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Kings Point Dinghy Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 14 15 29
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 17 13 30
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 9 26 35
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 28 13 41
5 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 34 19 53
6 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 24 33 57
7 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 22 45 67
8 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 39 29 68
9 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 31 38 69
10 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 43 26 69
11 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 57 28 85
12 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 42 47 89
13 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 47 43 90
14 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 42 55 97
15 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 36 64 100
16 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 65 52 117
17 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 66 67 133
18 Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 69 71 140
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 1 3 4 9 Andy Reiter '19
Claire Mohun '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 6 3 2 3 14 Jack Marshall '18
Juliana Rustum '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 4 4 6 17 Parker Loftus '20
Sarah Barkley '19
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 5 10 5 2 22 Kyle Comerford '19
Skye Miller '19
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 2 DSQ 1 24 Maximilian Kuester '18
Filip Stevanovic '20
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 7 5 7 9 28 Noah Barrengos Barrengos '18
Cailin Gensler '21
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 9 6 12 31 Tanner Probst '21
Kristen Tilley '19
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11 14 1 8 34 Devin Keister '18
Maddie Talecki '20
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 9 7 10 10 36 Adam Devita '18
Luke Pelessone '18
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 8 13 13 5 39 Ethan Andersen '20
Ana Schonander '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 13 8 8 13 42 Thomas Capozzi '19
Brigid Murphy '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 15 11 9 7 42 Thomas Cooper '19
Paige Hoffman '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 14 6 12 11 43 Brad Seferian '19
Declan Lombard '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 10 12 11 14 47 Juan Lejarraga '19
Brian Buckley '21
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 12 16 14 15 57 Benjamin Kempton '18
Alyssa Walker '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 16 15 16 18 65 Alec Bidwell '21
Muriel Weathers '19
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 17 18 15 16 66 Miranda Burford '20
Elizabeth Cloherty '19
Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 18 17 17 17 69
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 4 3 5 13 Kyle Easton '20
Russell Merchant '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 1 7 1 13 Jimmy Madigan '18
Holly Koerwer '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 2 6 1 6 15 Andrew Person '21
Grace Hanrahan '18
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 7 4 3 19 Kieran Cullen '21
Abigail Brosh '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 3 2 9 12 26 Sam Johnsen '21
Jacqueline Tobin '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 11 3 2 10 26 Noah Kelleher '19 [1-4]
Virginia Valenti '19 [1-2]
Maya Rabinowitz '21 [3-4]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 8 10 8 2 28 Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1, 3-4]
Ian O'Connell '20 [2]
Ian O'Connell '20 [1, 3-4]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [2]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 5 10 4 29 Alex Fowkes '20
Miranda Sannino '20
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 6 8 6 13 33 Luca Taglialegne '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 12 12 5 9 38 Joseph Egan '18
Jenna Weiner '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 7 11 11 14 43 Aidan Molesky '20
Christian Neuman '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 13 13 12 7 45 Alexander Ellis '21
Andreas Adam '18
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 9 16 14 8 47 Eamonn Austin '19
Sarah Jackman '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 14 9 13 16 52 Ben Hunt '21
Robert Maes '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 15 14 15 11 55 Matthew Alfano '21
Emma Archard '18
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 17 15 17 15 64 Charles Johnson '19
Kyelee Fitts '20
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 16 18 16 17 67 Emmet Raichle '21
Samuel Mcarthur '20
Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 18 17 18 18 71
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Black KnightsBlack Knights Black Knights15151919
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1122
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2211
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red3344
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 14433
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 25566
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 36655
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 17788
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 28877
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates991010
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen101099
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners14141313
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen19191515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 111111212
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 212121111
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers17171818
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange13131414
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers18181717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Black KnightsBlack Knights Black Knights15151919
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1122
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2211
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red3344
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 14433
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 25566
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 36655
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 17788
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 28877
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates991010
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen101099
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners14141313
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen19191515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 111111212
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 212121111
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers17171818
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange13131414
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers18181717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Benjamin Kempton '18 Alyssa Walker '21
Captains Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1, 3-4]
Ian O'Connell '20 [2]		 Ian O'Connell '20 [1, 3-4]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [2]
Columbia University Columbia University Adam Devita '18 Luke Pelessone '18
Lions Charles Johnson '19 Kyelee Fitts '20
Cornell University Cornell University Ethan Andersen '20 Ana Schonander '20
Big Red Alex Fowkes '20 Miranda Sannino '20
Fordham University Fordham University Thomas Cooper '19 Paige Hoffman '21
Rams 1 Matthew Alfano '21 Emma Archard '18
Fordham University Fordham University Thomas Capozzi '19 Brigid Murphy '20
Rams 2 Eamonn Austin '19 Sarah Jackman '21
Fordham University Fordham University Brad Seferian '19 Declan Lombard '21
Rams 3 Sam Johnsen '21 Jacqueline Tobin '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Andy Reiter '19 Claire Mohun '19
Hoyas 1 Noah Kelleher '19 [1-4] Virginia Valenti '19 [1-2]
Maya Rabinowitz '21 [3-4]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Jack Marshall '18 Juliana Rustum '20
Hoyas 2 Andrew Person '21 Grace Hanrahan '18
Hampton University Hampton University Maximilian Kuester '18 Filip Stevanovic '20
Pirates Luca Taglialegne '20 Elisabeth Kuester '19
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Noah Barrengos Barrengos '18 Cailin Gensler '21
Statesmen Kyle Easton '20 Russell Merchant '19
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Kyle Comerford '19 Skye Miller '19
Privateers 1 Alexander Ellis '21 Andreas Adam '18
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Juan Lejarraga '19 Brian Buckley '21
Privateers 2 Aidan Molesky '20 Christian Neuman '21
Syracuse University Syracuse University Miranda Burford '20 Elizabeth Cloherty '19
Orange Emmet Raichle '21 Samuel Mcarthur '20
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Devin Keister '18 Maddie Talecki '20
Mariners Kieran Cullen '21 Abigail Brosh '21
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Parker Loftus '20 Sarah Barkley '19
Midshipmen Jimmy Madigan '18 Holly Koerwer '21
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Tanner Probst '21 Kristen Tilley '19
Quakers Joseph Egan '18 Jenna Weiner '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Alec Bidwell '21 Muriel Weathers '19
Clippers Ben Hunt '21 Robert Maes '21

Conditions — 10/21/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1026.6 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From WSW (250°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1026.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn · S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →