 [9-10]
Adam Krzeszowski '21 [1-8]
Garrett Lawlor '20 [9-10]
Tanner Comer '20 [11-14]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 18 18 16 10 9 19 1 6 6 17 12 18 13 11 174 Spencer Charney '20 [1-14]
Henry Clune '21 [1-6]
Bailey Hurst '20 [7-12]
Luke Hayes '22 [13-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 15 13 14 17 17 17 9 16 12 15 4 14 3 10 176 John Lawless '19
Brian Buckley '21
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 10 12 18 9 16 6 12 19 4 9 DNF 15 17 15 182 John Whitehead '20 [1-12]
Brett Putnam '22 [13-14]
Delaney Brown '20 [1-12]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 14 8 15 19 11 18 18 8 5 5 14 12 18 18 183 August Sturm '20 [1-14]
Sofia Gambini '19 [1-10, 13-14]
Jake Orhan '21 [11-12]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 16 17 2 16 18 12 13 11 18 13 13 9 16 16 190 Alexander Bowen '20 [1-14]
Sydney Kiedeisch '22 [1-10]
Tucker Braun '22 [11-14]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 11 15 6 18 13 16 15 18 11 14 17 17 7 19 197 Matthew Schryver '20 [1-14]
Samantha Hamilton '19 [1-10]
Shawn Chambers '21 [11-14]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 19 16 19 15 19 15 19 12 16 19 DNF DNS 19 17 245 Paul Hart '19
Eloise Lienert '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 1 2 1 4 15 2 1 12 8 2 4 3 5 65 Connor Bayless '21 [1-14]
Sarah Barkley '19 [1-10]
Sean Linden '21 [11-14]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 9 8 4 3 6 1 6 6 14 3 1 1 4 8 74 Matt Logue '22 [1-10]
Cameron Feves '22 [11-14]
Michael Houllahan '20 [1-10]
Tanner Chapko '21 [11-14]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 12 2 1 9 2 2 12 5 10 5 7 2 1 7 77 Leo Boucher '22 [1-14]
Ashley Wagner '20 [1-10]
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19 [11-12]
Thomas Walker '21 [13-14]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 9 3 2 13 3 1 11 16 2 5 7 2 3 81 Matt Cappetta '19 [1-10]
Brad Seferian '19 [11-14]
Jacqueline Tobin '20 [1-10]
Matt Cappetta '19 [11-14]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 3 5 6 5 6 11 16 1 12 13 3 7 1 95 Thomas Whittemore '23 [1-8]
Gordon Gurnell '22 [9-14]
Lucie Welles '21 [1-4, 9-10]
Walter Henry '23 [5-8]
Thomas Whittemore '23 [11-14]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 6 13 14 7 7 7 3 2 13 4 12 BKD BKD 111 Sebby Turner '20 [1-14]
Patricia Corujo '21 [1-10]
Greg Moore '19 [11-14]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 13 16 12 8 9 5 5 10 15 11 6 5 6 4 125 Colin Richards '20 [1-14]
Rowan Henke '21 [1-10]
Amanda Engeman '20 [11-14]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 14 4 18 7 8 11 4 9 7 1 14 6 18 9 130 Joseph Laforgia '21
Emelia Bartusiak '21
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 8 10 6 10 10 9 8 13 13 6 10 15 11 2 131 Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-14]
Ian O'Connell '20 [1-10, 13-14]
Daniel Hodges '22 [11-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 5 17 5 1 4 9 7 5 19 11 16 14 18 134 Marina Barzaghi '21 [1-14]
Darby Capellin '19 [1-10, 13-14]
Brett Putnam '22 [11-12]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 7 10 4 11 8 3 12 17 9 17 9 12 11 141 Frank Reeg '19 [1-14]
Sydney Clays '21 [1-10]
Thomas Dunn '21 [11-14]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 10 13 9 18 3 13 10 17 4 16 9 8 8 15 153 Samuel Shannon '19 [1-14]
Kim Kusminsky '19 [1-10]
Evan Langford '21 [11-14]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 11 8 16 17 19 14 18 6 15 8 10 5 14 162 Chris Colbeth '20 [1-6, 11-14]
Caleb Niles '22 [7-10]
Alexandra Nygren '20 [1-6, 11-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 15 14 15 14 18 16 8 11 4 16 11 10 13 167 Luke Welker '21 [1-4, 7-14]
Kieran Cullen '21 [5-6]
Zoe Chang '20 [1-6]
Kieran Cullen '21 [7-14]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 16 14 7 13 15 10 19 4 3 17 12 14 13 12 169 Aidan Naughton '22 [1-14]
Alyssa Hall '20 [1-10]
Aaron Wood '21 [11-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 15 18 11 12 18 14 17 14 9 14 3 18 9 6 178 Aidan Molesky '20 [1-8]
Juan Lejarraga '19 [9-14]
Christian Neuman '21 [1-8]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 19 12 16 11 RAF 12 13 2 8 7 19 17 15 10 181 Filip Stevanovic '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 17 19 15 17 12 16 15 15 18 10 15 13 16 17 215 Connor Goulet '21 [1-14]
Sarah Silvestri '19 [1-10, 13-14]
Jake Orhan '21 [11-12]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 18 17 19 19 16 17 18 19 19 18 18 19 19 19 255 Andrew Vernon '20
Haley Wilt '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains113355779911111313
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels22446688101012121414
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red33557799111113131515
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons4466881010121214141616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams5577991111131315151717
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials668810101212141416161818
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates779911111313151517171919
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1212141416161818113355
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers881010121214141616181811
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines14141616181811335577
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1313151517171919224466
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies991111131315151717191922
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers101012121414161618181133
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151717191922446688
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161618181133557799
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls17171919224466881010
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks111113131515171719192244
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts181811335577991111
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen19192244668810101212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains22446688101012121414
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels33557799111113131515
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red4466881010121214141616
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons5577991111131315151717
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams668810101212141416161818
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials779911111313151517171919
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates881010121214141616181811
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1313151517171919224466
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers991111131315151717191922
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines15151717191922446688
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen14141616181811335577
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies101012121414161618181133
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers111113131515171719192244
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers161618181133557799
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams17171919224466881010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls181811335577991111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1212141416161818113355
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts19192244668810101212
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen113355779911111313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Spencer Charney '20 [1-14] Henry Clune '21 [1-6]
Bailey Hurst '20 [7-12]
Luke Hayes '22 [13-14]
Captains Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-14] Ian O'Connell '20 [1-10, 13-14]
Daniel Hodges '22 [11-12]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Cj Mckenna '23 [1-14] Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [1-10]
Walter Henry '23 [11-14]
Camels Thomas Whittemore '23 [1-8]
Gordon Gurnell '22 [9-14]
Lucie Welles '21 [1-4, 9-10]
Walter Henry '23 [5-8]
Thomas Whittemore '23 [11-14]
Cornell University Cornell University Clark Uhl '19 [1-10]
Phillip Schofield '21 [11-14]
Adeline Sutton '21 [1-10]
Ethan Andersen '20 [11-14]
Big Red Sebby Turner '20 [1-14] Patricia Corujo '21 [1-10]
Greg Moore '19 [11-14]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Karl Rasmus Sayre '19 [1-14] Camryn Kennedy '21 [1-10]
Liam Farese '22 [11-14]
Tritons Samuel Shannon '19 [1-14] Kim Kusminsky '19 [1-10]
Evan Langford '21 [11-14]
Fordham University Fordham University Roberto Stevens '19 [1-10]
Clayton Snyder '22 [11-14]
Cortney Rielly '20 [1-10]
Declan Lombard '21 [11-14]
Rams Matt Cappetta '19 [1-10]
Brad Seferian '19 [11-14]
Jacqueline Tobin '20 [1-10]
Matt Cappetta '19 [11-14]
George Washington University George Washington University Andrew Sheerin '19 [1-10]
Wade Wagner '19 [11-14]
Zachary Lehan '20 [1-10]
Connor West '19 [11-14]
Colonials Matt Logue '22 [1-10]
Cameron Feves '22 [11-14]
Michael Houllahan '20 [1-10]
Tanner Chapko '21 [11-14]
Hampton University Hampton University Luca Taglialegne '20 Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Pirates Filip Stevanovic '20 Elisabeth Kuester '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Alexander Bowen '20 [1-14] Sydney Kiedeisch '22 [1-10]
Tucker Braun '22 [11-14]
Buccaneers Frank Reeg '19 [1-14] Sydney Clays '21 [1-10]
Thomas Dunn '21 [11-14]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Santiago Hirschmann '23 Romain Astie '20
Huskies Chris Colbeth '20 [1-6, 11-14]
Caleb Niles '22 [7-10]
Alexandra Nygren '20 [1-6, 11-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College John Lawless '19 Brian Buckley '21
Privateers Aidan Molesky '20 [1-8]
Juan Lejarraga '19 [9-14]
Christian Neuman '21 [1-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Liam Mccarthy '19 [1-10]
Lewis Cooper '21 [11-14]
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19 [1-10]
Thomas Walker '21 [11-14]
Seahawks Leo Boucher '22 [1-14] Ashley Wagner '20 [1-10]
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19 [11-12]
Thomas Walker '21 [13-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Garrett Lawlor '20 [1-8, 11-14]
Adam Krzeszowski '21 [9-10]
Adam Krzeszowski '21 [1-8]
Garrett Lawlor '20 [9-10]
Tanner Comer '20 [11-14]
Mariners Luke Welker '21 [1-4, 7-14]
Kieran Cullen '21 [5-6]
Zoe Chang '20 [1-6]
Kieran Cullen '21 [7-14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Maxwell Brill '20 [1-13]
Nicholas Gartner '20 [14]
Kimmie Leonard '22 [1-10]
Nicholas Gartner '20 [11-13]
Maxwell Brill '20 [14]
Midshipmen Connor Bayless '21 [1-14] Sarah Barkley '19 [1-10]
Sean Linden '21 [11-14]
University of Michigan University of Michigan August Sturm '20 [1-14] Sofia Gambini '19 [1-10, 13-14]
Jake Orhan '21 [11-12]
Wolverines Connor Goulet '21 [1-14] Sarah Silvestri '19 [1-10, 13-14]
Jake Orhan '21 [11-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Nicholas Floyd '19 [1-14] Dana Hackett '20 [1-10]
Tanner Probst '21 [11-14]
Quakers Joseph Laforgia '21 Emelia Bartusiak '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Matthew Schryver '20 [1-14] Samantha Hamilton '19 [1-10]
Shawn Chambers '21 [11-14]
Rams Aidan Naughton '22 [1-14] Alyssa Hall '20 [1-10]
Aaron Wood '21 [11-14]
University of South Florida University of South Florida John Whitehead '20 [1-12]
Brett Putnam '22 [13-14]
Delaney Brown '20 [1-12]
Bulls Marina Barzaghi '21 [1-14] Darby Capellin '19 [1-10, 13-14]
Brett Putnam '22 [11-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Thomas Harden '20 [1-14] Amanda Engeman '20 [1-10]
Nicholas Salvesen '22 [11-14]
Catamounts Colin Richards '20 [1-14] Rowan Henke '21 [1-10]
Amanda Engeman '20 [11-14]
Washington College Washington College Paul Hart '19 Eloise Lienert '20
Shoremen Andrew Vernon '20 Haley Wilt '21

Conditions — 10/20/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1007.3 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From WSW (257°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1007.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · NW 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Navy: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.16 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →