Greater New York Dinghy Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 38 36 74
2 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 25 54 79
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 40 44 84
4 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 49 57 106
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 93 38 131
6 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 93 67 160
7 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 81 103 184
8 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 99 94 193
9 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 105 92 197
10 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 120 86 206
11 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 80 137 217
12 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 113 128 241
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 3 1 4 1 1 1 2 3 1 3 3 25 Bryce Kopp '16 [1-8]
Walter Florio '18 [9-12]
Albert Rodiger '18 [1-8]
Erin Smith '19 [9-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 1 2 5 2 5 2 5 1 4 6 4 38 Matt Cappetta '19
Katherine Jones '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 2 3 2 4 2 3 1 8 5 5 1 40 Jackson Mccoy '19
Lucy Robison '18
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 3 4 4 1 3 3 4 3 9 2 8 5 49 John Nothacker '16 [1-8]
Juan Lejarraga '19 [9-12]
Matthew Romanuski '16 [1-8]
Skye Miller '19 [9-12]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 11 5 5 6 7 9 8 4 7 8 1 9 80 Michael Danko '17
Xavier Vecchio '19
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 5 6 6 3 8 6 11 6 5 7 12 6 81 Brian Daley '19 [1-6]
Lillian Vincens '19 [7-12]
Lauren Ten Hoopen '19 [1-6]
Alex Vivenzio '14 [7-12]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 8 9 12 7 10 10 7 7 11 6 4 2 93 Brendan Brown-Mccue '16
Samantha Mislinski '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 7 7 10 5 12 10 11 10 3 2 7 93 Matthew Orgill '16 [1-12]
Daniel Winter '16 [1-8]
Thomas Kiesel '19 [9-12]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 7 10 8 11 11 4 5 9 6 10 10 8 99 Brian Reilly '16
Noelle Kelly '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 6 12 10 12 12 11 6 8 2 9 7 10 105 James Gilmore Iii '19
Nicholas Browne '18
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 12 8 9 9 9 8 9 10 4 12 11 12 113 Nicholas Houchois '19
Luke Pelessone '18
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 10 11 11 8 6 7 12 12 12 11 9 11 120 Haley Clemson '20 [1-6, 8-12]
Abigail Proko '20 [7]
Abigail Proko '20 [1-6, 8-12]
Haley Clemson '20 [7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 2 1 4 2 4 1 1 4 2 6 5 36 Brad Seferian '19
Makena Masterson '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 4 5 1 5 2 5 3 2 4 2 2 38 Connor Oursler '19 [1-8]
Daniel Winter '16 [9-12]
Thomas Kiesel '19 [1-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 3 3 3 4 6 2 5 6 3 7 1 44 Tyler Paige '18
Bubakar Bah '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 1 2 5 1 1 4 2 5 10 10 11 54 Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-8]
Phillip Rosenthall '18 [9-12]
Eliza Garry '17 [1-8]
Victoria Slater '19 [9-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 8 6 4 2 3 3 6 6 3 6 3 7 57 James Keegan '16 [1-8]
Matthew Romanuski '16 [9-12]
Alexander Sharpe '16 [1-2]
James Broyles '19 [3-8]
Maura King '19 [9-12]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 7 7 8 9 7 8 7 8 1 1 1 3 67 Nicholas Manfredi '19 [1-8]
Vidar Minkovsky '18 [9-12]
Spencer Ochs '18 [1-8]
Nicholas Manfredi '19 [9-12]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 9 5 6 7 8 7 8 7 9 7 4 9 86 Dylan Boland '18
Elizabeth Jarvie '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 11 11 7 8 9 10 9 4 7 5 5 6 92 Peter Sander '17
Gaura Mudgal '18
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 6 9 11 6 6 5 3 10 11 9 8 10 94 Brian Reilly '16
Christin Ashley '17
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 5 8 9 10 10 9 10 9 8 8 9 8 103 Erin Godfrey '19
Jennifer Gambino '19
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 12 10 12 12 11 11 11 12 10 12 11 4 128 Catalina Feder '19
Louisa Sainz De La Maza '18
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 10 12 10 11 12 12 12 11 12 11 12 12 137 Jennifer Suter '19
Matthew Morris '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights1212335577991111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1111224466881010
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions1144668810101212
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels22557799111111
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons3366881010121222
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags44779911111133
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams5588101012122244
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers66991111113355
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers99121222446688
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 17710101212224466
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 288111111335577
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos10101133557799

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights2244668810101212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears11335577991111
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions33557799111111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4466881010121222
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons55779911111133
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags6688101012122244
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams77991111113355
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers8810101212224466
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers11111133557799
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 199111111335577
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 21010121222446688
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1212224466881010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Nicholas Houchois '19 Luke Pelessone '18
Lions Catalina Feder '19 Louisa Sainz De La Maza '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Bryce Kopp '16 [1-8]
Walter Florio '18 [9-12]
Albert Rodiger '18 [1-8]
Erin Smith '19 [9-12]
Camels Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-8]
Phillip Rosenthall '18 [9-12]
Eliza Garry '17 [1-8]
Victoria Slater '19 [9-12]
Drexel University Drexel University Haley Clemson '20 [1-6, 8-12]
Abigail Proko '20 [7]
Abigail Proko '20 [1-6, 8-12]
Haley Clemson '20 [7]
Dragons Dylan Boland '18 Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Fairfield University Fairfield University Brian Daley '19 [1-6]
Lillian Vincens '19 [7-12]
Lauren Ten Hoopen '19 [1-6]
Alex Vivenzio '14 [7-12]
Stags Erin Godfrey '19 Jennifer Gambino '19
Fordham University Fordham University Matt Cappetta '19 Katherine Jones '18
Rams Brad Seferian '19 Makena Masterson '19
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College John Nothacker '16 [1-8]
Juan Lejarraga '19 [9-12]
Matthew Romanuski '16 [1-8]
Skye Miller '19 [9-12]
Privateers James Keegan '16 [1-8]
Matthew Romanuski '16 [9-12]
Alexander Sharpe '16 [1-2]
James Broyles '19 [3-8]
Maura King '19 [9-12]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Brendan Brown-Mccue '16 Samantha Mislinski '19
Seawolves 1 Nicholas Manfredi '19 [1-8]
Vidar Minkovsky '18 [9-12]
Spencer Ochs '18 [1-8]
Nicholas Manfredi '19 [9-12]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook James Gilmore Iii '19 Nicholas Browne '18
Seawolves 2 Peter Sander '17 Gaura Mudgal '18
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Brian Reilly '16 Noelle Kelly '17
Pioneers Brian Reilly '16 Christin Ashley '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jackson Mccoy '19 Lucy Robison '18
Jumbos Tyler Paige '18 Bubakar Bah '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Matthew Orgill '16 [1-12] Daniel Winter '16 [1-8]
Thomas Kiesel '19 [9-12]
Bears Connor Oursler '19 [1-8]
Daniel Winter '16 [9-12]
Thomas Kiesel '19 [1-8]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Michael Danko '17 Xavier Vecchio '19
Black Knights Jennifer Suter '19 Matthew Morris '17

Conditions — 04/23/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1010.4 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From N (356°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1010.4 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn · N 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Fordham: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fordham by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Fordham).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →