The Leroy Grant Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 40 60 100
2 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 57 56 113
3 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 71 53 124
4 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 74 62 136
5 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 62 78 140
6 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 99 44 143
7 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 74 72 146
8 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 113 35 148
9 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 75 83 158
10 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 83 83 166
11 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 65 136 201
12 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 113 128 241
13 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 132 132 264
14 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 114 155 269
15 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 154 140 294
16 Bulls Bulls Bulls 172 183 355
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 10 3 4 2 2 3 2 10 1 1 2 40 Colin Suvak '19
Colleen Roney '18
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 5 4 2 3 9 1 12 8 6 2 5 57 Bryan Bay '21 [1-6, 9-11]
Nathan Gibson '19 [7-8]
Erica Vandeveer '17 [1-6, 9-11]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 6 13 1 1 2 6 7 4 6 13 62 Austin Powers '17 [1-11]
Anna Patterson '20 [1-2, 5-11]
Laura Kilgore '17 [3-4]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 9 5 9 12 5 5 8 3 5 3 1 65 Anne Sidamon-Eristoff '20
Aryana Navarro '18
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 4 10 8 8 10 10 4 6 3 5 3 71 Alexander Smith '17 [1-2, 8-11]
Hannah Schmidt '17 [3-7]
Allison Cochran '18 [1-2, 8-11]
Eloise Lienert '20 [3-7]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 2 11 10 12 4 1 DSQ 2 7 7 74 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Micayla Beyer '19
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 6 11 3 9 6 7 9 1 7 11 4 74 Matthew Roleke '19 [1-11]
Meredith Foor '18 [1-6]
Peter Teague '18 [7-11]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 7 7 10 7 4 6 3 4 9 8 10 75 Cole Daitch '20
Ryan Howard '20
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 8 1 5 13 7 11 5 5 10 12 6 83 Adam Devita '18
Elizabeth Keeney '19
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 15 8 6 5 13 13 11 2 11 4 11 99 Zachary Baum '17
Simone Larose '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 14 1 11 3 8 16 15 16 15 12 113 Joshua Paper '20 [1-6, 11]
Kira Allen '18 [7-10]
Ashley Wagner '20 [1-6]
Kaisey Mccallion '19 [7-10]
Kira Allen '18 [11]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 14 9 7 4 14 12 10 11 13 10 9 113 Zachary Warner '19
Brandon Ellis '18
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 12 13 12 6 8 9 7 12 8 13 14 114 Theodore Fortier '17
Ann Bell '20
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 13 12 15 15 11 14 14 9 12 9 8 132 Haley Clemson '20
Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 11 15 14 14 15 15 13 13 14 14 16 154 Declan Gaylo '19
Galen Ng '20
Bulls Bulls Bulls 16 16 16 DNF 16 16 15 14 15 16 15 172
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 7 3 1 1 4 1 3 4 1 3 7 35 Ellie Ungar '19 [1-11]
Kira Allen '18 [1-4]
Ashley Wagner '20 [5-11]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 1 10 2 2 5 5 2 3 9 4 1 44 Matti Muru '20
Max Willms '20
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 5 4 6 3 6 6 4 9 7 1 2 53 Matthew Mcdermaid '17
Lindsey Arnstein '18
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 3 1 8 8 3 9 6 5 6 2 5 56 Nicholas Price '17
Ashley Black '17
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 2 3 9 7 8 1 1 11 10 6 60 Alexander Singh '19
Julia Gowell '18
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 4 11 10 5 2 2 8 6 4 6 4 62 Andrew O'Brien '19
Jesse Stevenson '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 6 6 7 7 1 7 5 7 8 8 10 72 Nicholas Manfredi '19
Samantha Zito '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 9 8 4 11 9 4 7 2 3 9 12 78 Vir Menon '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Anders Hudson '17 [3-4, 7-11]
Kaitlyn Reilly '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 8 7 5 10 10 3 11 10 5 11 3 83 Nicholas Houchois '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Calvin Tong '19 [3-4, 9-11]
Antonia Leggett '19 [1-4, 9-11]
Bailey Fryer '18 [5-8]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 13 5 9 4 8 12 9 8 2 5 8 83 Jacob Stoner '19
Zachary Thomas '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 10 9 12 6 15 11 10 14 15 12 14 128 John Colby '20
Anne Caldwell '20
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 11 14 14 14 13 14 13 11 10 7 11 132 Stephen Young '21
Molly Jean Henebury '19
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 12 15 11 12 12 10 12 12 13 BKD 15 136 Quinn Donohue '20
Adrienne Mandelbaum '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 14 12 15 13 11 13 14 13 12 14 9 140 Alec Gonzalez '20
Blake Loncharich '19
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 15 13 13 15 14 15 15 15 14 13 13 155 Danny Kane '20 [1-2, 5-8, 11]
Charles Debski '19 [3-4, 9-10]
Erin O'Connor '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Dylan Graham '19 [3-4, 9-11]
Bulls Bulls Bulls DNF 16 DNF 16 DNF 16 DNF OCS DNF DNF 16 183
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
BullsBulls Bulls11111313151511335
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains113355779911
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2216161414121210108
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons33557799111113
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD442216161414121210
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps121210108866442
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers5577991111131315
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels6644221616141412
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks88664422161614
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks99111113131515113
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves77991111131315151
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange10108866442216
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos131315151133557
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies14141212101088664
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1515113355779
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1616141412121010886

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
BullsBulls Bulls12121414161622446
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains22446688101012
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions11151513131111997
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons4466881010121214
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD33111515131311119
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps1111997755331
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers668810101212141416
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels5533111515131311
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks77553311151513
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks1010121214141616224
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves8810101212141416162
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange997755331115
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos141416162244668
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies131311119977553
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen16162244668810
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers15151313111199775
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Austin Powers '17 [1-11] Anna Patterson '20 [1-2, 5-11]
Laura Kilgore '17 [3-4]
Captains Vir Menon '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Anders Hudson '17 [3-4, 7-11]
Kaitlyn Reilly '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Columbia University Columbia University Adam Devita '18 Elizabeth Keeney '19
Lions Nicholas Houchois '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Calvin Tong '19 [3-4, 9-11]
Antonia Leggett '19 [1-4, 9-11]
Bailey Fryer '18 [5-8]
Drexel University Drexel University Haley Clemson '20 Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Dragons Stephen Young '21 Molly Jean Henebury '19
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Theodore Fortier '17 Ann Bell '20
Loyola University MD Danny Kane '20 [1-2, 5-8, 11]
Charles Debski '19 [3-4, 9-10]
Erin O'Connor '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Dylan Graham '19 [3-4, 9-11]
Princeton University Princeton University Anne Sidamon-Eristoff '20 Aryana Navarro '18
Tigers Quinn Donohue '20 Adrienne Mandelbaum '20
Queen's University Queen's University Zachary Baum '17 Simone Larose '17
Gaels Matti Muru '20 Max Willms '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Vidar Minkovsky '18 Micayla Beyer '19
Seawolves Nicholas Manfredi '19 Samantha Zito '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Joshua Paper '20 [1-6, 11]
Kira Allen '18 [7-10]
Ashley Wagner '20 [1-6]
Kaisey Mccallion '19 [7-10]
Kira Allen '18 [11]
Seahawks Ellie Ungar '19 [1-11] Kira Allen '18 [1-4]
Ashley Wagner '20 [5-11]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Matthew Roleke '19 [1-11] Meredith Foor '18 [1-6]
Peter Teague '18 [7-11]
Ducks Andrew O'Brien '19 Jesse Stevenson '19
Syracuse University Syracuse University Zachary Warner '19 Brandon Ellis '18
Orange John Colby '20 Anne Caldwell '20
University of Maryland University of Maryland Cole Daitch '20 Ryan Howard '20
Terps Jacob Stoner '19 Zachary Thomas '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Colin Suvak '19 Colleen Roney '18
Wahoos Alexander Singh '19 Julia Gowell '18
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Bryan Bay '21 [1-6, 9-11]
Nathan Gibson '19 [7-8]
Erica Vandeveer '17 [1-6, 9-11]
Hokies Nicholas Price '17 Ashley Black '17
Washington College Washington College Alexander Smith '17 [1-2, 8-11]
Hannah Schmidt '17 [3-7]
Allison Cochran '18 [1-2, 8-11]
Eloise Lienert '20 [3-7]
Shoremen Matthew Mcdermaid '17 Lindsey Arnstein '18
Webb Institute Webb Institute Declan Gaylo '19 Galen Ng '20
Clippers Alec Gonzalez '20 Blake Loncharich '19

Conditions — 04/15/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1025.1 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.6 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From SE (144°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine9.5 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1025.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 11 kn* · S 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →