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NY Maritime Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 54 41 95
2 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 62 41 103
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 61 48 109
4 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 60 98 158
5 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 102 68 170
6 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 69 120 189
7 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 117 78 195
8 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 124 99 223
9 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 107 116 223
10 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 128 99 227
11 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 114 133 247
12 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 117 143 260
13 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 160 132 292
14 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 157 185 342
15 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 158 205 363
16 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 183 189 372
17 Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 202 196 398
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 13 4 3 3 4 9 1 2 3 6 3 2 54 Andy Reiter '19
Rebecca Fung '19
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 6 1 2 1 11 1 7 4 4 5 3 1 14 60 Matti Muru '20
Iain Doran-Des Brisay '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 3 7 5 7 2 3 5 2 8 2 5 5 7 61 Jimmy Madigan '18
Carlyn Sawdy-Bowes '20
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 14 10 3 4 1 6 2 8 1 4 1 7 1 62 Maximilian Kuester '18
Dario Abou Rjeili '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 2 7 5 10 BKD 10 7 9 1 2 4 5 69 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Micayla Beyer '19
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 11 8 1 10 7 2 1 6 10 14 4 13 15 102 Sebby Turner '20
Ana Schonander '20
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 16 4 11 2 6 5 17 9 7 11 9 6 4 107 Alexander Smith '17
Karlyn Long '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 16 10 6 4 9 3 11 5 13 11 15 6 114 Vincent Storino '18
Danielle Ciufia '17
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 9 14 6 8 8 14 4 13 3 12 8 8 10 117 Adam Devita '18
Luke Pelessone '18
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 12 3 8 9 9 12 12 10 11 8 10 10 3 117 Arthur Libby '17
Erin Teige '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 8 5 9 12 5 8 6 5 DSQ 9 12 14 13 124 Jessica Mcjones '20
Gabriella Shyne '20
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 4 15 15 13 15 11 8 3 14 7 13 2 8 128 Andrew O'Brien '19 [1-10]
Matthew Roleke '19 [11-13]
Jesse Stevenson '19 [1-12]
Meredith Foor '18 [13]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 13 9 16 17 14 10 13 15 13 10 7 9 11 157 Jacob Stoner '19
Rachel Finci '17
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 7 6 14 16 13 16 16 14 12 6 14 12 12 158 Richard Girardin '17
Teresa Dirado '17
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 10 12 12 15 16 7 11 12 6 16 15 16 BKD 160 John Dyment '18
Austin Tipp '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 15 11 DSQ 11 17 13 15 16 15 15 17 11 9 183 Henry Sanders '18
Kevin O'Brien '17
Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 17 17 13 14 12 15 14 17 16 17 16 OCS 16 202
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 1 2 5 1 2 2 14 2 2 2 1 4 3 41 Luca Taglialegne '20 [1-13]
Elisabeth Kuester '19 [1-6, 9-13]
Filip Stevanovic '20 [7-8]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 7 1 3 4 1 2 4 3 8 2 1 1 41 Jack Marshall '18
Albert Kraus '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 2 11 6 2 1 4 1 3 8 1 5 2 2 48 Hannah Hughes '17
Joshua Walton '20
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 1 2 12 7 3 11 1 1 7 3 5 5 68 Gabby Rizika '20
Kate Selley '20
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 5 6 4 4 3 8 4 13 4 9 4 7 7 78 Andreas Adam '18
Macy Blakeley '20
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 9 8 7 5 8 12 8 7 9 4 6 6 9 98 Andrew Faurschou '17
Max Willms '20
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 6 5 3 9 13 5 9 6 11 5 7 9 11 99 Julian Fraize '18 [1-13]
Matthew Roleke '19 [1-4]
Peter Teague '18 [5-13]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 8 10 8 10 5 13 3 14 7 6 8 3 4 99 Brittney Slook '20
Bo Hyun An '20
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 3 3 12 6 12 10 10 8 10 13 10 11 8 116 Hannah Schmidt '17 [1-13]
Lindsey Arnstein '18 [1-8, 11-13]
Griffin Rodrigue '18 [9-10]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 7 9 9 8 6 6 5 15 5 16 11 10 13 120 Nicholas Manfredi '19
Samantha Zito '18
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 13 12 10 15 9 11 7 10 13 3 9 14 6 132 David Alldian '17
Elisabeth Day '18
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 14 14 13 7 10 7 6 5 6 11 OCS 12 10 133 Clark Spencer Ragsdale '19
Gemma Nguyen '20
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 17 4 11 14 11 9 12 11 12 10 12 8 12 143 Nicholas Houchois '19 [1-2, 7-10, 13]
Calvin Tong '19 [3-6, 11-12]
Bailey Fryer '18 [1-8, 11-12]
Isabel De La Torre '20 [9-10, 13]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 15 16 14 11 15 17 15 9 15 15 15 13 15 185 Madeline Hope '18
Marina Neal '16
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 12 15 17 17 OCS 14 13 12 14 12 16 15 14 189 Jacob Correia '20 [1-13]
Anne Caldwell '20 [1-8]
Brandon Ellis '18 [9-13]
Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 11 17 16 13 14 16 16 16 17 14 13 17 16 196
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 16 13 15 16 16 15 17 17 16 17 14 16 17 205 John Porterfield '17
Sean Rowland '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Black KnightsBlack Knights Black Knights111113131515171722446
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls14141616113355779
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions1133557799111113
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red224466881010121214
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas335577991111131315
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates44668810101212141416
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners101012121414161611335
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps151517172244668810
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11212141416161133557
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21313151517172244668
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers668810101212141416161
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels55779911111313151517
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks881010121214141616113
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves779911111313151517172
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange991111131315151717224
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1616113355779911
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen171722446688101012

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Black KnightsBlack Knights Black Knights1212141416161133557
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls151517172244668810
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions224466881010121214
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red335577991111131315
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas44668810101212141416
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates55779911111313151517
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners111113131515171722446
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps1616113355779911
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11313151517172244668
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 214141616113355779
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers779911111313151517172
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels668810101212141416161
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks991111131315151717224
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves881010121214141616113
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange101012121414161611335
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats171722446688101012
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1133557799111113
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Adam Devita '18 Luke Pelessone '18
Lions Nicholas Houchois '19 [1-2, 7-10, 13]
Calvin Tong '19 [3-6, 11-12]		 Bailey Fryer '18 [1-8, 11-12]
Isabel De La Torre '20 [9-10, 13]
Cornell University Cornell University Sebby Turner '20 Ana Schonander '20
Big Red Gabby Rizika '20 Kate Selley '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Andy Reiter '19 Rebecca Fung '19
Hoyas Jack Marshall '18 Albert Kraus '17
Hampton University Hampton University Maximilian Kuester '18 Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Pirates Luca Taglialegne '20 [1-13] Elisabeth Kuester '19 [1-6, 9-13]
Filip Stevanovic '20 [7-8]
Queen's University Queen's University Matti Muru '20 Iain Doran-Des Brisay '20
Gaels Andrew Faurschou '17 Max Willms '20
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Arthur Libby '17 Erin Teige '20
Privateers Andreas Adam '18 Macy Blakeley '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Vidar Minkovsky '18 Micayla Beyer '19
Seawolves Nicholas Manfredi '19 Samantha Zito '18
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Andrew O'Brien '19 [1-10]
Matthew Roleke '19 [11-13]		 Jesse Stevenson '19 [1-12]
Meredith Foor '18 [13]
Ducks Julian Fraize '18 [1-13] Matthew Roleke '19 [1-4]
Peter Teague '18 [5-13]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Henry Sanders '18 Kevin O'Brien '17
Orange Jacob Correia '20 [1-13] Anne Caldwell '20 [1-8]
Brandon Ellis '18 [9-13]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Vincent Storino '18 Danielle Ciufia '17
Mariners Clark Spencer Ragsdale '19 Gemma Nguyen '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jessica Mcjones '20 Gabriella Shyne '20
Midshipmen 1 Brittney Slook '20 Bo Hyun An '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jimmy Madigan '18 Carlyn Sawdy-Bowes '20
Midshipmen 2 Hannah Hughes '17 Joshua Walton '20
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Richard Girardin '17 Teresa Dirado '17
Bulls John Porterfield '17 Sean Rowland '19
University of Maryland University of Maryland Jacob Stoner '19 Rachel Finci '17
Terps Madeline Hope '18 Marina Neal '16
Villanova University Villanova University John Dyment '18 Austin Tipp '18
Wildcats David Alldian '17 Elisabeth Day '18
Washington College Washington College Alexander Smith '17 Karlyn Long '17
Shoremen Hannah Schmidt '17 [1-13] Lindsey Arnstein '18 [1-8, 11-13]
Griffin Rodrigue '18 [9-10]

Conditions — 09/17/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1022.8 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From SSE (166°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1022.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn* · SW 9 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.26 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →