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Captain Hurst Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 31 47 78
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 52 70 122
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 93 71 164
4 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 60 105 165
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 98 80 178
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 98 91 189
7 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 91 108 199
8 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 81 123 204
9 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 106 103 209
10 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 102 128 230
11 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 106 132 238
12 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 137 121 258
13 Brown University Brown University Bears 152 112 264
14 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 135 137 272
15 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 184 120 304
16 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 144 167 311
17 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 195 161 356
18 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 188 179 367
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 7 1 3 2 3 1 6 1 1 1 1 31 Raul Rios '16 [1-12]
Katherine Wysocki '15 [1-3, 6-10]
Christopher Dwyer '15 [4-5, 11-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 6 6 5 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 52 William Macdonald '15 [1-12]
Abby Preston '15 [1-3, 6-10]
James Kennedy '17 [4-5, 11-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 7 1 5 1 1 7 4 3 16 3 7 5 60 Deirdre Lambert '15 [1-3]
Scott Houck '15 [4-12]
Nathaniel Greason '17 [1-3]
Lizzie Guynn '16 [4-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 8 10 2 8 11 8 1 2 7 12 3 81 Nikole Barnes '17 [1-12]
Jennifer Lane '15 [1]
Andrew Britton '16 [2-12]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 10 9 4 4 10 5 12 9 7 12 2 7 91 Alexander Stewart '17 [1-12]
Paige Omura '17 [1-3]
Jordan Ladd '17 [4-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 15 7 8 4 1 11 8 12 2 9 10 93 Nicholas Clemence '15
Shelby Jacobs '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 14 16 7 7 2 2 17 6 6 6 14 98 Scott Barbano '17 [1-12]
Caroline Atwood '16 [1-3, 5-7]
Aaron Klein '18 [4, 8-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 10 2 6 14 8 6 10 8 11 15 6 98 Ryan Astwood '16 [1-12]
Kayla Lynch '16 [1-3, 5-8]
Simon Bertocci '16 [4, 9-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 11 3 9 5 6 7 16 10 5 10 9 102 Michael Croteau '15 [1-12]
Paige Speight '16 [1-3, 6-8]
Hunter Moeller '17 [4-5, 9-12]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 5 8 13 9 15 10 2 5 17 11 8 106 Jordan Bothwick '15 [1-10]
Bryce Kopp '16 [11-12]
Victoria Allen '16 [1-4, 8]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [5-7]
Walter Florio '18 [9-10]
Alexander Giordano '15 [11-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 2 11 12 6 14 18 11 11 8 3 2 106 Nate Jermain '15 [1-12]
Megan Mackinnon '17 [1-3]
Travis Bobley '17 [4-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 13 3 12 14 12 12 9 12 9 9 17 13 135 Benjamin Mohney '15
Kristen Walker '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 16 4 13 16 11 9 14 18 3 14 8 11 137 Michael Drumm '15
Kevin Coakley '18
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 12 16 9 10 OCS 10 5 5 18 15 13 12 144 Alex Ramos '15 [1-12]
Alison Bradley '16 [1-3, 7]
Zach Nerod '17 [4-6, 8-12]
Brown University Brown University Bears 15 13 14 15 13 13 16 7 13 10 5 18 152 Timothy Harding '15
Haley Carter '17
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 14 18 17 17 17 17 13 15 14 13 14 15 184 Eric Anderson '16
Sarah Smith '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 18 12 15 18 16 16 15 13 15 18 16 16 188 Elise Gehling '17
Eleanor Grams '18
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 17 17 18 11 15 18 17 14 17 16 18 17 195 Colin Keil '15
Lindsay Gimple '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 6 4 1 3 9 1 8 5 2 1 2 5 47 Charles Sinks '18 [1-12]
Allison Ferraris '17 [1-3]
Alex Palfrey '17 [4-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 6 5 1 4 10 2 1 7 11 5 13 70 Connor Corgard '16 [1-12]
Sara Swanson '16 [1-3, 7-8]
James Bartlein '15 [4-6, 9-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 8 17 2 2 7 1 3 14 3 7 6 71 Jacob La Dow '15
Marissa Golison '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 17 12 14 3 8 7 7 1 4 3 1 80 Michael Saldi '15 [1-12]
Indre Jankeviciute '15 [1-3, 7-8]
Joseph Benoit '16 [4-6, 9-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 13 3 15 5 14 9 8 6 2 1 7 91 Dan Nickerson '15 [1-12]
Jamie Maffeo '15 [1-8]
Caroline Atwood '16 [9-12]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 1 2 RDG 14 9 16 4 4 13 15 12 103 Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-12]
Kim Bolick '15 [1-4]
Albert Rodiger '18 [5-8]
Walter Florio '18 [9-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 16 10 15 8 1 3 5 12 15 6 6 8 105 Ian Storck '15 [1-3]
Colin Murphy '15 [4-12]
Madeleine Cooney '17 [1-3]
Sophie Kerr '17 [4]
John Lewis '17 [5-12]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 12 2 6 12 16 12 3 DNF 5 7 10 4 108 Ty Ingram '18 [1-12]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [1-6, 11-12]
Paige Omura '17 [7-10]
Brown University Brown University Bears 10 15 18 6 11 18 4 2 8 5 13 2 112 Johanna Kincaid '15 [1-12]
Rachel Gutman '17 [1-6]
Reid Secondo '16 [7-12]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 18 16 14 13 6 5 6 9 11 10 9 3 120 Casey Klingler '18
Isabelle Rossi De Leon '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 13 7 4 18 8 17 10 6 3 14 11 10 121 Nick Sertl '18
Emma Wheeler '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 5 9 16 13 4 14 10 16 9 14 11 123 Kayla Ellis '16
Robert Turley '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 17 9 8 5 10 2 17 DNF 9 15 8 9 128 William Hawk '18 [1-12]
Charlotte Williamson '15 [1-10]
Alexander Vasiliou '18 [11-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 14 11 4 12 11 11 11 13 RAF 4 15 132 Steven Pelissier '14
Hali Chesher '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 14 12 7 11 7 6 13 13 10 8 18 18 137 Sean Cornell '18
Lizette Arnold '17
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 15 11 16 7 18 16 12 14 12 12 12 16 161 Alex Woloshyn '17 [1-12]
Laura Lee '18 [1-3]
Ryan Buccellato '17 [4-12]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 9 3 10 17 15 13 15 16 18 17 17 17 167 Thomas Etheridge '16 [1-8]
Mason Wolters '18 [9-12]
Elizabeth Wallace '15 [1-3, 5-8]
Mason Wolters '18 [4]
Nicholas Lipinski '17 [9-12]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 11 18 13 9 17 15 18 15 17 16 16 14 179 Victoria Mcgruer '17 [1-6, 9-12]
Camille Matile '17 [7-8]
Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15 [1-6, 9-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22111818171716161515
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4433221118181717
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1414131312121111101099
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55667788991010
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red665544332211
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green778899101011111212
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson887766554433
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines15151616171718181122
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers9910101111121213131414
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10109988776655
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111112121313141415151616
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls161615151414131312121111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121211111010998877
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131314141515161617171818
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223344
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22111818171716161515
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4433221118181717
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1414131312121111101099
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55667788991010
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red665544332211
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green778899101011111212
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson887766554433
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines15151616171718181122
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers9910101111121213131414
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10109988776655
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111112121313141415151616
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls161615151414131312121111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121211111010998877
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131314141515161617171818
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223344
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Raul Rios '16 [1-12] Katherine Wysocki '15 [1-3, 6-10]
Christopher Dwyer '15 [4-5, 11-12]
Eagles Charles Sinks '18 [1-12] Allison Ferraris '17 [1-3]
Alex Palfrey '17 [4-12]
Boston University Boston University Ryan Astwood '16 [1-12] Kayla Lynch '16 [1-3, 5-8]
Simon Bertocci '16 [4, 9-12]
Terriers Michael Saldi '15 [1-12] Indre Jankeviciute '15 [1-3, 7-8]
Joseph Benoit '16 [4-6, 9-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michael Croteau '15 [1-12] Paige Speight '16 [1-3, 6-8]
Hunter Moeller '17 [4-5, 9-12]
Polar Bears William Hawk '18 [1-12] Charlotte Williamson '15 [1-10]
Alexander Vasiliou '18 [11-12]
Brown University Brown University Timothy Harding '15 Haley Carter '17
Bears Johanna Kincaid '15 [1-12] Rachel Gutman '17 [1-6]
Reid Secondo '16 [7-12]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Jordan Bothwick '15 [1-10]
Bryce Kopp '16 [11-12]		 Victoria Allen '16 [1-4, 8]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [5-7]
Walter Florio '18 [9-10]
Alexander Giordano '15 [11-12]
Camels Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-12] Kim Bolick '15 [1-4]
Albert Rodiger '18 [5-8]
Walter Florio '18 [9-12]
Cornell University Cornell University Colin Keil '15 Lindsay Gimple '17
Big Red Alex Woloshyn '17 [1-12] Laura Lee '18 [1-3]
Ryan Buccellato '17 [4-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Deirdre Lambert '15 [1-3]
Scott Houck '15 [4-12]		 Nathaniel Greason '17 [1-3]
Lizzie Guynn '16 [4-12]
Big Green Ian Storck '15 [1-3]
Colin Murphy '15 [4-12]		 Madeleine Cooney '17 [1-3]
Sophie Kerr '17 [4]
John Lewis '17 [5-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Michael Drumm '15 Kevin Coakley '18
Crimson Nick Sertl '18 Emma Wheeler '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Alexander Stewart '17 [1-12] Paige Omura '17 [1-3]
Jordan Ladd '17 [4-12]
Engineers Ty Ingram '18 [1-12] Elizabeth Zhang '16 [1-6, 11-12]
Paige Omura '17 [7-10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Elise Gehling '17 Eleanor Grams '18
Huskies Victoria Mcgruer '17 [1-6, 9-12]
Camille Matile '17 [7-8]		 Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15 [1-6, 9-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University William Macdonald '15 [1-12] Abby Preston '15 [1-3, 6-10]
James Kennedy '17 [4-5, 11-12]
Hawks Connor Corgard '16 [1-12] Sara Swanson '16 [1-3, 7-8]
James Bartlein '15 [4-6, 9-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Nicholas Clemence '15 Shelby Jacobs '17
Seahawks Jacob La Dow '15 Marissa Golison '16
Tufts University Tufts University Scott Barbano '17 [1-12] Caroline Atwood '16 [1-3, 5-7]
Aaron Klein '18 [4, 8-12]
Jumbos Dan Nickerson '15 [1-12] Jamie Maffeo '15 [1-8]
Caroline Atwood '16 [9-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Nikole Barnes '17 [1-12] Jennifer Lane '15 [1]
Andrew Britton '16 [2-12]
Bears Kayla Ellis '16 Robert Turley '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Alex Ramos '15 [1-12] Alison Bradley '16 [1-3, 7]
Zach Nerod '17 [4-6, 8-12]
Wolverines Thomas Etheridge '16 [1-8]
Mason Wolters '18 [9-12]		 Elizabeth Wallace '15 [1-3, 5-8]
Mason Wolters '18 [4]
Nicholas Lipinski '17 [9-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Benjamin Mohney '15 Kristen Walker '17
Bulls Sean Cornell '18 Lizette Arnold '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Nate Jermain '15 [1-12] Megan Mackinnon '17 [1-3]
Travis Bobley '17 [4-12]
Catamounts Steven Pelissier '14 Hali Chesher '17
Yale University Yale University Eric Anderson '16 Sarah Smith '15
Bulldogs Casey Klingler '18 Isabelle Rossi De Leon '17

Conditions — 10/18/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1000.9 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 27.6 kn
From SW (214°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1000.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn* · N 16 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.17 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →