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NY Maritime Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 13 24 37
2 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 44 24 68
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 31 43 74
4 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 45 47 92
5 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 68 28 96
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 46 52 98
7 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 43 63 106
8 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 82 32 114
9 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 68 52 120
10 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 56 72 128
11 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 60 82 142
12 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 64 85 149
13 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 77 83 160
14 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 94 88 182
15 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 91 93 184
16 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 81 113 194
17 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 117 95 212
18 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 118 121 239
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 1 1 3 1 3 3 1 13 Rose Edwards '18
Meaghan Macrae '18
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 4 2 1 3 12 1 8 31 Tucker Hersam '20
Jacqueline Tobin '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 5 11 6 5 1 10 5 43 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Jeremy Mccauley '20
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 4 12 7 4 13 2 44 Bailey Carter '19
Anna Flaherty '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 8 8 8 6 5 7 3 45 Grace Howie '20
Elizabeth Hupp '21
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 13 9 2 12 2 4 4 46 James Morgan '18
Abby Richardson '21
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 14 5 4 16 8 2 7 56 Vir Menon '20
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 6 7 13 4 11 5 14 60 Lola Bushnell '18
Carolyn Dahl '18
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 15 3 10 2 13 12 9 64 Juan Lejarraga '19
Brian Buckley '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 7 14 5 8 6 11 17 68 Olivia Windemuller '19 [1-6]
Emily Harrison '21 [7]
Emily Harrison '21 [1-6]
Jocelyn Rovniak '17 [7]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 12 12 7 11 9 6 11 68 Luke Welker '21
Alina Montenegro '21
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 3 10 11 15 7 OCS 12 77 Matti Muru '20
Cecilia Pierobon '21
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 10 17 16 9 10 9 10 81 Ava Haag '21
Ann Bell '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 9 6 14 10 14 14 15 82 Jessica Mcjones '20
Anna Cutler '20
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 17 13 9 14 16 16 6 91 Andrew O'Brien '19
Jesse Stevenson '19
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 11 16 18 13 15 8 13 94 Kayleigh Godfrey '19 [1-7]
Thomas Cahill '18 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Nina Van De Vaarst '19 [2, 4, 6]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 16 15 17 18 18 15 18 117 Donald Leung '20 [1-6]
Nicholas Browne '18 [7]
Jonathan Gorman '21 [1-6]
Danyte Reisinger '19 [7]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 18 18 15 17 17 17 16 118 Henry Sanders '18
Elizabeth Cloherty '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 6 3 4 2 7 1 24 Pierre Thibodeau '20
Sarah Warren '18
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 2 5 5 5 1 3 3 24 Marley Mais '21
Caroline Teare '21
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 4 1 1 3 5 7 28 Adam Krzeszowski '21
Zoe Chang '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 3 1 2 6 7 11 2 32 Brittney Slook '20
Emma Remis '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 11 7 7 3 4 2 9 43 Scott Mckenzie '21
Declan Lombard '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 6 3 6 8 8 6 10 47 Charlotte Leclue '19
Lauren Holderman '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 4 8 9 7 10 8 6 52 Nicholas Gartner '20
Alyson Wade '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 5 9 4 2 11 16 5 52 Bridget Groble '22 [1-4, 7]
Hannah Pokorny '21 [5-6]
Abigail Lockler '18 [1-4]
Makalynne Dyer '22 [5-7]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 10 10 17 9 5 4 8 63 Nicholas Manfredi '19
Samantha Zito '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 12 15 10 12 6 1 16 72 Spencer Charney '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Kempton '18 [3-4, 7]
Henry Clune '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 13 16 12 11 9 17 4 82 Gretchen Mccarthy '20 [1-7]
Claire Mohun '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kelly Zochowski '17 [3-4, 7]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 16 12 8 14 12 9 12 83 Josh Yale '20
Thomas Dauphinee '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 14 2 15 10 18 12 14 85 Aidan Molesky '20 [1-2]
Hunter Kahler '21 [3-4]
William Sesack '21 [5-6]
Zoe Clougher '21 [7]
Christian Neuman '21 [1-2]
Aidan Molesky '20 [3-4]
Zoe Clougher '21 [5-6]
William Sesack '21 [7]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 8 14 13 16 14 10 13 88 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Katherine Foley '19
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 9 11 14 15 16 13 15 93 Townsend Morey '21 [1-4, 7]
Lauren Zelenak '21 [5-6]
Lauren Zelenak '21 [1-4, 7]
Townsend Morey '21 [5-6]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 15 13 11 17 13 15 11 95 James Gilmore Iii '19
Andrew Lithen '18
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 18 17 16 13 17 14 18 113 Dylan Graham '19
Genevieve Lee '20
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 17 18 18 18 15 18 17 121 Jacob Correia '20
Emmet Raichle '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1133557
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 1221818161614
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 23355779
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 14422181816
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 255779911
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66442218
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners16161414121210
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD7799111113
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks8866442
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1171711335
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 218181616141412
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers11111313151517
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs991111131315
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels101088664
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks1414121210108
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 112121010886
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 21313151517171
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange15151717113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains2244668
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 1111717151513
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 244668810
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 13311171715
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 26688101012
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55331117
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1515131311119
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD881010121214
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks7755331
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1181822446
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 217171515131311
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers12121414161618
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs10101212141416
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels9977553
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks13131111997
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1111199775
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 21414161618182
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange16161818224
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Vir Menon '20 Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21
Captains Spencer Charney '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Kempton '18 [3-4, 7]		 Henry Clune '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Fordham University Fordham University Grace Howie '20 Elizabeth Hupp '21
Rams 1 Charlotte Leclue '19 Lauren Holderman '18
Fordham University Fordham University Tucker Hersam '20 Jacqueline Tobin '20
Rams 2 Scott Mckenzie '21 Declan Lombard '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Lola Bushnell '18 Carolyn Dahl '18
Hoyas 1 Gretchen Mccarthy '20 [1-7] Claire Mohun '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kelly Zochowski '17 [3-4, 7]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Rose Edwards '18 Meaghan Macrae '18
Hoyas 2 Marley Mais '21 Caroline Teare '21
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Bailey Carter '19 Anna Flaherty '20
Statesmen Pierre Thibodeau '20 Sarah Warren '18
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Ava Haag '21 Ann Bell '20
Loyola University MD Dylan Graham '19 Genevieve Lee '20
Monmouth University Monmouth University Kayleigh Godfrey '19 [1-7] Thomas Cahill '18 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Nina Van De Vaarst '19 [2, 4, 6]
Hawks Nina Van De Vaarst '19 Katherine Foley '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Olivia Windemuller '19 [1-6]
Emily Harrison '21 [7]		 Emily Harrison '21 [1-6]
Jocelyn Rovniak '17 [7]
Monarchs Bridget Groble '22 [1-4, 7]
Hannah Pokorny '21 [5-6]		 Abigail Lockler '18 [1-4]
Makalynne Dyer '22 [5-7]
Queen's University Queen's University Matti Muru '20 Cecilia Pierobon '21
Gaels Josh Yale '20 Thomas Dauphinee '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Juan Lejarraga '19 Brian Buckley '21
Privateers Aidan Molesky '20 [1-2]
Hunter Kahler '21 [3-4]
William Sesack '21 [5-6]
Zoe Clougher '21 [7]		 Christian Neuman '21 [1-2]
Aidan Molesky '20 [3-4]
Zoe Clougher '21 [5-6]
William Sesack '21 [7]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Vidar Minkovsky '18 Jeremy Mccauley '20
Seawolves 1 Nicholas Manfredi '19 Samantha Zito '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Donald Leung '20 [1-6]
Nicholas Browne '18 [7]		 Jonathan Gorman '21 [1-6]
Danyte Reisinger '19 [7]
Seawolves 2 James Gilmore Iii '19 Andrew Lithen '18
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Andrew O'Brien '19 Jesse Stevenson '19
Ducks Townsend Morey '21 [1-4, 7]
Lauren Zelenak '21 [5-6]		 Lauren Zelenak '21 [1-4, 7]
Townsend Morey '21 [5-6]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Henry Sanders '18 Elizabeth Cloherty '19
Orange Jacob Correia '20 Emmet Raichle '21
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Luke Welker '21 Alina Montenegro '21
Mariners Adam Krzeszowski '21 Zoe Chang '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy James Morgan '18 Abby Richardson '21
Midshipmen 1 Nicholas Gartner '20 Alyson Wade '21
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jessica Mcjones '20 Anna Cutler '20
Midshipmen 2 Brittney Slook '20 Emma Remis '20

Conditions — 09/16/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1020.8 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From E (83°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1020.8 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn · NE 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →