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Chesapeake Invitational (Sunday)

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 39 39
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 43 43
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 53 53
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 57 57
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 57 57
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 58 58
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 60 60
8 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 60 60
9 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 69 69
10 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 81 81
11 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 84 84
12 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 88 88
13 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 89 89
14 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 93 93
15 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 105 105
16 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 108 108
17 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 108 108
18 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 117 117
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 7 6 6 5 3 3 1 8 39 William Logue '20
Caroline Teare '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 1 1 14 8 9 5 3 2 43 Jack Reiter '22
Haley Shea '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 11 3 1 11 5 9 4 9 53 Sean Segerblom '20
Rebecca Fung '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 3 15 16 1 8 7 2 5 57 Jack Elkin '19
Stephen Guglielmo '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 5 4 3 2 18 1 10 14 57 Parker Loftus '20
Kent Mathes '20
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 8 8 7 3 1 8 7 16 58 Lewis Cooper '21
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 2 9 2 7 17 11 8 4 60 Connor Bayless '21
Ana Mier '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 4 10 8 13 2 6 11 6 60 Jc Hermus '22
Kelly Milliken '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 17 7 11 4 12 2 9 7 69 Andy Reiter '19
Claire Mohun '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 10 2 12 12 15 15 12 3 81 Leo Boucher '22
Kaisey Mccallion '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 12 11 10 9 6 4 13 RAF 84 Maxwell Brill '20
Sally Johnson '22
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 15 12 5 14 16 10 6 10 88 Aitana Mendiguren '20
Michael Houllahan '20
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 6 14 4 6 14 17 16 12 89 Liam Mccarthy '19 [1-8]
Ashley Wagner '20 [1-6, 8]
Thomas Walker '21 [7]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 18 16 9 16 4 14 5 11 93 Matt Logue '22
Sarah Noyes '20
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 13 5 15 15 10 16 18 13 105 Cameron Feves '22
Clare Cassidy-Gardner '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 9 13 13 10 11 18 17 17 108 Olivia Windemuller '19 [1-4]
Hannah Pokorny '21 [5-8]
Emily Harrison '21 [1-3]
Julia Williams-Portland '21 [4-6]
Breanna Schultz '21 [7-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 14 18 17 18 13 13 14 1 108 Jessica Bennett '20 [1-4]
Katherine Bennett '22 [5-8]
Dyson Lord '19 [1-4]
Sophia Taczak '21 [5-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 16 17 18 17 7 12 15 15 117 Dreugh Phillips '21
Gavin Burkhart '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 11818181818181818
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 21717171717171717
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 31616161616161616
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 11515151515151515
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 21414141414141414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 31313131313131313
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 41212121212121212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 144444444
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 233333333
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 322222222
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 411111111
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 11111111111111111
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 21010101010101010
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 399999999
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 188888888
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 277777777
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 366666666
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 455555555
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 Cameron Feves '22 Clare Cassidy-Gardner '21
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 Matt Logue '22 Sarah Noyes '20
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 Aitana Mendiguren '20 Michael Houllahan '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 Andy Reiter '19 Claire Mohun '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 Sean Segerblom '20 Rebecca Fung '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 William Logue '20 Caroline Teare '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 Jack Reiter '22 Haley Shea '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 Jack Elkin '19 Stephen Guglielmo '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 Dreugh Phillips '21 Gavin Burkhart '20
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 Olivia Windemuller '19 [1-4]
Hannah Pokorny '21 [5-8]		 Emily Harrison '21 [1-3]
Julia Williams-Portland '21 [4-6]
Breanna Schultz '21 [7-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 Liam Mccarthy '19 [1-8] Ashley Wagner '20 [1-6, 8]
Thomas Walker '21 [7]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 Lewis Cooper '21 Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 Leo Boucher '22 Kaisey Mccallion '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 Jessica Bennett '20 [1-4]
Katherine Bennett '22 [5-8]		 Dyson Lord '19 [1-4]
Sophia Taczak '21 [5-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 Parker Loftus '20 Kent Mathes '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 Maxwell Brill '20 Sally Johnson '22
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 Connor Bayless '21 Ana Mier '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 Jc Hermus '22 Kelly Milliken '21

Conditions — 09/16/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1021.0 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 25.7 kn
From E (90°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1021.0 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.20 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →