SUNY Maritime College '19
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keelboat | 1.49 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 38 | Spring 2019 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.62 (fleet 3.62) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 51–102 (33%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 5 | 26–47 | — |
| Spring 2017 | 2 | 3–12 | — |
| Spring 2016 | 3 | 19–30 | — |
| Fall 2015 | 1 | 3–13 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 11 graded regattas (153 matches) the record is 51–102 against 51.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 7 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-07 | Capt. Prosser Trophy - MAISA TR Championship | skipper | 3.10 | 2.20 | 2–19 | 4.2 | −0.90 | 1.3 | 95% |
| 2018-03-31 | Team Race Challenge | skipper | 3.10 | 3.34 | 10–5 | 9.3 | +0.23 | 0.1 | 47% |
| 2018-03-24 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 3.13 | 3.10 | 11–6 | 11.1 | −0.03 | 0.0 | 65% |
| 2018-03-17 | Graham Hall Team Race | skipper | 3.23 | 1.73 | 1–14 | 2.7 | −1.50 | 1.6 | 98% |
| 2018-03-03 | Georgetown Team Race | skipper | 3.18 | 4.03 | 2–3 | 1.2 | +0.85 | 0.5 | 34% |
| 2017-03-25 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 3.08 | 1.86 | 2–5 | 2.8 | −1.22 | 0.6 | 96% |
| 2017-03-11 | John Jackson Memorial Team Race | skipper | 2.83 | 2.20 | 1–7 | 1.6 | −0.63 | 0.3 | 85% |
| 2016-04-09 | MAISA Team Race Championship/Capt. Prosser Trophy | skipper | 3.19 | 3.39 | 4–10 | 3.5 | +0.21 | 0.1 | 49% |
| 2016-03-26 | Aaron Szambecki Team Race | skipper | 3.15 | 3.05 | 7–14 | 7.2 | −0.10 | 0.0 | 69% |
| 2016-03-12 | John Jackson Memorial Team Race | skipper | 3.05 | 4.05 | 8–6 | 5.5 | +1.00 | 1.8 | 10% |
| 2015-11-07 | Hap Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.62 | 3.11 | 3–13 | 2.1 | +0.48 | 0.3 | 36% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat | Skipper | A | 10 | 4.8 | 0.62 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| McMillan Cup Keelboat | Skipper | A | 4 | 2.0 | 2.64 |
| MAISA Match Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Skipper | A | 4 | 2.8 | 1.96 |
| ICSA Match Race National Championship Keelboat | Skipper | A | 1 | 4.0 | — |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Team Race Challenge | Skipper | TR | 15 | 67% | — |
| Navy Spring | Skipper | A | 18 | 11.1 | 3.59 |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 7% | — |
| Georgetown Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 40% | — |
| Capt. Prosser Trophy - MAISA TR Championship | Skipper | TR | 21 | 10% | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 9.0 | 2.83 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 17 | 65% | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.9 | 4.18 |
| St. Mary's Fall InterConference | Skipper | A | 11 | 8.4 | 3.84 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 15 | 7.2 | 4.19 |
| MAISA Match Race Keelboat | Skipper | A | 1 | 6.0 | — |
| Kings Point Dinghy Open | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.5 | 3.61 |
| Atlantic Coast Championships | Skipper | A | 10 | 11.6 | 3.58 |
| 43rd Henry H.Anderson Jr. Trophy | Skipper | A | 16 | 10.4 | 3.23 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| John Jackson Memorial Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 20% | — |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 17% | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial Backup | Skipper | A | 9 | 12.9 | 2.25 |
| St. Mary's Fall Interconference | Skipper | A | 12 | 10.4 | 3.04 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | A | 16 | 12.0 | 3.31 |
| Intrepid Trophy Keelboat | Skipper | A | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| Harry Anderson Jr Trophy | Skipper | A | 15 | 13.1 | 2.43 |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.6 | 3.61 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Navy Spring | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.7 | 3.42 |
| John Jackson Memorial Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| MAISA Team Race Championship/Capt. Prosser Trophy | Skipper | TR | 14 | 29% | — |
| America Trophy/MAISA Dinghy Champs | Skipper | A | 17 | 9.5 | 3.38 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | A | 11 | 13.7 | 2.74 |
| Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 33% | — |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | C | 18 | 11.8 | 2.33 |
| St. Mary's College of MD Fall Interconference | Skipper | B | 16 | 13.0 | 1.92 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | A | 11 | 3.9 | 3.66 |
| MAISA Match Race Championship Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 4.0 | — |
| Harry Anderson | Skipper | A | 15 | 12.1 | 2.92 |
| Hap Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 16 | 19% | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Kyle Comerford |  Annapolis High School |
'15 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
