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Providence College Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 21 47 68
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 51 36 87
3 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 39 56 95
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 73 33 106
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 69 53 122
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 63 69 132
7 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 21 116 137
8 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 107 50 157
9 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 60 98 158
10 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 116 80 196
11 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 128 73 201
12 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 108 93 201
13 Providence College Providence College Friars 111 127 238
14 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 121 122 243
15 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 112 148 260
16 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 131 148 279
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 1 1 3 2 4 2 3 2 2 21 Eric Anderson '16
Amelia Dobronyi '17
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 4 1 1 2 4 1 1 3 21 Macklin Fluehr '17
Julia Kim '18
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 3 10 2 2 5 1 1 8 3 4 39 Peter Sterflinger '17 [1-10]
Alexa Giovanis '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Hope Murray '17 [3-4]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 9 5 6 4 3 8 9 2 4 1 51 Kimberly Morecraft '18 [1-6]
Jamws Gieseke '19 [7-10]
Zackery Valerio '18 [1-6]
Ryan Geib '19 [7-10]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 11 3 5 4 6 6 RDG 7 7 60 Connor Oursler '19
Anna Maria Vaccaro '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 8 BYE BYE 7 7 3 6 6 10 63 Bayard Lalor '19
Kaylen Heath '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 7 7 8 8 3 10 4 8 8 69 Vincent Yannelli '19
Will Craig '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 13 5 6 6 10 7 5 5 9 73 Donal Ryan '19
Caitlin Cloonan '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 10 6 15 14 10 5 5 15 12 15 107 Haley Kachmar '18 [1-6]
Phillip Rosenthall '18 [7-10]
Olivia Liebnick '16 [1-6]
Hannah King '19 [7-10]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 14 12 9 12 13 11 8 13 11 5 108 Kelsey Delosh '17
Courtney Grippin '17
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 14 8 10 9 9 14 12 16 11 111 Anna Bloomstine '19 [1-6]
Ian Maccini '18 [7-10]
Cicely Dahn '19 [1-6]
Meagan Nolan '17 [7-10]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 11 3 11 9 16 13 16 9 10 14 112 Kimberly Jackman '16 [1-10]
Melissa Conway '16 [1-6]
Christian Hoffman '20 [7-10]
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 13 4 12 11 14 16 12 7 14 13 116 Joshua Mandelbaum '17
Alison Siegmann '18
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 15 9 10 13 11 15 13 10 9 16 121 Nathaniel Barton '18 [1-10]
Lara Hetzel '17 [1-6]
Josephine Jenks '18 [7-10]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 12 15 14 15 15 12 15 11 13 6 128 Alexandre Pagã© '16
Adrian Singer '19
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 16 DNF 13 7 12 14 11 14 15 12 131 Lillian Vincens '19 [1-6]
Thomas Beardsley '19 [7-10]
Caitlin Goodman '17 [1-2]
Hannah Lovejoy '17 [3-6]
Lauren Ten Hoopen '19 [7-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 4 1 1 10 4 1 3 5 3 33 Evan Gregory '16
Claire Lockard '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 5 2 2 1 2 4 7 2 4 36 Sam Rush '19 [1-4]
Camden Tougas '17 [5-10]
Ryan Geib '19 [1-6]
Ian Nannig '19 [7-10]
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 13 9 7 2 1 5 1 3 1 47 Emma Davis '17 [1-4]
Nathan Housberg '19 [5-10]
Lauren Haller '18 [1-4]
Davis Tantillo '19 [5-10]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 2 5 9 8 6 3 6 6 2 50 Sam Simonds '19 [1-10]
John Pearson '19 [1-6]
Olivia Liebnick '16 [7-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 8 7 4 5 7 2 2 4 5 53 Samantha Brown '19
James Mccracken '17
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 6 9 3 5 4 RDG 9 8 1 6 56 Thomas Pluchino '18
Alexandra Wiedeke '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 6 BYE 3 6 8 7 5 12 11 69 Caden Buckley '19
Marykate Fallotico '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 2 11 4 8 3 11 8 10 7 9 73 Nathan Lafrance-Berger '19
Anthony Lowther '14
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 12 1 12 12 7 10 6 4 9 7 80 Sean O'Keefe '17 [1-4]
Benjamin Eley '18 [5-10]
Tyler Johnson '16 [1-4]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 8 3 10 11 11 9 11 12 8 10 93 Kelsey Martins '16
Phoung Pham '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 13 7 8 13 12 3 10 9 10 13 98 John Gumbleton '19 [1-4]
Daniel Winter '16 [5-10]
Rebecca Edmonds '19 [1-4]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 RDG 11 15 9 12 13 15 11 8 116 Patrick Buehler '18 [1-10]
No Show [1-4]
Elizabeth Tokarz '17 [5-10]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 16 10 13 6 13 16 12 11 13 12 122 Abe Kipnis '18 [1-4]
Henry Bushnell '17 [5-10]
Sarah Levi '19 [1-4]
Katherine Walker '16 [5-10]
Providence College Providence College Friars 11 12 6 10 16 15 14 13 14 16 127 Jackie Degeorgis '19 [1-6]
Brian Cain '18 [7-10]
Taylor Mulhearn '19 [1-6]
No Show [7-8]
Kohl Peasley '19 [9-10]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 14 16 14 14 14 14 16 16 15 15 148 Martin Hooker '18 [1-6]
No Show [7-10]
Jessica Imbro '18 [1-6]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 15 15 15 16 15 13 15 14 16 14 148 Erin Godfrey '19 [1-4]
Katherine Fox '16 [5-10]
Jennifer Gambino '19 [1-4]
Sydney Delfico '17 [5-6]
Ryan Carlucci '18 [7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears24242233232355
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears991010111112122121
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies10109988222266
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels222424441177
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags33232355662222
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats23233322242444
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds556622228899
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies665523233322
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars2222889910101111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1212111110109988
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks88222266552323
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1111121221217711
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts21217711442424
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards772121121211111010
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals114424242233
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs44117721211212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears24242233232355
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears991010111112122121
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies10109988222266
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels222424441177
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags33232355662222
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats23233322242444
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds556622228899
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies665523233322
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars2222889910101111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1212111110109988
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks88222266552323
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1111121221217711
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts21217711442424
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards772121121211111010
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals114424242233
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs44117721211212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brown University Brown University Macklin Fluehr '17 Julia Kim '18
Bears Emma Davis '17 [1-4]
Nathan Housberg '19 [5-10]		 Lauren Haller '18 [1-4]
Davis Tantillo '19 [5-10]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Haley Kachmar '18 [1-6]
Phillip Rosenthall '18 [7-10]		 Olivia Liebnick '16 [1-6]
Hannah King '19 [7-10]
Camels Sam Simonds '19 [1-10] John Pearson '19 [1-6]
Olivia Liebnick '16 [7-10]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Lillian Vincens '19 [1-6]
Thomas Beardsley '19 [7-10]		 Caitlin Goodman '17 [1-2]
Hannah Lovejoy '17 [3-6]
Lauren Ten Hoopen '19 [7-10]
Stags Erin Godfrey '19 [1-4]
Katherine Fox '16 [5-10]		 Jennifer Gambino '19 [1-4]
Sydney Delfico '17 [5-6]
Ryan Carlucci '18 [7-10]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Peter Sterflinger '17 [1-10] Alexa Giovanis '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Hope Murray '17 [3-4]
Wildcats Thomas Pluchino '18 Alexandra Wiedeke '16
McGill University McGill University Alexandre Pagã© '16 Adrian Singer '19
Redbirds Nathan Lafrance-Berger '19 Anthony Lowther '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Donal Ryan '19 Caitlin Cloonan '18
Huskies Evan Gregory '16 Claire Lockard '18
Providence College Providence College Anna Bloomstine '19 [1-6]
Ian Maccini '18 [7-10]		 Cicely Dahn '19 [1-6]
Meagan Nolan '17 [7-10]
Friars Jackie Degeorgis '19 [1-6]
Brian Cain '18 [7-10]		 Taylor Mulhearn '19 [1-6]
No Show [7-8]
Kohl Peasley '19 [9-10]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Bayard Lalor '19 Kaylen Heath '16
Seahawks Caden Buckley '19 Marykate Fallotico '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Connor Oursler '19 Anna Maria Vaccaro '19
Bears John Gumbleton '19 [1-4]
Daniel Winter '16 [5-10]		 Rebecca Edmonds '19 [1-4]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Kimberly Jackman '16 [1-10] Melissa Conway '16 [1-6]
Christian Hoffman '20 [7-10]
Huskies Martin Hooker '18 [1-6]
No Show [7-10]		 Jessica Imbro '18 [1-6]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Kelsey Delosh '17 Courtney Grippin '17
Corsairs Kelsey Martins '16 Phoung Pham '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Kimberly Morecraft '18 [1-6]
Jamws Gieseke '19 [7-10]		 Zackery Valerio '18 [1-6]
Ryan Geib '19 [7-10]
Rams Sam Rush '19 [1-4]
Camden Tougas '17 [5-10]		 Ryan Geib '19 [1-6]
Ian Nannig '19 [7-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Vincent Yannelli '19 Will Craig '17
Catamounts Samantha Brown '19 James Mccracken '17
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Joshua Mandelbaum '17 Alison Siegmann '18
Leopards Sean O'Keefe '17 [1-4]
Benjamin Eley '18 [5-10]		 Tyler Johnson '16 [1-4]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Nathaniel Barton '18 [1-10] Lara Hetzel '17 [1-6]
Josephine Jenks '18 [7-10]
Cardinals Abe Kipnis '18 [1-4]
Henry Bushnell '17 [5-10]		 Sarah Levi '19 [1-4]
Katherine Walker '16 [5-10]
Yale University Yale University Eric Anderson '16 Amelia Dobronyi '17
Bulldogs Patrick Buehler '18 [1-10] No Show [1-4]
Elizabeth Tokarz '17 [5-10]

Conditions — 10/17/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.4 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From WNW (292°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover33% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1016.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn · N 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Providence: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.30 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Providence by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Providence, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →