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Central Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 18 26 44
2 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 11 40 51
3 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 34 20 54
4 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 31 23 54
5 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 42 30 72
6 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 42 39 81
7 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 42 47 89
8 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 36 60 96
9 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 69 32 101
10 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 43 82 125
11 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 89 52 141
12 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 72 69 141
13 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 69 81 150
14 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 83 80 163
15 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 74 94 168
16 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 93 83 176
17 Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 97 85 182
18 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 100 90 190
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 1 1 3 1 2 3 11 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Micayla Beyer '19
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 2 2 5 2 3 4 18 Amanda Stapp '18
Annika Ekholm '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 6 3 1 11 5 5 31 Thomas Cooper '19
Brigid Murphy '20
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 3 4 8 3 6 10 34 Alexander Smith '17
Allison Cochran '18
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 8 5 6 4 4 9 36 Andrew O'Brien '19 [1-6]
Jesse Stevenson '19 [1-4]
Meredith Foor '18 [5-6]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 5 9 7 8 7 6 42 Adam Devita '18 [1-3]
Calvin Tong '19 [4-6]
Elizabeth Keeney '19 [1-3]
Bailey Fryer '18 [4-6]
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 7 6 9 6 12 2 42
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 12 13 10 5 1 1 42 Keen Butcher '18
Alison Gern '20
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 4 14 2 7 8 8 43 Theodore Fortier '17
Ann Bell '20
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 9 11 11 16 11 11 69 Haley Clemson '20
Theodore Schon '19
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 14 16 13 10 9 7 69 Kayleigh Godfrey '19 [1-6]
Katherine Foley '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Cahill '18 [3-4]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 16 7 12 9 16 12 72 Evan Shone '17 [1-4]
Cathleen Murphy '19 [5-6]
Morgan Dezendorf '17 [1-4]
Stephen Schindel '19 [5-6]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 10 8 4 18 17 17 74 Anne Sidamon-Eristoff '20 [1-3]
George Kevrekidis '18 [4-6]
Grant Godeke '17 [1-3]
Christina De Soto '20 [4-6]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 13 10 DNF 13 13 15 83 Declan Gaylo '19
Peter Wiley '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 11 DNF DNS 12 14 14 89 Samantha Mislinski '19
Gaura Mudgal '18
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions DNF 15 DNS 17 10 13 93 Sarah Culp '17
Alanna Powers '19
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 15 12 DNF 15 18 18 97 Taylor Niles '17 [1-3]
Robert Jarrett '17 [4-6]
Emily Rathburn '19 [1-2]
Elizabeth Lee '20 [3]
Anthony Principe '18 [4]
Weber Lin '18 [5-6]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 17 DNF DNS 14 15 16 100 Emily Meehan '17
Tyler Skelton '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 1 4 7 4 3 20 Matthew Mcdermaid '17
Lindsey Arnstein '18
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 6 7 3 4 1 2 23 Thomas Capozzi '19
Jacqueline Tobin '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 3 3 6 8 2 4 26 Grace Howie '20
Gabrielle Mascio '18
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 7 2 5 6 9 1 30
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 8 5 10 1 3 5 32 Madeline Delvescovo '20
Molly Jean Henebury '19
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 2 4 9 9 8 7 39 Nicholas Houchois '19 [1-2]
Isabel De La Torre '20 [3-6]
Antonia Leggett '19 [1-2]
Elizabeth Keeney '19 [3-6]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 4 6 2 3 10 15 40 Nicholas Manfredi '19
Samantha Zito '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 16 12 1 5 7 6 47 Laura Whelan '20
Jacob Rhode '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 5 16 8 2 13 8 52 Maisy Claudio '18
Sara Conway '16
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 13 10 7 10 6 14 60 Peter Teague '18 [1-2]
Jesse Stevenson '19 [3-6]
Maxwell Cool '19 [1-2]
Julie Kampf '20 [3-6]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 9 8 15 16 5 16 69 Martha Diezemann '18 [1-4]
Sean Crandall '19 [5-6]
Ryan Wilityer '18 [1-4]
Calyn O'Connell '17 [5-6]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 14 11 13 17 12 13 80 Muriel Weathers '19 [1-6]
Max Pierce '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Migliozzi '20 [3-4]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 12 DNF 14 11 15 10 81 Veronica Lane '19
Ryan Hallak '18
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 11 15 17 14 16 9 82 Danny Kane '20
Genevieve Lee '20
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions DNS 14 11 13 14 12 83 Noah Yoskowitz '19 [1, 3, 5]
Elizabeth Lewis '20 [2, 4, 6]
Alexander Keiser '18 [1, 3, 5]
Sarah Jensen '20 [2, 4, 6]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 10 13 16 18 11 17 85 Jeremy Welsch '18 [1-2]
Maxwell Denn '18 [3-6]
Mona Patel '18 [1-2]
Emily Pooley '19 [3-4]
Daniel Kim '18 [5-6]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe DNF DNS 12 12 17 11 90 Nina Willms '20
Katelyn Wright '18
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 15 9 18 15 18 DNF 94 Quinn Donohue '20 [1-2]
Ernest Ruehl '19 [3-6]
Evan Trauger '19 [1-2]
Todd Gilman '20 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions113355
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens131315151717
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons224466
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 1335577
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 2446688
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD557799
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks66881010
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions77991111
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers141416161818
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers8810101212
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers9911111313
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks121214141616
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1101012121414
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2111113131515
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats1515171711
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1616181822
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers17171133
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe18182244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions224466
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens141416161818
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons335577
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 1446688
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 2557799
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD66881010
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks77991111
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions8810101212
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1515171711
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers9911111313
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers101012121414
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks131315151717
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1111113131515
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2121214141616
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats1616181822
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen17171133
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers18182244
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Adam Devita '18 [1-3]
Calvin Tong '19 [4-6]		 Elizabeth Keeney '19 [1-3]
Bailey Fryer '18 [4-6]
Lions Nicholas Houchois '19 [1-2]
Isabel De La Torre '20 [3-6]		 Antonia Leggett '19 [1-2]
Elizabeth Keeney '19 [3-6]
Drexel University Drexel University Haley Clemson '20 Theodore Schon '19
Dragons Madeline Delvescovo '20 Molly Jean Henebury '19
Fordham University Fordham University Amanda Stapp '18 Annika Ekholm '20
Rams 1 Grace Howie '20 Gabrielle Mascio '18
Fordham University Fordham University Thomas Cooper '19 Brigid Murphy '20
Rams 2 Thomas Capozzi '19 Jacqueline Tobin '20
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Theodore Fortier '17 Ann Bell '20
Loyola University MD Danny Kane '20 Genevieve Lee '20
Monmouth University Monmouth University Kayleigh Godfrey '19 [1-6] Katherine Foley '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Cahill '18 [3-4]
Hawks Veronica Lane '19 Ryan Hallak '18
Penn State University Penn State University Sarah Culp '17 Alanna Powers '19
Nittany Lions Noah Yoskowitz '19 [1, 3, 5]
Elizabeth Lewis '20 [2, 4, 6]		 Alexander Keiser '18 [1, 3, 5]
Sarah Jensen '20 [2, 4, 6]
Princeton University Princeton University Anne Sidamon-Eristoff '20 [1-3]
George Kevrekidis '18 [4-6]		 Grant Godeke '17 [1-3]
Christina De Soto '20 [4-6]
Tigers Quinn Donohue '20 [1-2]
Ernest Ruehl '19 [3-6]		 Evan Trauger '19 [1-2]
Todd Gilman '20 [3-6]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Taylor Niles '17 [1-3]
Robert Jarrett '17 [4-6]		 Emily Rathburn '19 [1-2]
Elizabeth Lee '20 [3]
Anthony Principe '18 [4]
Weber Lin '18 [5-6]
Rutgers Jeremy Welsch '18 [1-2]
Maxwell Denn '18 [3-6]		 Mona Patel '18 [1-2]
Emily Pooley '19 [3-4]
Daniel Kim '18 [5-6]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Vidar Minkovsky '18 Micayla Beyer '19
Seawolves 1 Nicholas Manfredi '19 Samantha Zito '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Samantha Mislinski '19 Gaura Mudgal '18
Seawolves 2 Maisy Claudio '18 Sara Conway '16
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Andrew O'Brien '19 [1-6] Jesse Stevenson '19 [1-4]
Meredith Foor '18 [5-6]
Ducks Peter Teague '18 [1-2]
Jesse Stevenson '19 [3-6]		 Maxwell Cool '19 [1-2]
Julie Kampf '20 [3-6]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Evan Shone '17 [1-4]
Cathleen Murphy '19 [5-6]		 Morgan Dezendorf '17 [1-4]
Stephen Schindel '19 [5-6]
Blue Hens Martha Diezemann '18 [1-4]
Sean Crandall '19 [5-6]		 Ryan Wilityer '18 [1-4]
Calyn O'Connell '17 [5-6]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Keen Butcher '18 Alison Gern '20
Quakers Laura Whelan '20 Jacob Rhode '19
Washington College Washington College Alexander Smith '17 Allison Cochran '18
Shoremen Matthew Mcdermaid '17 Lindsey Arnstein '18
Webb Institute Webb Institute Declan Gaylo '19 Peter Wiley '19
Clippers Muriel Weathers '19 [1-6] Max Pierce '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Migliozzi '20 [3-4]
William and Mary William and Mary Emily Meehan '17 Tyler Skelton '19
Tribe Nina Willms '20 Katelyn Wright '18

Conditions — 04/08/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 36%  ·  Pressure 1010.3 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.3 kn
avg  ·  max 13.5 kn
Gusts to 29.2 kn
From WNW (297°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity36% Pressure1010.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 17 kn · W 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Monmouth: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Monmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 12 labelled days at Monmouth, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →