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Southern Series 3

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 117
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 157
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 201
4 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 239
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 247
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 250
7 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 333
8 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 361
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 B 11 3 8 1 1 1 1 2 8 1 4 2 8 7 58 Nathan Allman '16
Ragna Eide '16
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 A 8 8 3 5 4 4 8 1 3 6 3 1 3 2 59 Drew Shea '14
Courtney Bergh '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 1 9 2 6 6 9 3 4 4 3 6 10 1 8 72 Henry O'Brien '15
Hali Chesher '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 5 1 7 8 11 7 2 7 5 10 10 6 5 1 85 Adam Ceely '15
Hannah Dragonas '17
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 4 2 1 4 3 2 11 9 11 13 9 8 12 3 92 Jordan Bothwick '15 [1-6]
Rebecca Quirke '17 [7-14]
Eliza Garry '17 [1-6]
Matthew Lau-Hansen '17 [7-14]
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 A 7 7 4 2 2 6 12 15 6 8 1 3 11 10 94 Johanna Kincaid '15
Nicole Quattrocchi '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 10 4 6 3 9 8 4 12 9 2 8 4 4 11 94 Ian White '16
Elizabeth Durgin '16
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 B 13 12 5 10 7 5 10 8 7 7 5 7 2 9 107 James Barry '16
Katherine Sudol '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 2 11 11 15 5 14 7 5 1 5 13 5 9 6 109 A. Tucker Atterbury '16
Beatrice Bellacosa '17
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs A 14 16 9 13 10 10 6 3 13 4 2 9 7 4 120 Eric Anderson '16 [1-14]
Chandler Gregoire '17 [1-6]
Megan Valentine '16 [7-14]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 6 10 13 9 13 12 13 11 16 9 7 11 6 5 141 Jonathan Pope '17
Nicole Sikowitz '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 9 5 12 7 14 13 9 10 2 14 14 14 10 14 147 Cooper Nefsky '17 [1-6]
Eliza Garry '17 [7-14]
Matthew Lau-Hansen '17 [1-6]
Sarah Price '14 [7-14]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 12 6 14 11 8 3 5 16 12 15 12 13 13 13 153 Alex Davis '15
Courtney Bombardier '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 3 14 15 14 15 16 15 6 10 11 15 15 15 12 176 Luke Puk '15 [1-6]
Marisa Decollibus '17 [7-14]
Marisa Decollibus '17 [1-6]
Matthew Gibbs '17 [7-14]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 16 13 10 12 12 15 14 13 14 12 11 12 16 15 185 Patrick Isherwood '17 [1-6]
Austin Glazier '18 [7-14]
Sarah Leonard '17 [1-6]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs B 15 15 DNF 16 16 11 16 14 15 16 16 16 14 16 213 Henry Lewis '16 [1-6]
Astrid Pacini '16 [7-14]
Amelia Dobronyi '17 [1-6]
Anna Russo '17 [7-14]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 111223344556677
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2221116161515141413131212
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels33445566778899
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1556677889910101111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 26655443322111616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks44332211161615151414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts7788991010111112121313
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs88776655443322

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 199101011111212131314141515
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 21010998877665544
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels11111212131314141515161611
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 11313141415151616112233
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2141413131212111110109988
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks12121111101099887766
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts151516161122334455
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1616151514141313121211111010

Conditions — 10/05/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.4 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From E (87°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine6.3 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1018.6 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · E 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →