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North Spring Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 7 12
2 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 25 26 51
3 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 31 22 53
4 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 21 47 68
5 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 45 25 70
6 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 57 26 83
7 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 50 38 88
8 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 69 19 88
9 Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 44 49 93
10 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 52 44 96
11 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 34 66 100
12 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 40 60 100
13 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 52 49 101
14 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 64 58 122
15 Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 45 81 126
16 University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 53 80 133
17 Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 80 68 148
18 University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue 95 95 190
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 1 1 1 1 5 Duncan Howes '15
Laura Lee '18
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 6 3 7 2 3 21 Paolo Bertolotti '16
Anna Knight '16
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 2 10 6 5 2 25 Griffin Orr '15 [1-5]
Jessica Abriss '18 [1, 4-5]
Dante Iozzo '16 [2-3]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 5 4 2 6 14 31 Casey Brown '16
Zachary Backas '16
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 4 16 3 4 7 34 Nicholas Pardini '16 [1-5]
Claire Michaud '18 [1-3]
Kelly Brust '16 [4-5]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 7 6 9 14 4 40 John Shanahan '16
Kristen Einthoven '18
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 3 13 4 13 11 44 Sara Klik '17
Anna Conway '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 8 5 11 12 9 45 Constantine Spentzos '17
Heather Grosso '16
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 16 7 10 7 5 45 Brogan Savage '15 [1-3]
Sydney Seitz '17 [4-5]
Courtney Brooks '16 [1-3]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 14 2 8 10 16 50 Zachary Baum '17
Sean Magee-Saxton '16
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 10 12 15 3 12 52 Julian Fraize '18
Eric Cherin '15
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 11 8 DSQ 8 6 52 Robert Whitaker '18 [1-5]
Leila Clark '18 [1, 4-5]
Bennett Alvaro '16 [2-3]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 9 11 14 11 8 53 Tyler Rochon '18
Kelly Chang '17
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 15 9 5 15 13 57 Michael Danko '17
Brian Bui '16
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 12 15 13 9 15 64 Mitchell Nunn '18
Alina Robinson '17
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 17 14 12 16 10 69 Daniel Christiani '15 [1-5]
Ian Taylor '18 [1-3]
Richard Cremin '18 [4-5]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 13 17 16 17 17 80 Audrey Meehan '18
Rosemary Tomao '18
University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 95 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 1 1 1 1 7 Alex Woloshyn '17
Claire Riedman '16
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 5 6 4 2 2 19 Skylar Munger '17
Cynthia Stetson '18
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 4 3 9 4 22 Cody Stansky '16
Kurt Gavel '16
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 2 6 10 6 25 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Samantha Zito '18
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 4 5 2 4 11 26 Rory Mess '16
Emily Hann '17
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 6 3 5 3 9 26 Matthew Schmitt '17
Danielle Jordan '17
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 7 8 8 5 10 38 Clifton Kartner '15 [1-3]
Jonah Burke-Kleinman '16 [4-5]
David Kagan '15 [1-3]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 9 9 10 8 8 44 Peter Teague '18
Meredith Foor '18
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 8 10 11 6 12 47 Adam Devita '18
Anna Quincy '15
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 10 13 9 12 5 49 Andrew Grasso '15
Margaret O'Rourke '16
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 15 11 13 7 3 49 Lindsay Burroughs '17
Matthew Nelson '17
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 14 7 15 15 7 58 Ted Iii '16
Brooke Lecompte '15
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 11 16 7 13 13 60 Sarah Culp '17
Sarah Darr '17
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 12 12 14 14 14 66 Elliot Greenwald '16
Alberto Rivera '16
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 13 15 12 11 17 68 Taylor Niles '17
Joshua Guix '17
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 17 14 16 17 16 80 James Emery '18
Peter Fiala '16
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 16 17 17 16 15 81 Amanda Nuse '17 [1-5]
Kaitlyn Brennan '17 [1-3]
Ryan Hallak '18 [4-5]
University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 95 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (27 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights1414141212
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls1515151717
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders11133
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2221818
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red33311
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth44422
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings55577
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions66644
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers77799
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels88866
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers9991111
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets1616161414
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers10101088
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks1212121010
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1111111313
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange1313131515
University of TorontoUniversity of Toronto True Blue17171755
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1818181616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights1313131111
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls1616161818
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders22244
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions1111717
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red44466
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth33311
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings66688
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions18181833
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers8881010
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels77722
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers1010101212
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets1515151313
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers99977
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks11111199
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1212121414
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange1414141616
University of TorontoUniversity of Toronto True Blue55555
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1717171515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Colgate University Colgate University Sara Klik '17 Anna Conway '17
Raiders Lindsay Burroughs '17 Matthew Nelson '17
Columbia University Columbia University Paolo Bertolotti '16 Anna Knight '16
Lions Adam Devita '18 Anna Quincy '15
Cornell University Cornell University Duncan Howes '15 Laura Lee '18
Big Red Alex Woloshyn '17 Claire Riedman '16
Monmouth University Monmouth University Brogan Savage '15 [1-3]
Sydney Seitz '17 [4-5]		 Courtney Brooks '16 [1-3]
Monmouth Amanda Nuse '17 [1-5] Kaitlyn Brennan '17 [1-3]
Ryan Hallak '18 [4-5]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Mitchell Nunn '18 Alina Robinson '17
Vikings Ted Iii '16 Brooke Lecompte '15
Penn State University Penn State University John Shanahan '16 Kristen Einthoven '18
Nittany Lions Sarah Culp '17 Sarah Darr '17
Princeton University Princeton University Robert Whitaker '18 [1-5] Leila Clark '18 [1, 4-5]
Bennett Alvaro '16 [2-3]
Tigers Andrew Grasso '15 Margaret O'Rourke '16
Queen's University Queen's University Zachary Baum '17 Sean Magee-Saxton '16
Gaels Clifton Kartner '15 [1-3]
Jonah Burke-Kleinman '16 [4-5]		 David Kagan '15 [1-3]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Daniel Christiani '15 [1-5] Ian Taylor '18 [1-3]
Richard Cremin '18 [4-5]
Tigers Skylar Munger '17 Cynthia Stetson '18
Rutgers University Rutgers University Audrey Meehan '18 Rosemary Tomao '18
Rutgers Taylor Niles '17 Joshua Guix '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Constantine Spentzos '17 Heather Grosso '16
Seawolves Vidar Minkovsky '18 Samantha Zito '18
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Julian Fraize '18 Eric Cherin '15
Ducks Peter Teague '18 Meredith Foor '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Nicholas Pardini '16 [1-5] Claire Michaud '18 [1-3]
Kelly Brust '16 [4-5]
Orange Elliot Greenwald '16 Alberto Rivera '16
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Michael Danko '17 Brian Bui '16
Black Knights Matthew Schmitt '17 Danielle Jordan '17
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Griffin Orr '15 [1-5] Jessica Abriss '18 [1, 4-5]
Dante Iozzo '16 [2-3]
Bulls Rory Mess '16 Emily Hann '17
University of Rochester University of Rochester Tyler Rochon '18 Kelly Chang '17
Yellowjackets James Emery '18 Peter Fiala '16
University of Toronto University of Toronto No Show No Show
True Blue No Show No Show
Webb Institute Webb Institute Casey Brown '16 Zachary Backas '16
Clippers Cody Stansky '16 Kurt Gavel '16

Conditions — 04/18/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.1 kn
Gusts to 29.9 kn
From W (279°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn · W 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Cornell: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →