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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 37 42 79
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 62 45 107
3 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 69 72 141
4 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 83 78 161
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 108 62 170
6 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 79 94 173
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 113 77 190
8 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 82 108 190
9 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 89 101 190
10 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 96 116 212
11 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 136 101 237
12 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 141 150 291
13 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 138 161 299
14 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 153 153 306
15 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 201 118 319
16 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 138 188 326
17 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 170 189 359
18 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 161 199 360
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 1 7 2 5 9 1 2 2 1 4 1 37 Greiner Hobbs '18 [1-12]
Kyle Easton '20 [1-6]
Lindsey Kloc '19 [7-12]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 2 5 1 10 1 11 17 1 2 3 6 62 Sean Segerblom '20
Meaghan Macrae '18
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 8 8 10 8 6 3 6 9 3 5 1 2 69 Kai Friesecke '18 [1-12]
Connor West '19 [1-4]
Tanner Chapko '21 [5-6]
Andreea Rainey-Pace '20 [7-12]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 4 10 4 5 7 7 3 6 6 11 5 11 79 Charles Lomax '18 [1-12]
Vincent Storino '18 [1-2, 7-12]
Carrson Pearce '21 [3-6]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 4 3 3 8 10 4 3 14 13 11 3 82 Jeremy Herrin '18
Carter Little '18
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 10 11 2 4 3 4 7 1 9 10 15 7 83 Kyle Comerford '19 [1-12]
Skye Miller '19 [1-2, 5-12]
Andreas Adam '18 [3-4]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 3 6 12 13 6 2 7 4 12 2 15 89 Clark Uhl '19 [1-12]
Ethan Andersen '20 [1-4]
Tara Bergstrom '18 [5-6]
Adeline Sutton '21 [7-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 11 6 8 7 2 5 5 8 7 9 10 18 96 Eduardo Mintzias '21 [1-12]
Lauren Holderman '18 [1-2]
Matt Cappetta '19 [3-4]
William Dumke '20 [5-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 5 14 9 DSQ 1 2 10 4 15 7 12 10 108 Dane Byerly '20 [1-12]
Thomas Walker '21 [1-4]
Kate Bjerregaard '19 [5-6]
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19 [7-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 13 12 6 14 11 12 10 8 4 8 14 113 Gary Prieto '18 [1-12]
Kent Mathes '20 [1-4]
Ana Mier '19 [5-12]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates DSQ 12 1 13 16 DSQ 8 15 5 16 7 5 136 Maximilian Kuester '18
Filip Stevanovic '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 12 9 16 14 11 14 9 5 13 17 14 4 138 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Jeremy Mccauley '20
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 13 7 14 9 4 15 13 14 16 8 17 8 138 Colin Suvak '19
Colleen Roney '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 9 16 11 11 15 8 15 13 11 3 16 13 141 Nicholas Floyd '19 [1-12]
Dana Hackett '20 [1-2, 5-12]
Max Slosburg '19 [3-4]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains DNF 5 13 10 9 13 16 11 17 14 9 17 153 Vir Menon '20 [1-2, 5-12]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [3-4]
Mackenzie Conner '20 [1, 7-12]
Spencer Charney '20 [2]
Vir Menon '20 [3-4]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [5-6]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 15 15 15 15 12 17 17 16 18 6 6 9 161 Madeline Delvescovo '20 [1-12]
Haley Clemson '20 [1-8]
Elizabeth Calio '20 [9-12]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 14 17 18 16 17 12 14 12 10 15 13 12 170 Adam Devita '18
Elizabeth Keeney '19
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 16 BKD 17 17 18 16 18 18 12 18 18 16 201 Harrison Paige '19 [1-2, 7-12]
Curtis Aaron '21 [3-6]
Austin Tipp '18 [1-6, 9-12]
Brooklyn Curtin '20 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 4 8 1 2 1 3 1 13 2 1 1 42 Hector Guzman '20 [1-12]
Noah Barrengos Barrengos '18 [1-4]
Maya Weber '20 [5-12]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 3 4 4 1 5 2 2 3 4 7 8 45 William Logue '20 [1-6]
Roger Dorr '18 [7-12]
Jack Chrysler '20 [1-6]
Haley Shea '19 [7-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 2 2 2 7 7 12 4 7 5 3 7 62 Liam Mccarthy '19 [1-12]
Grace Papp '20 [1-4]
Kira Allen '18 [5-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 9 7 10 3 6 11 1 7 2 1 13 2 72 Andrew Sheerin '19
Matthew Homa '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 6 9 6 5 8 9 6 3 4 12 5 4 77 Peter Hogan '18 [1-12]
Brittney Slook '20 [1-4]
Kelly Milliken '21 [5-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 1 1 6 5 16 4 10 8 9 14 3 78 Zachary Hill '18 [1-12]
Brian Buckley '21 [1-4, 7-12]
Andreas Adam '18 [5-6]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 10 DSQ 9 3 3 11 6 5 8 8 5 94 Ryan Hunter '21 [1-12]
Garrett Lawlor '20 [1-6]
Zoe Chang '20 [7-12]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 14 5 7 12 13 5 11 1 7 6 10 101 Thomas Balk '18 [1-2]
Gerard Eastman '21 [3-12]
Connor Juckniess '18 [1-2]
Tara Bergstrom '18 [3-4]
Diana Otis '19 [5-12]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 13 12 13 16 10 4 8 8 6 3 2 6 101 Luca Taglialegne '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 6 9 10 4 2 7 14 17 14 4 13 108 Jack Elkin '19 [1-12]
Gavin Burkhart '20 [1-4]
Emily Harrison '21 [5-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 8 7 14 15 10 14 5 11 6 9 14 116 Roberto Stevens '19 [1-8]
Matt Cappetta '19 [9-12]
Declan Lombard '21 [1-4]
Cortney Rielly '20 [5-8]
Annika Ekholm '20 [9-12]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 14 11 3 8 9 6 10 9 12 10 11 15 118 Max Gillette '20 [1-12]
John Dyment '18 [1-4, 9-12]
Claire Coppola '21 [5-8]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 11 5 12 15 11 DSQ 13 13 14 11 15 11 150 Joseph Laforgia '21 [1-8, 11-12]
Tanner Probst '21 [9-10]
Tanner Probst '21 [1-4]
Lucy Sergeant '18 [5-12]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 17 15 11 12 14 12 15 15 10 13 10 9 153 Spencer Charney '20 [1-12]
Kaitlyn Reilly '18 [1-2, 7-12]
Anna Patterson '20 [3-4]
Henry Clune '21 [5-6]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 18 18 16 11 13 8 9 12 15 17 12 12 161 Victor Layne '20
Alexander Singh '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 12 13 15 17 17 15 16 16 16 16 18 17 188 Nicholas Manfredi '19 [1-12]
James Gilmore Iii '19 [1-4]
Samantha Zito '18 [5-12]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 16 16 14 13 16 14 17 17 18 15 17 16 189 Nicole Edwards '18
Bailey Fryer '18
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 15 17 17 18 18 17 18 18 9 18 16 18 199 Frederick Piasecki '20 [1-12]
Alison Reed '21 [1-6]
Abigail Proko '20 [7-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11335577991111
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2218181616141412121010
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red3355779911111313
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons44221818161614141212
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams557799111113131515
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials664422181816161414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas77991111131315151717
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates8866442218181616
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen99111113131515171711
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners141412121010886644
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1515171711335577
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers11111313151517171133
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1010886644221818
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers16161414121210108866
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks131315151717113355
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1212101088664422
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1818161614141212101088
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos17171133557799

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains2244668810101212
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions11171715151313111199
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red446688101012121414
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons33111717151513131111
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66881010121214141616
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials553311171715151313
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas8810101212141416161818
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates7755331117171515
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen1010121214141616181822
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1313111199775533
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1616181822446688
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers12121414161618182244
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs99775533111717
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers151513131111997755
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks141416161818224466
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves11119977553311
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats17171515131311119977
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1818224466881010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Vir Menon '20 [1-2, 5-12]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [3-4]		 Mackenzie Conner '20 [1, 7-12]
Spencer Charney '20 [2]
Vir Menon '20 [3-4]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [5-6]
Captains Spencer Charney '20 [1-12] Kaitlyn Reilly '18 [1-2, 7-12]
Anna Patterson '20 [3-4]
Henry Clune '21 [5-6]
Columbia University Columbia University Adam Devita '18 Elizabeth Keeney '19
Lions Nicole Edwards '18 Bailey Fryer '18
Cornell University Cornell University Clark Uhl '19 [1-12] Ethan Andersen '20 [1-4]
Tara Bergstrom '18 [5-6]
Adeline Sutton '21 [7-12]
Big Red Thomas Balk '18 [1-2]
Gerard Eastman '21 [3-12]		 Connor Juckniess '18 [1-2]
Tara Bergstrom '18 [3-4]
Diana Otis '19 [5-12]
Drexel University Drexel University Madeline Delvescovo '20 [1-12] Haley Clemson '20 [1-8]
Elizabeth Calio '20 [9-12]
Dragons Frederick Piasecki '20 [1-12] Alison Reed '21 [1-6]
Abigail Proko '20 [7-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Eduardo Mintzias '21 [1-12] Lauren Holderman '18 [1-2]
Matt Cappetta '19 [3-4]
William Dumke '20 [5-12]
Rams Roberto Stevens '19 [1-8]
Matt Cappetta '19 [9-12]		 Declan Lombard '21 [1-4]
Cortney Rielly '20 [5-8]
Annika Ekholm '20 [9-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Kai Friesecke '18 [1-12] Connor West '19 [1-4]
Tanner Chapko '21 [5-6]
Andreea Rainey-Pace '20 [7-12]
Colonials Andrew Sheerin '19 Matthew Homa '18
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sean Segerblom '20 Meaghan Macrae '18
Hoyas William Logue '20 [1-6]
Roger Dorr '18 [7-12]		 Jack Chrysler '20 [1-6]
Haley Shea '19 [7-12]
Hampton University Hampton University Maximilian Kuester '18 Filip Stevanovic '20
Pirates Luca Taglialegne '20 Elisabeth Kuester '19
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Greiner Hobbs '18 [1-12] Kyle Easton '20 [1-6]
Lindsey Kloc '19 [7-12]
Statesmen Hector Guzman '20 [1-12] Noah Barrengos Barrengos '18 [1-4]
Maya Weber '20 [5-12]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Jeremy Herrin '18 Carter Little '18
Monarchs Jack Elkin '19 [1-12] Gavin Burkhart '20 [1-4]
Emily Harrison '21 [5-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Kyle Comerford '19 [1-12] Skye Miller '19 [1-2, 5-12]
Andreas Adam '18 [3-4]
Privateers Zachary Hill '18 [1-12] Brian Buckley '21 [1-4, 7-12]
Andreas Adam '18 [5-6]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Vidar Minkovsky '18 Jeremy Mccauley '20
Seawolves Nicholas Manfredi '19 [1-12] James Gilmore Iii '19 [1-4]
Samantha Zito '18 [5-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Dane Byerly '20 [1-12] Thomas Walker '21 [1-4]
Kate Bjerregaard '19 [5-6]
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19 [7-12]
Seahawks Liam Mccarthy '19 [1-12] Grace Papp '20 [1-4]
Kira Allen '18 [5-12]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Charles Lomax '18 [1-12] Vincent Storino '18 [1-2, 7-12]
Carrson Pearce '21 [3-6]
Mariners Ryan Hunter '21 [1-12] Garrett Lawlor '20 [1-6]
Zoe Chang '20 [7-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Gary Prieto '18 [1-12] Kent Mathes '20 [1-4]
Ana Mier '19 [5-12]
Midshipmen Peter Hogan '18 [1-12] Brittney Slook '20 [1-4]
Kelly Milliken '21 [5-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Nicholas Floyd '19 [1-12] Dana Hackett '20 [1-2, 5-12]
Max Slosburg '19 [3-4]
Quakers Joseph Laforgia '21 [1-8, 11-12]
Tanner Probst '21 [9-10]		 Tanner Probst '21 [1-4]
Lucy Sergeant '18 [5-12]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Colin Suvak '19 Colleen Roney '18
Wahoos Victor Layne '20 Alexander Singh '19
Villanova University Villanova University Harrison Paige '19 [1-2, 7-12]
Curtis Aaron '21 [3-6]		 Austin Tipp '18 [1-6, 9-12]
Brooklyn Curtin '20 [7-8]
Wildcats Max Gillette '20 [1-12] John Dyment '18 [1-4, 9-12]
Claire Coppola '21 [5-8]

Conditions — 10/28/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1008.6 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.2 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From S (180°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine5.8 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1008.6 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 17 kn · N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hobart & William Sm: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.15 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William Sm by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (30 labelled days at Hobart & William Sm).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →