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Villanova Spring Open

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 31
2 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 71
3 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 83
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 104
5 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 109
6 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 126
7 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 150
8 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 173
9 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 181
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates B 4 7 1 1 1 1 15 Luca Taglialegne '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates A 2 1 3 4 3 3 16 Maximilian Kuester '18
Giuditta Di Laghi '16
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves A 1 3 9 2 2 5 22 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Cailey Treyz '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 3 4 10 6 6 2 31 Anders Hudson '17
Kaitlyn Reilly '18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps A 13 6 2 3 4 7 35 Joseph Crouse '16
Zachary Thomas '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 7 2 5 7 9 6 36 Caroline Garth '17
Darby Levin '19
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 5 5 6 8 7 9 40 Amanda Attardi '17
Matteo Murrelle '19
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats A 11 8 4 9 5 8 45 Trevor Koerwer '19
Elisabeth Day '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves B 16 9 OCS 5 8 4 61 Brendan Brown-Mccue '16
No Show
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 10 11 14 13 10 10 68 Raemie Ladner '19
Anastasia Efremkina '19
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons A 6 15 7 16 15 14 73 Haley Clemson '20 [1, 3-6]
John Ellis '19 [2]
John Ellis '19 [1, 3-6]
Haley Clemson '20 [2]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps B 9 14 12 12 16 11 74 Jacob Stoner '19
Rachel Finci '17
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe A 8 10 11 15 12 DNF 75 Eric Roos '19
Adriane Tomovic '19
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons B 17 17 8 11 11 13 77 Dylan Boland '18
Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange A 12 12 16 10 13 15 78 Zachary Warner '19
Kelly Brust '16
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats B 15 13 13 14 14 12 81 John Dyment '18
Julianna Lee '17
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange B 14 16 15 17 17 16 95 Alberto Rivera '16
Hannah Hauser '16
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe B 18 18 17 18 18 17 106 Tyler Skelton '19
Peter Bihl '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111111
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons222222
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates333333
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps666666
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers777777
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves444444
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange555555
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats888888
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe999999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains101010101010
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons111111111111
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates121212121212
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps151515151515
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers161616161616
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves131313131313
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange141414141414
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats171717171717
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe181818181818

Conditions — 04/09/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌨️Moderate snow
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1007.6 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 39°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 30°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From NNE (13°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1007.6 hPa Rain0.32 in Snow0.96 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Villanova: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Villanova by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Villanova, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →