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NY Maritime Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 19 18 37
2 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 25 41 66
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 53 21 74
4 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 63 28 91
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 28 85 113
6 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 48 72 120
7 Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 94 53 147
8 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 70 82 152
9 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 46 108 MRP 154 MRP
10 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 93 63 156
11 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 96 70 166
12 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 76 92 168
13 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 91 105 196
14 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 108 110 218
15 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 114 106 220
16 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 136 94 230
17 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 138 117 255
18 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI 117 MRP 149 MRP 266 MRP
19 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 158 148 306
20 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 151 MRP 181 MRP 332 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 1 2 5 1 2 6 1 19 Nicholas Clemence '15
Kaitlyn Noreen '16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 4 4 5 1 5 1 2 3 25 Greiner Hobbs '18
Shannon Lawler '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 3 4 2 6 5 1 2 28 Peter Hogan '18
Sahara Graft '18
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 8 10 3 9 3 3 4 46 Arthur Libby '17
Caitlin Cummings '18
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 15 1 9 2 4 4 6 48 Alex Woloshyn '17 [1-8]
Noelle Crough '18 [1-6]
Alex Gatto '15 [7-8]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 2 9 7 4 12 5 11 53 Adam Keally '15
Jamie Spence '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 12 9 7 8 8 7 7 5 63 Austin Powers '17
Nina Heatfield '17
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 15 11 3 10 3 6 14 8 70 Andrew Beckmann '15
Michael Wegner '17
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 10 5 6 4 10 DSQ 8 12 76 Joshua Prucnal '16
Hunter Hurst '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 13 10 12 11 11 8 9 17 91 Constantine Spentzos '17 [1-8]
Spencer Ochs '18 [1-4]
Cody Murphy '17 [5-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 6 15 13 15 14 12 16 93 Casey Brown '16 [1-8]
Zachary Backas '16 [1-6]
Oleg Golubev '16 [7-8]
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 8 13 16 6 12 10 10 19 94 Sara Klik '17
Anna Conway '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 14 12 13 12 7 9 15 14 96 Padraig Loughlin '15
Danielle Ciufia '17
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 11 16 18 14 14 11 11 13 108 Jonah Burke-Kleinman '16
Marie Boileau '16
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 17 14 11 18 13 13 19 9 114 Adam Devita '18 [1-8]
Anna Quincy '15 [1-4]
Loren Myers '16 [5-8]
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI 9 7 8 15 16 18 17 7 117 MRP Wilson Gregory '18
Lucas Volle '17
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 16 18 20 16 18 17 16 15 136 Tyler Rochon '18
James Emery '18
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 19 17 17 17 17 15 18 18 138 Adrija Navarro '15
Bennett Brainard '17
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 18 20 14 DSQ 19 16 13 10 151 MRP Daniel Christiani '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Skylar Munger '17 [3-4]
Richard Cremin '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Lauren Shelley '18 [3-4]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 20 19 19 19 20 19 DNS DNS 158 Claire Michaud '18
Abigail Feikes '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 3 1 1 5 1 1 5 18 Edmund Cooper '17
Allison Shane '15
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 1 3 4 1 3 4 2 21 Adelaide Ferguson '17
Elaina Mansley '16
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 7 7 2 2 2 2 3 3 28 Xander Van Beurden '18 [1-8]
Laura Kilgore '17 [1-6]
Julia Davis '16 [7-8]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 9 2 4 3 8 9 5 1 41 Noah Barrengos Barrengos '18
Erica Oosterhoff '18
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 6 8 5 6 6 6 10 6 53 Emily Bicks '16
Christian Langalis '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 6 10 10 13 8 6 8 63 Cody Stansky '16
Kurt Gavel '16
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 4 15 14 9 12 2 9 70 Vincent Storino '18
Heidi Neubelt '17
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 12 14 8 11 3 11 9 4 72 Connor Juckniess '18 [1-8]
Rebecca Mount '17 [1-4]
Perry Goodman '17 [5-8]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 14 9 13 7 15 5 12 7 82 Michael Danko '17 [1-8]
Ruby Garcia '18 [1-2, 5-6]
John Schumacher '17 [3-4]
William Windom '17 [7-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 13 11 11 5 4 18 8 15 85 Spencer Nora '17
Rosie Silverstein '18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 4 17 16 8 7 13 16 11 92 Joseph Crouse '16 [1-4]
Jackson Dunitz '16 [5-8]
Nate Ostrander '18 [1-4]
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 16 16 6 12 14 7 11 12 94 Peter Fiala '16
Jinge Wang '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 8 5 12 13 19 10 20 18 105 Vidar Minkovsky '18 [1-4]
Andrew Lithen '18 [5-8]
Samantha Zito '18 [1-4]
Pranav Sood '17 [5-8]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 17 15 9 18 12 4 15 16 106 Michael Fagundo '18
Catherine Duggan '15
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 11 12 7 16 11 14 7 10 108 MRP James Keegan '16
Brandon Morris '18
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 15 10 14 19 10 15 13 14 110 Aaron Babier '15
Katie Combaluzier '16
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 10 13 17 15 16 16 17 13 117 Sarah Gross '15
Bennett Alvaro '16
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 19 18 20 17 18 19 18 19 148 Kevin Mccandless '15 [1-8]
Bradley Hanford '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Daniel Piccininni '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI 18 19 18 9 17 17 14 17 149 MRP Spencer Lee '16
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester DNF DNF 19 DNF 20 20 19 20 181 MRP Tucker Nelson '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Robert Ichiyama '18 [3-4]
Katherine Curran '17 [1-2, 5-8]
William Mccaffrey '18 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights1616141412121010
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11335577
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders22202018181616
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions33557799
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red442220201818
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams5577991111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6644222020
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners15151717191911
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps1818161614141212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen171719191133
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1111131315151717
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers779911111313
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels88664422
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI99111113131515
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester1010886644
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester1919113355
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1313151517171919
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves121210108866
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange14141212101088
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers2020181816161414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights15151313111199
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains22446688
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders11191917171515
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions4466881010
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red331119191717
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams668810101212
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen5533111919
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners16161818202022
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps1717151513131111
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen181820202244
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1212141416161818
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers88101012121414
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels77553311
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI1010121214141616
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester99775533
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester2020224466
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1414161618182020
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1111997755
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange131311119977
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1919171715151313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Austin Powers '17 Nina Heatfield '17
Captains Xander Van Beurden '18 [1-8] Laura Kilgore '17 [1-6]
Julia Davis '16 [7-8]
Colgate University Colgate University Sara Klik '17 Anna Conway '17
Raiders Emily Bicks '16 Christian Langalis '17
Columbia University Columbia University Adam Devita '18 [1-8] Anna Quincy '15 [1-4]
Loren Myers '16 [5-8]
Lions Michael Fagundo '18 Catherine Duggan '15
Cornell University Cornell University Alex Woloshyn '17 [1-8] Noelle Crough '18 [1-6]
Alex Gatto '15 [7-8]
Big Red Connor Juckniess '18 [1-8] Rebecca Mount '17 [1-4]
Perry Goodman '17 [5-8]
Fordham University Fordham University Adam Keally '15 Jamie Spence '18
Rams Adelaide Ferguson '17 Elaina Mansley '16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Greiner Hobbs '18 Shannon Lawler '18
Statesmen Noah Barrengos Barrengos '18 Erica Oosterhoff '18
Princeton University Princeton University Adrija Navarro '15 Bennett Brainard '17
Tigers Sarah Gross '15 Bennett Alvaro '16
Queen's University Queen's University Jonah Burke-Kleinman '16 Marie Boileau '16
Gaels Aaron Babier '15 Katie Combaluzier '16
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Wilson Gregory '18 Lucas Volle '17
RPI Spencer Lee '16
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Daniel Christiani '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Skylar Munger '17 [3-4]		 Richard Cremin '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Lauren Shelley '18 [3-4]
Rochester Tucker Nelson '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Robert Ichiyama '18 [3-4]		 Katherine Curran '17 [1-2, 5-8]
William Mccaffrey '18 [3-4]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Arthur Libby '17 Caitlin Cummings '18
Privateers James Keegan '16 Brandon Morris '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Constantine Spentzos '17 [1-8] Spencer Ochs '18 [1-4]
Cody Murphy '17 [5-8]
Seawolves Vidar Minkovsky '18 [1-4]
Andrew Lithen '18 [5-8]		 Samantha Zito '18 [1-4]
Pranav Sood '17 [5-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Nicholas Clemence '15 Kaitlyn Noreen '16
Seahawks Edmund Cooper '17 Allison Shane '15
Syracuse University Syracuse University Claire Michaud '18 Abigail Feikes '16
Orange Kevin Mccandless '15 [1-8] Bradley Hanford '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Daniel Piccininni '17 [3-4, 7-8]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Padraig Loughlin '15 Danielle Ciufia '17
Mariners Vincent Storino '18 Heidi Neubelt '17
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Andrew Beckmann '15 Michael Wegner '17
Black Knights Michael Danko '17 [1-8] Ruby Garcia '18 [1-2, 5-6]
John Schumacher '17 [3-4]
William Windom '17 [7-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Peter Hogan '18 Sahara Graft '18
Midshipmen Spencer Nora '17 Rosie Silverstein '18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Joshua Prucnal '16 Hunter Hurst '18
Terps Joseph Crouse '16 [1-4]
Jackson Dunitz '16 [5-8]		 Nate Ostrander '18 [1-4]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Tyler Rochon '18 James Emery '18
U. Rochester Peter Fiala '16 Jinge Wang '18
Webb Institute Webb Institute Casey Brown '16 [1-8] Zachary Backas '16 [1-6]
Oleg Golubev '16 [7-8]
Clippers Cody Stansky '16 Kurt Gavel '16

Conditions — 09/20/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From SSE (163°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1023.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · SE 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →