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Riley Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 41 55 96
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 52 51 103
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 41 92 133
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 86 52 138
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 59 82 141
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 95 48 143
7 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 94 83 177
8 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 127 71 198
9 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 94 106 200
10 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 61 178 239
11 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 120 129 249
12 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 163 103 266
13 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 162 109 271
14 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 177 148 325
15 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 110 216 326
16 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 152 180 332
17 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 184 169 353
18 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 209 183 392
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 5 6 3 1 6 5 4 BYE 1 3 3 41 Campbell D'Eliscu '19
Rebecca Fung '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 5 1 2 7 7 3 2 6 1 4 1 2 41 Jack Elkin '19
Carter Little '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 7 2 3 6 2 1 9 3 4 2 9 4 52 Patrick Tara '17
Kaisey Mccallion '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 2 10 1 4 3 2 3 2 5 11 10 6 59 Roger Dorr '18
Haley Shea '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 10 9 5 1 4 5 4 1 6 5 4 7 61 Dreugh Phillips '21
Stephen Guglielmo '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 4 8 11 13 4 6 5 8 3 15 5 86 Maxwell Brill '20
Emma Remis '20
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 8 8 7 2 12 BKD 11 11 7 7 2 11 94 Alexander Singh '19 [1-12]
Dorothy Stump '18 [1-4, 9-12]
Evan Morgan '18 [5-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 9 6 11 10 6 9 1 9 3 6 8 16 94 Sam White '18 [1-12]
Katherine Lounsbury '20 [1-10]
Alexandra Fayer '19 [11-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 3 3 9 12 11 13 12 8 9 9 5 1 95 Carolyn Smith '17
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 14 12 4 16 5 7 8 14 2 13 6 9 110 Bryan Bay '21
Erica Vandeveer '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 11 11 10 15 9 8 7 15 11 8 7 8 120 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Micayla Beyer '19
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 6 7 12 17 10 11 13 7 13 10 11 10 127 Maximilian Kuester '18 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Filip Stevanovic '20 [3-4, 7-10]
Dario Abou Rjeili '20 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 12 13 15 8 8 10 16 16 14 16 12 12 152 Patrick Mazzeo '18
Atticus Bolyard '19
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 15 15 16 5 14 16 14 13 12 14 13 15 162 Joseph Egan '18
Raemie Ladner '19
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 16 16 18 14 16 12 10 12 10 12 14 13 163 Samara Leith '19 [1-12]
Jessica Post '20 [1-4]
Alexis Edwards '20 [5-8]
Laura Kilgore '17 [9-12]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 13 14 17 9 17 15 17 10 16 15 17 17 177 John Kirk '17
Angelina Graham '19
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 17 17 14 13 15 14 15 17 15 17 16 14 184 Paul Hart '19
Bridgette Hindt '18
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 18 18 13 18 18 17 18 18 17 18 18 18 209 Nathan Thompson '17 [1-12]
Tina Nassehi '17 [1-8]
Lars Sobieski '19 [9-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 3 7 6 5 1 1 4 5 7 2 6 1 48 Greer Wattson '17
Vera Mariani '20
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 1 6 3 3 3 2 6 3 1 3 16 4 51 Dane Byerly '20
Dyson Lord '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 3 1 1 10 4 3 4 3 1 7 10 52 Parker Loftus '20
Kent Mathes '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 4 5 2 13 2 3 1 11 2 6 3 3 55 William Logue '20
Claire Mohun '19
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 6 2 5 6 7 13 7 1 12 5 1 6 71 Luca Taglialegne '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 2 11 4 2 4 8 13 6 10 9 11 2 82 Noah Kelleher '19
Hannah Hess '19
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 7 4 9 10 6 5 12 2 4 8 9 7 83 Victor Layne '20
Katherine Green '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 1 7 12 8 10 10 9 8 10 4 5 92 Kyle Mergenthaler '20
Victoria Ewing '19
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 9 12 12 7 9 12 5 8 6 7 5 11 103 Anna Patterson '20 [1-12]
Mackenzie Conner '20 [1-6]
Lauren Levinson '20 [7-8, 11-12]
Ian O'Connell '20 [9-10]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 11 8 10 11 5 11 9 15 5 11 2 8 106 John Mastrandrea '20
Marshall Mccraw '20
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 10 9 8 4 13 6 2 7 13 12 12 13 109 William Gallagher '20
Laura Whelan '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 12 10 13 8 15 7 14 10 9 14 8 9 129 Nicholas Manfredi '19
Samantha Zito '18
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 13 15 14 9 14 17 16 13 11 4 10 12 148 Nina Van De Vaarst '19 [1-8]
Mitchell Nunn '18 [9-12]
Megan Parker '19 [1-8]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 15 13 15 16 11 9 11 17 14 13 17 18 169 William Sunkler '20
Allison Cochran '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 14 14 16 14 12 16 17 14 16 16 14 15 178 Jocelyn Rovniak '17 [1-12]
Abigail Lockler '18 [1-8]
Gavin Burkhart '20 [9-12]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 17 16 11 15 17 14 15 12 15 18 13 17 180 Patrick Firth '17
Thomas Griffiths '18
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 16 17 17 17 16 15 8 16 17 15 15 14 183 Jeffery Mayher '20 [1-12]
Lars Sobieski '19 [1-8]
Tina Nassehi '17 [9-12]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 18 DNS 18 18 18 18 DNF DNF 18 17 18 16 216 Natalie Lovelace '20 [1-12]
Madelyn Dynes '20 [1-10]
Erica Vandeveer '17 [11-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11335577991111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials2218181616141412121010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 13355779911111313
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 244221818161614141212
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates557799111113131515
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers131315151717113355
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1212101088664422
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings664422181816161414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue8866442218181616
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs77991111131315151717
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers141412121010886644
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11010886644221818
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 211111313151517171133
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves99111113131515171711
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1515171711335577
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies16161414121210108866
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen17171133557799
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1818161614141212101088

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains2244668810101212
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials11171715151313111199
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1446688101012121414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 233111717151513131111
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates66881010121214141616
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers141416161818224466
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen11119977553311
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings553311171715151313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue7755331117171515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs8810101212141416161818
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1313111199775533
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 199775533111717
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 212121414161618182244
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1010121214141616181822
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1616181822446688
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies151513131111997755
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818224466881010
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe17171515131311119977
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Samara Leith '19 [1-12] Jessica Post '20 [1-4]
Alexis Edwards '20 [5-8]
Laura Kilgore '17 [9-12]
Captains Anna Patterson '20 [1-12] Mackenzie Conner '20 [1-6]
Lauren Levinson '20 [7-8, 11-12]
Ian O'Connell '20 [9-10]
George Washington University George Washington University Sam White '18 [1-12] Katherine Lounsbury '20 [1-10]
Alexandra Fayer '19 [11-12]
Colonials John Mastrandrea '20 Marshall Mccraw '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Campbell D'Eliscu '19 Rebecca Fung '19
Hoyas 1 William Logue '20 Claire Mohun '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Roger Dorr '18 Haley Shea '19
Hoyas 2 Noah Kelleher '19 Hannah Hess '19
Hampton University Hampton University Maximilian Kuester '18 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Filip Stevanovic '20 [3-4, 7-10]		 Dario Abou Rjeili '20 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Pirates Luca Taglialegne '20 Elisabeth Kuester '19
Ocean County College Ocean County College John Kirk '17 Angelina Graham '19
Vikings Nina Van De Vaarst '19 [1-8]
Mitchell Nunn '18 [9-12]		 Megan Parker '19 [1-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Dreugh Phillips '21 Stephen Guglielmo '19
Big Blue Jocelyn Rovniak '17 [1-12] Abigail Lockler '18 [1-8]
Gavin Burkhart '20 [9-12]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Jack Elkin '19 Carter Little '18
Monarchs Kyle Mergenthaler '20 Victoria Ewing '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Vidar Minkovsky '18 Micayla Beyer '19
Seawolves Nicholas Manfredi '19 Samantha Zito '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Patrick Tara '17 Kaisey Mccallion '19
Seahawks 1 Dane Byerly '20 Dyson Lord '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Carolyn Smith '17 Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19
Seahawks 2 Greer Wattson '17 Vera Mariani '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Maxwell Brill '20 Emma Remis '20
Midshipmen Parker Loftus '20 Kent Mathes '20
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Nathan Thompson '17 [1-12] Tina Nassehi '17 [1-8]
Lars Sobieski '19 [9-12]
Retrievers Jeffery Mayher '20 [1-12] Lars Sobieski '19 [1-8]
Tina Nassehi '17 [9-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Joseph Egan '18 Raemie Ladner '19
Quakers William Gallagher '20 Laura Whelan '20
University of Virginia University of Virginia Alexander Singh '19 [1-12] Dorothy Stump '18 [1-4, 9-12]
Evan Morgan '18 [5-8]
Wahoos Victor Layne '20 Katherine Green '19
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Bryan Bay '21 Erica Vandeveer '17
Hokies Natalie Lovelace '20 [1-12] Madelyn Dynes '20 [1-10]
Erica Vandeveer '17 [11-12]
Washington College Washington College Paul Hart '19 Bridgette Hindt '18
Shoremen William Sunkler '20 Allison Cochran '18
William and Mary William and Mary Patrick Mazzeo '18 Atticus Bolyard '19
Tribe Patrick Firth '17 Thomas Griffiths '18

Conditions — 09/10/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SSW (195°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1017.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · NW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.16 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →