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Henry Luce Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 36 58 94
2 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 45 70 115
3 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 56 62 118
4 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 85 42 127
5 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 74 61 135
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 81 69 150
7 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 89 88 177
8 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 112 91 203
9 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 109 99 208
10 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 97 117 214
11 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 140 98 238
12 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 139 120 259
13 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 81 180 261
14 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 125 139 264
15 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 155 117 272
16 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 137 141 278
17 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 144 161 305
18 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 171 143 314
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 5 11 2 2 5 1 1 1 4 3 1 36 Maximilian Kuester '18
Giuditta Di Laghi '16
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 6 3 3 3 BKD 2 7 2 5 7 45 Austin Powers '17 [1-11]
Matteo Murrelle '19 [1-4, 7-11]
Hannah Cantolino '18 [5-6]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 2 2 4 1 2 3 14 12 10 4 2 56 Joshua Prucnal '16
No Show
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos RAF 1 11 4 1 4 4 2 1 10 17 74 Christopher Craven '16 [1-11]
Callie Hern '18 [1-4, 11]
Dorothy Stump '18 [5-6]
Julia Gowell '18 [7-8]
Alexander Singh '19 [9-10]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 14 1 11 4 6 11 4 7 13 4 81 Grace Mason '16 [1-2]
Jason Bankert '18 [3-4, 7-10]
Alec Chicoine '18 [5-6]
Jeremy Herrin '18 [11]
Carter Little '18 [1-2]
Jocelyn Rovniak '17 [3-4]
Lily Brady '19 [5-6]
Abigail Lockler '18 [7-8]
Erin Sudek '19 [9-11]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 13 3 6 5 9 13 6 5 6 9 6 81 John Shanahan '16 [1-11]
Kristen Einthoven '18 [1-8]
Julian Castoro '18 [9-11]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 10 5 10 8 5 8 3 5 2 18 85 Matthew Mcdermaid '17 [1-11]
Karlyn Long '17 [1-6]
Griffin Rodrigue '18 [7-11]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 9 4 9 14 7 2 5 10 9 15 5 89 Bailey Cornog '19 [1-11]
Lawson Buckley '18 [1-4]
John Dyment '18 [5-11]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 1 8 8 9 13 17 16 18 3 1 3 97 Paolo Bertolotti '16
Anna Knight '16
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 7 7 7 6 14 11 3 6 16 18 14 109 Matthew Roleke '19 [1-6, 11]
Nicolas Carabelli '17 [7-10]
Meredith Foor '18 [1-6]
Thomas Slook '18 [7-11]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 10 9 15 7 6 9 15 8 14 7 12 112 Nicholas Pardini '16 [1-11]
Kelly Brust '16 [1-4]
Zachary Warner '19 [5-11]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 8 13 13 17 12 16 7 9 8 12 10 125 Nicholas Brady '19
Riley Golski '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 12 5 16 18 11 14 12 14 11 16 8 137 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Samantha Zito '18
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 4 12 18 12 15 8 18 11 18 14 9 139 No Show
Danielle Jordan '17
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 17 17 10 16 10 7 9 17 15 6 16 140 Matthew Sherar '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Samuel Thompson '17 [3-6, 9-11]
Katie Combaluzier '16 [1-2, 7-11]
Daniel Sheedy '17 [3-6]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 16 16 12 13 16 12 10 13 17 8 11 144 Eric Roos '19
Adriane Tomovic '19
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 14 15 14 8 18 15 13 16 12 17 13 155 Rory Mess '16 [1-11]
Jessica Abriss '18 [1-6, 11]
Hayley Wennberg '16 [7-10]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 15 18 17 15 17 18 17 15 13 11 15 171 Frederick Piasecki '20
Tracy Venella '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 4 1 1 4 6 1 1 3 2 9 10 42 Eric Siegel '16
Lindsey Arnstein '18
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 3 6 8 11 4 4 5 8 2 5 58 Luca Taglialegne '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 5 7 5 1 8 13 7 2 6 6 1 61 Samuel Patterson '16 [1-11]
Eliza Schuett '17 [1-8, 11]
Dorothy Stump '18 [9-10]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 8 11 7 2 9 11 3 1 7 1 2 62 Matt Greenfield '17
Rachel Finci '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 9 8 8 3 BYE BYE 2 10 1 7 9 69 Brendon Wilkins '18 [1-2]
Dane Pedersen '19 [3-6]
Olivia Windemuller '19 [7-10]
Carter Little '18 [11]
Victoria Ewing '19 [1-2]
Molly Sternberg '17 [3-6]
Katelyn Talley '16 [7-10]
Stephen Guglielmo '19 [11]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 4 10 5 4 5 9 14 3 3 12 70 Amanda Attardi '17 [1-11]
Laura Kilgore '17 [1-6]
Hannah Cantolino '18 [7-11]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 10 12 2 15 3 7 5 8 4 11 11 88 Peter Mcmillan '19 [1-2]
Trevor Koerwer '19 [3-11]
Elisabeth Day '18 [1-6, 9-11]
Peter Mcmillan '19 [7-8]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 3 2 3 11 10 8 10 7 9 14 14 91 Barrie Joanna '19
Maeve Wurtz '19
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 17 14 11 16 1 2 6 9 10 8 4 98 Clifton Kartner '15
Sean Magee-Saxton '16
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 14 10 4 7 7 14 8 11 12 5 7 99 Julian Fraize '18 [1-6, 9-11]
Andrew O'Brien '19 [7-8]
Jesse Stevenson '19 [1-6]
Peter Teague '18 [7-11]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 7 6 12 12 2 9 18 12 14 10 15 117 Dante Iozzo '16 [1-11]
Megan Eubank '17 [1-6, 9-11]
No Show [7-8]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 12 13 16 9 5 3 16 4 16 17 6 117 Adam Devita '18 [1-11]
Luke Pelessone '18 [1-6]
Fernand Le Fevre '17 [7-11]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 11 5 14 10 15 15 14 6 15 12 3 120 Michael Danko '17
Ruby Garcia '18
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 6 16 9 6 16 6 17 15 17 18 13 139 Mckay Hanna '17 [1-6]
Benjamin Hayes '16 [7-11]
Ashley Black '17 [1-6]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 13 15 18 17 12 16 15 18 5 4 8 141 Brendan Brown-Mccue '16 [1-11]
Spencer Ochs '18 [1-6, 9-11]
Gaura Mudgal '18 [7-8]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 15 9 15 13 13 10 13 13 11 13 18 143 Haley Clemson '20
Elizabeth Jarvie '18
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 16 17 13 14 14 12 11 16 18 15 RDG 161 Chris Anderson '16
Emily Meehan '17
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 18 18 17 18 17 17 12 17 13 16 17 180 Sarah Culp '17 [1-11]
Julian Castoro '18 [1-2]
Sarah Darr '17 [3-11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights1111131315151717113
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls121210108866442
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains113355779911
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22181816161414121210
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons33557799111113
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates442218181616141412
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps13131515171711335
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs5577991111131315
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions6644221818161614
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels779911111313151517
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks9911111313151517171
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves88664422181816
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange10108866442218
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats151517171133557
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos14141212101088664
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1616141412121010886
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717113355779
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe181816161414121210108

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights1212141416161818224
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls1111997755331
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains22446688101012
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions1117171515131311119
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons4466881010121214
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates331117171515131311
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps14141616181822446
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs668810101212141416
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions5533111717151513
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels88101012121414161618
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks101012121414161618182
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves77553311171715
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange997755331117
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats161618182244668
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos131311119977553
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies15151313111199775
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen18182244668810
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1717151513131111997
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Austin Powers '17 [1-11] Matteo Murrelle '19 [1-4, 7-11]
Hannah Cantolino '18 [5-6]
Captains Amanda Attardi '17 [1-11] Laura Kilgore '17 [1-6]
Hannah Cantolino '18 [7-11]
Columbia University Columbia University Paolo Bertolotti '16 Anna Knight '16
Lions Adam Devita '18 [1-11] Luke Pelessone '18 [1-6]
Fernand Le Fevre '17 [7-11]
Drexel University Drexel University Frederick Piasecki '20 Tracy Venella '16
Dragons Haley Clemson '20 Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Hampton University Hampton University Maximilian Kuester '18 Giuditta Di Laghi '16
Pirates Luca Taglialegne '20 Elisabeth Kuester '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Grace Mason '16 [1-2]
Jason Bankert '18 [3-4, 7-10]
Alec Chicoine '18 [5-6]
Jeremy Herrin '18 [11]		 Carter Little '18 [1-2]
Jocelyn Rovniak '17 [3-4]
Lily Brady '19 [5-6]
Abigail Lockler '18 [7-8]
Erin Sudek '19 [9-11]
Monarchs Brendon Wilkins '18 [1-2]
Dane Pedersen '19 [3-6]
Olivia Windemuller '19 [7-10]
Carter Little '18 [11]		 Victoria Ewing '19 [1-2]
Molly Sternberg '17 [3-6]
Katelyn Talley '16 [7-10]
Stephen Guglielmo '19 [11]
Penn State University Penn State University John Shanahan '16 [1-11] Kristen Einthoven '18 [1-8]
Julian Castoro '18 [9-11]
Nittany Lions Sarah Culp '17 [1-11] Julian Castoro '18 [1-2]
Sarah Darr '17 [3-11]
Queen's University Queen's University Matthew Sherar '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Samuel Thompson '17 [3-6, 9-11]		 Katie Combaluzier '16 [1-2, 7-11]
Daniel Sheedy '17 [3-6]
Gaels Clifton Kartner '15 Sean Magee-Saxton '16
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Vidar Minkovsky '18 Samantha Zito '18
Seawolves Brendan Brown-Mccue '16 [1-11] Spencer Ochs '18 [1-6, 9-11]
Gaura Mudgal '18 [7-8]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Matthew Roleke '19 [1-6, 11]
Nicolas Carabelli '17 [7-10]		 Meredith Foor '18 [1-6]
Thomas Slook '18 [7-11]
Ducks Julian Fraize '18 [1-6, 9-11]
Andrew O'Brien '19 [7-8]		 Jesse Stevenson '19 [1-6]
Peter Teague '18 [7-11]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Nicholas Pardini '16 [1-11] Kelly Brust '16 [1-4]
Zachary Warner '19 [5-11]
Orange Barrie Joanna '19 Maeve Wurtz '19
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy No Show Danielle Jordan '17
Black Knights Michael Danko '17 Ruby Garcia '18
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Rory Mess '16 [1-11] Jessica Abriss '18 [1-6, 11]
Hayley Wennberg '16 [7-10]
Bulls Dante Iozzo '16 [1-11] Megan Eubank '17 [1-6, 9-11]
No Show [7-8]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Joshua Prucnal '16 No Show
Terps Matt Greenfield '17 Rachel Finci '17
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Craven '16 [1-11] Callie Hern '18 [1-4, 11]
Dorothy Stump '18 [5-6]
Julia Gowell '18 [7-8]
Alexander Singh '19 [9-10]
Wahoos Samuel Patterson '16 [1-11] Eliza Schuett '17 [1-8, 11]
Dorothy Stump '18 [9-10]
Villanova University Villanova University Bailey Cornog '19 [1-11] Lawson Buckley '18 [1-4]
John Dyment '18 [5-11]
Wildcats Peter Mcmillan '19 [1-2]
Trevor Koerwer '19 [3-11]		 Elisabeth Day '18 [1-6, 9-11]
Peter Mcmillan '19 [7-8]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Nicholas Brady '19 Riley Golski '19
Hokies Mckay Hanna '17 [1-6]
Benjamin Hayes '16 [7-11]		 Ashley Black '17 [1-6]
Washington College Washington College Matthew Mcdermaid '17 [1-11] Karlyn Long '17 [1-6]
Griffin Rodrigue '18 [7-11]
Shoremen Eric Siegel '16 Lindsey Arnstein '18
William and Mary William and Mary Eric Roos '19 Adriane Tomovic '19
Tribe Chris Anderson '16 Emily Meehan '17

Conditions — 10/17/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1021.1 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From WNW (297°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1021.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 7 kn · NW 12 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →