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St. Mary's Women's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 51 96 147
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 94 62 156
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 115 60 175
4 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 118 MRP 94 MRP 212 MRP
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 154 60 214
6 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 98 137 235
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 129 123 252
8 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 169 89 258
9 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 119 154 273
10 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 184 101 285
11 Boston College Boston College Eagles 115 172 287
12 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 126 168 294
13 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 166 135 301
14 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 122 MRP 201 MRP 323 MRP
15 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 127 196 323
16 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 153 176 329
17 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 161 177 338
18 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 254 MRP 253 MRP 507 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 1 1 3 1 4 1 7 12 3 4 6 1 4 51 Erin Mullins '16 [1-14]
Dana Bloch '17 [1-10, 12-14]
Emily Kushner Salitan '16 [11]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 4 4 16 2 15 3 15 2 1 11 9 4 7 1 94 Morgan Kiss '15
Natalya Doris '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 3 9 9 13 2 2 DSQ 6 4 2 8 9 11 98 Nikole Barnes '17
Jennifer Lane '15
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 2 8 13 16 7 4 1 17 10 3 11 5 13 115 Allyson Donahue '17 [1-14]
Katherine Downey '16 [1-8, 12-14]
Katja Sertl '16 [9-11]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 8 11 6 12 6 10 11 8 13 7 3 8 6 115 Nancy Hagood '14
Meaghan Macrae '18
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 8 5 3 4 7 11 3 8 5 9 8 12 12 3 118 MRP Clerc Cooper '15 [1-14]
Chloe Dapp '17 [1-10, 12-14]
Charlotte Saxe '16 [11]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 12 11 10 5 4 12 14 3 13 12 5 2 4 12 119 Sarah Williams '16
Sophia Diserio '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 13 4 12 2 1 6 16 7 6 1 14 2 16 122 MRP Rachel Bryer '17 [1-14]
Hannah Scanlon '18 [1-10, 12-14]
Marisa Decollibus '17 [11]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 18 6 14 7 3 15 11 12 4 1 14 1 6 14 126 Adelaide Ferguson '17
Lauren Holderman '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 9 12 5 1 11 9 8 15 9 7 12 7 14 8 127 Melany Johnson '15 [1-14]
Jessica Resnick '16 [1-8, 12-14]
Audrey Franchett '17 [9-11]
Brown University Brown University Bears 11 9 7 16 17 8 12 4 3 2 11 13 11 5 129 Johanna Kincaid '15 [1-14]
Nicole Quattrocchi '15 [1-10, 12-14]
Alexandra Swanson '16 [11]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 13 10 2 18 14 16 5 14 2 14 6 16 16 7 153 Andrea Luna '15 [1-14]
Kaylie Gallagher '16 [1-8]
Cady Johnson '16 [9-14]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 7 16 6 11 10 5 7 6 10 16 13 15 17 15 154 Catherine Shanahan '15
Kaitlyn Noreen '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 14 17 12 10 6 10 9 10 14 8 18 10 13 10 161 Jennifer Borshoff '15
Tara Bergstrom '18
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 17 15 15 8 5 14 13 9 11 15 16 9 10 9 166 India Johnstone '18 [1-4, 11]
Hannah Mcnomee '16 [5-10, 12-14]
Isabel Strachan '18 [1-4, 11]
Jennifer Wilson '15 [5-10, 12-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 15 7 13 17 9 18 17 17 18 18 10 5 3 2 169 Holly Tullo '17
Haley Fox '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 10 14 17 14 8 13 16 5 16 5 17 17 15 17 184 Charlotte List '18 [1-14]
Isabelle Pieper '18 [1-8]
Alexandra Maurillo '18 [9-14]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 16 18 18 15 18 17 18 13 15 17 15 18 18 18 254 MRP Louise Currie '18 [1-14]
Taylor Morgan '16 [1-10, 12-14]
Hana Bruno '16 [11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 7 6 3 1 3 4 1 10 6 10 3 1 1 60 Marissa Golison '16 [1-14]
Rachel Ryan '15 [1-10, 12-14]
Natasha Skaalrud '16 [11]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 11 2 2 6 2 5 2 2 2 6 2 4 9 60 Katia Dasilva '15
Katie Olsen '15
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 2 3 7 4 1 1 4 4 9 4 4 9 3 62 Casey Klingler '18
Katherine Gaumond '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 9 3 8 12 3 5 7 3 12 8 3 5 7 4 89 Maeve White '17
Sarah Lucas '18
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 10 8 1 1 16 7 2 6 1 5 8 1 3 5 94 MRP Elizabeth Pemberton '18 [1-14]
Morgan Buckley '15 [1-10, 12-14]
Michaela Reynolds '16 [11]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 1 4 6 5 8 3 13 3 7 16 9 17 2 96 Courtney Koos '16
Sydney Avitia-Jacques '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 4 12 9 11 6 10 10 11 3 2 8 8 6 101 Emilia Clementi '18 [1-14]
Alexandra Maurillo '18 [1-7]
Isabelle Pieper '18 [8-10, 12-14]
Haley Kachmar '18 [11]
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 10 11 4 15 10 15 7 6 1 1 11 6 14 123 Kelly Mcglynn '15
Courtney Bergh '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 5 9 5 7 15 6 16 15 12 11 6 12 13 135 Miranda Bakos '18 [1-8, 12-14]
Maria Sinagra '16 [9-11]
Meagan Murphy '15 [1-11]
Isabel Strachan '18 [12-14]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 8 6 7 18 2 4 17 5 17 17 13 13 2 8 137 Devon Rohde '15
Hannah Herring '18
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 11 15 13 14 18 11 9 14 7 4 5 16 5 12 154 Margaret Kilvert '18
Hope Wilson '16
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 13 12 15 8 17 14 8 9 5 13 12 17 15 10 168 Johanna Monro '16 [1-14]
Katherine Jones '18 [1-10, 12-14]
Elizabeth Foulston '17 [11]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 17 9 5 15 14 9 12 11 9 14 14 14 14 15 172 Hannah Lynn '17 [1-14]
Katja Sertl '16 [1-7]
Emily Schalka '15 [8-14]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 14 16 16 10 16 14 12 14 11 9 7 13 18 176 Sarah Streater '18
Colin Voigt '15
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 14 13 17 10 8 13 18 8 16 15 7 12 10 16 177 Quinn Howes '16
Emma Burke '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 16 16 14 13 13 17 11 17 8 18 15 15 16 7 196 Anna Huebschmann '18
Brianna Green '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 15 18 10 11 9 12 13 15 13 10 17 10 11 17 201 MRP Mackenzie Needham '15 [1-2, 12-14]
Sarah Hermus '18 [3-11]
Molly Lucyk '16 [1-2]
Sarah Leonard '17 [3-11]
Nellie Hamilton '16 [12-14]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 18 17 18 17 12 18 16 18 18 16 18 18 18 11 253 MRP Caitlin Schadt '18
Madeline Anzivino '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (41 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221118181717161615151414
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33445566778899
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44332211181817171616
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1515161617171818112233
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels556677889910101111
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red6655443322111818
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green7788991010111112121313
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons88776655443322
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams99101011111212131314141515
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials1010998877665544
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas1111121213131414151516161717
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1616151514141313121211111010
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs12121111101099887766
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams171718181122334455
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks13131414151516161717181811
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal141413131212111110109988
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818171716161515141413131212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221118181717161615151414
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33445566778899
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44332211181817171616
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1515161617171818112233
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels556677889910101111
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red6655443322111818
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green7788991010111112121313
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons88776655443322
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams99101011111212131314141515
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials1010998877665544
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas1111121213131414151516161717
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1616151514141313121211111010
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs12121111101099887766
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams171718181122334455
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks13131414151516161717181811
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal141413131212111110109988
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818171716161515141413131212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Allyson Donahue '17 [1-14] Katherine Downey '16 [1-8, 12-14]
Katja Sertl '16 [9-11]
Eagles Hannah Lynn '17 [1-14] Katja Sertl '16 [1-7]
Emily Schalka '15 [8-14]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Erin Mullins '16 [1-14] Dana Bloch '17 [1-10, 12-14]
Emily Kushner Salitan '16 [11]
Polar Bears Courtney Koos '16 Sydney Avitia-Jacques '18
Brown University Brown University Johanna Kincaid '15 [1-14] Nicole Quattrocchi '15 [1-10, 12-14]
Alexandra Swanson '16 [11]
Bears Kelly Mcglynn '15 Courtney Bergh '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Clerc Cooper '15 [1-14] Chloe Dapp '17 [1-10, 12-14]
Charlotte Saxe '16 [11]
Cougars Elizabeth Pemberton '18 [1-14] Morgan Buckley '15 [1-10, 12-14]
Michaela Reynolds '16 [11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Charlotte List '18 [1-14] Isabelle Pieper '18 [1-8]
Alexandra Maurillo '18 [9-14]
Camels Emilia Clementi '18 [1-14] Alexandra Maurillo '18 [1-7]
Isabelle Pieper '18 [8-10, 12-14]
Haley Kachmar '18 [11]
Cornell University Cornell University Jennifer Borshoff '15 Tara Bergstrom '18
Big Red Quinn Howes '16 Emma Burke '17
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Sarah Williams '16 Sophia Diserio '18
Big Green Margaret Kilvert '18 Hope Wilson '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Melany Johnson '15 [1-14] Jessica Resnick '16 [1-8, 12-14]
Audrey Franchett '17 [9-11]
Tritons Anna Huebschmann '18 Brianna Green '16
Fordham University Fordham University Adelaide Ferguson '17 Lauren Holderman '18
Rams Johanna Monro '16 [1-14] Katherine Jones '18 [1-10, 12-14]
Elizabeth Foulston '17 [11]
George Washington University George Washington University India Johnstone '18 [1-4, 11]
Hannah Mcnomee '16 [5-10, 12-14]		 Isabel Strachan '18 [1-4, 11]
Jennifer Wilson '15 [5-10, 12-14]
Colonials Miranda Bakos '18 [1-8, 12-14]
Maria Sinagra '16 [9-11]		 Meagan Murphy '15 [1-11]
Isabel Strachan '18 [12-14]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Nancy Hagood '14 Meaghan Macrae '18
Hoyas Katia Dasilva '15 Katie Olsen '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Andrea Luna '15 [1-14] Kaylie Gallagher '16 [1-8]
Cady Johnson '16 [9-14]
Monarchs Sarah Streater '18 Colin Voigt '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Catherine Shanahan '15 Kaitlyn Noreen '16
Seahawks Marissa Golison '16 [1-14] Rachel Ryan '15 [1-10, 12-14]
Natasha Skaalrud '16 [11]
Stanford University Stanford University Holly Tullo '17 Haley Fox '18
Cardinal Maeve White '17 Sarah Lucas '18
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Nikole Barnes '17 Jennifer Lane '15
Bears Devon Rohde '15 Hannah Herring '18
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Louise Currie '18 [1-14] Taylor Morgan '16 [1-10, 12-14]
Hana Bruno '16 [11]
Rainbows Caitlin Schadt '18 Madeline Anzivino '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rachel Bryer '17 [1-14] Hannah Scanlon '18 [1-10, 12-14]
Marisa Decollibus '17 [11]
Rams Mackenzie Needham '15 [1-2, 12-14]
Sarah Hermus '18 [3-11]		 Molly Lucyk '16 [1-2]
Sarah Leonard '17 [3-11]
Nellie Hamilton '16 [12-14]
Yale University Yale University Morgan Kiss '15 Natalya Doris '17
Bulldogs Casey Klingler '18 Katherine Gaumond '15

Conditions — 03/21/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1018.1 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.6 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From W (269°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover30% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1018.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · N 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.15 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →