Yale University '16
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.19 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 8 | Fall 2013 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.01 (fleet 2.78) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 11–24 (31%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2014 | 2 | 11–24 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (35 matches) the record is 11–24 against 15.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-04-05 | Mystic Lake Team Race Invitational | skipper | 1.93 | 0.82 | 4–14 | 7.4 | −1.11 | 2.6 | 99% |
| 2014-03-29 | 2nd Barque Eagle Team Race | skipper | 1.83 | 1.55 | 7–10 | 7.9 | −0.28 | 0.2 | 78% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Ice Breaker | Skipper | A | 13 | 6.5 | 2.12 |
| George Morris Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.6 | 2.81 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Salt Pond Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.4 | 2.45 |
| Providence College Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 2.1 | 3.99 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Series 1 | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.6 | 3.76 |
| George Morris Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.4 | 3.28 |
| BU Trophy | Skipper | A | 3 | 11.7 | 1.34 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 5.3 | 3.06 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Salt Pond Invite | Skipper | A | 11 | 7.4 | 2.08 |
| Pine Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 3.3 | — |
| Jesuit Open | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.8 | 2.05 |
| Central Series 6 | Skipper | A | 12 | 8.4 | 2.11 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | A | 12 | 15.3 | 1.52 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Veitor Trophy @ SRU | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.6 | 2.35 |
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | C | 11 | 12.8 | 1.74 |
| Southern Series 1 @ SRU | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.8 | 2.14 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race Invitational | Skipper | TR | 18 | 22% | — |
| Icebreaker Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.5 | 2.80 |
| Greater New York Dinghy Regatta | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.8 | 1.60 |
| 2nd Barque Eagle Team Race | Skipper | TR | 17 | 41% | — |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Series 3 | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.6 | 0.95 |
| 71st Pine Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 2.0 | — |
| Dave Perry Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 8.4 | 1.35 |
| 75th Annual Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 18 | 10.4 | 2.17 |
| Firefly/ FJ Invitational Regatta | Skipper | A | 11 | 4.0 | 2.48 |
| BC Central Series | Skipper | A | 9 | 10.2 | 1.81 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Champs Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 8 | 21.2 | 0.38 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Series Five | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.9 | 2.21 |
| Central Series #2 @ BU | Skipper | A | 3 | 2.3 | 3.42 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | C | 15 | 6.3 | 2.82 |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Pine Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 9 | 2.4 | — |
| Jesuit Open | Skipper | B | 3 | 10.3 | 0.39 |
| Dave Perry | Skipper | B | 13 | 11.8 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
