Brown University '15
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 65.63 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.079 rating points from 327 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 23–13 (64%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2014 | 1 | — | 13–4 |
| Spring 2013 | 2 | — | 10–9 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (17 matches) the record is 13–4 against 8.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+4.1). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-03-29 | 2nd Barque Eagle Team Race | crew | 2.65 | 3.94 | 13–4 | 8.9 | +1.29 | 3.7 | 2% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's Women's | Crew | A | 13 | 9.1 | — |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 7.2 | — |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 7.2 | — |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 6.8 | — |
| Toni Deutsch Regatta Women's | Crew | B | 14 | 4.9 | — |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Crew | A | 4 | 10.0 | — |
| President's Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 3 | 12.7 | — |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 10.1 | — |
| Atlantic Coast Women's Championship Women's | Crew | B | 12 | 6.1 | — |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 7.1 | — |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 5.6 | — |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Nationals Women's | Crew | A | 2 | 14.5 | — |
| Southern Series 1 @ SRU | Crew | A | 5 | 6.8 | — |
| President's Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 3 | 7.0 | — |
| Icebreaker Regatta | Crew | A | 2 | 2.0 | — |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 8.8 | — |
| 2nd Barque Eagle Team Race | Crew | TR | 17 | 76% | — |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Crew | B | 11 | 9.2 | — |
| Toni Deutsch Trophy (women's) Women's | Crew | A | 5 | 10.0 | — |
| Southern Series 3 | Crew | A | 14 | 6.7 | — |
| Southern 7 | Crew | A | 7 | 2.3 | — |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Crew | A | 14 | 10.7 | — |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 15 | 7.3 | — |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| 22nd O'Toole Trophy @ SRU | Crew | A | 6 | 5.2 | — |
| Oberg @ BU by NU | Crew | A | 12 | 7.8 | — |
| Joseph Duplin Trophy Women's | Crew | TR | 12 | 67% | — |
| Thames River Team Race | Crew | TR | 14 | 43% | — |
| Greater New York Dinghy Regatta | Crew | A | 6 | 1.2 | — |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| PC Invite | Crew | A | 2 | 3.0 | — |
| Oberg | Crew | A | 15 | 7.5 | — |
| Mt. Hope Bay Invitational | Crew | A | 10 | 8.2 | — |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy | Crew | C | 15 | 8.5 | — |
| Connecticut College Women's Invite Women's | Crew | A | 10 | 4.1 | — |
| Spring 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Series 1 @ SRU | Crew | A | 13 | 6.7 | — |
| Southern Series | Crew | A | 15 | 2.0 | — |
| NEISA Central Series | Crew | B | 13 | 4.6 | — |
| Fall 2011 Team page Season | |||||
| Mt. Hope Bay Invitational | Crew | B | 4 | 12.0 | — |
| Boston Harbor Invitational | Crew | A | 18 | 6.7 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
