Engineer's Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Snailors 15 22 37
2 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 26 12 38
3 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 32 40 72
4 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 43 48 91
5 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 47 49 96
6 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 57 59 116
7 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 66 63 129
8 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 74 70 144
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Snailors 1 2 3 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 15 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Micayla Beyer '19
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 3 6 2 26 Vincent Storino '18
Kelly Flynn '19
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 4 5 5 3 2 1 5 2 1 4 32 Casey Brown '16 [1-4]
Cody Stansky '16 [5-6]
Alex Dzinbal '17 [7-10]
Blake Loncharich '19 [1-4]
Alex Dzinbal '17 [5-6]
Brian Mills '16 [7-10]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 3 1 5 4 4 3 6 5 7 43 Mitchell Nunn '18
Alina Robinson '17
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 3 4 7 4 6 6 6 5 3 3 47 Haley Clemson '20
Elizabeth Jarvie '18
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 6 8 4 6 5 8 4 4 4 8 57 Sean Crandall '19
Rachel Moskowitz '17
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 7 6 6 7 7 5 7 8 8 5 66 Taylor Niles '17
Robert Jarrett '17
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 8 7 8 8 8 7 8 7 7 6 74 Victoria Tang '19 [1-6]
Sydney Mandelbaum '17 [7-10]
Oscar Mahoney '18 [1-6]
Christian Pavlakos '18 [7-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 12 Devin Keister '18
Clark Spencer Ragsdale '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Snailors 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 2 1 4 22 Brendan Brown-Mccue '16
No Show
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 3 4 6 3 2 5 5 3 7 2 40 Gokce Gomec '18 [1-6]
James Morrissey '17 [7-10]
Muriel Weathers '19 [1-2]
Declan Gaylo '19 [3-6, 10]
Kurt Gavel '16 [7-9]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 3 4 4 5 4 8 4 4 7 48 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Angelina Graham '19
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 7 5 3 5 4 2 4 5 5 DNF 49 Abigail Proko '20 [1-8]
No Show [9-10]
Molly Jean Henebury '19 [1-2]
No Show [3-8]
Abigail Proko '20 [9-10]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 4 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 8 6 59 Laila Van Cleve '19
Veronica Hanus '17
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 6 7 8 8 7 7 7 7 3 3 63 Rosemary Tomao '18
Joshua Guix '17
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 8 DNF 7 7 8 8 3 DNF 6 5 70 Grant Godeke '17 [1-2]
Evan Wood '18 [3-6]
Bennett Alvaro '16 [7-10]
Dylan Ackermamn '14 [1-6]
Anna Stillman '18 [7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens7788112233
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons1122334455
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners6677881122
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings2233445566
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers3344556677
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights4455667788
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Snailors5566778811
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers8811223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens7788112233
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons1122334455
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners6677881122
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings2233445566
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers3344556677
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights4455667788
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Snailors5566778811
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers8811223344

Conditions — 05/14/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1006.1 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From SSW (197°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1006.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn* · N 15 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Webb Institute: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Webb Institute by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Webb Institute, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →