Casey Klingler

School Yale University '18
Regattas 68
Races 882

Rating History

Team Race Rating

Rating	Rank	vs fleet rating	Record
2.74 (fleet 3.80)	unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active)	−0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts	as skipper 52–37 (58%)

Season	Regattas	Skipper W–L	Crew W–L
Spring 2018	3	21–25	—
Spring 2017	2	17–8	—
Spring 2015	1	14–4	—

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 6 graded regattas (89 matches) the record is 52–37 against 56.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.9). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 17 bits of surprise in all.

Date	Regatta	Role	Value	Perf.	Record	Exp. wins	Δ	Surprise (bits)	P(this good or better)
2018-03-24	Joseph R. Duplin Women's Team Race	skipper	3.22	2.75	9–4	10.0	−0.47	0.4	86%
2018-03-10	Rudkin Team Race	skipper	3.23	1.58	2–12	6.2	−1.65	4.5	>99%
2018-02-24	Mendelblatt Team Race	skipper	3.33	1.91	10–9	13.4	−1.42	3.4	99%
2017-03-25	NEISA/MAISA Team Race	skipper	3.70	3.89	12–2	11.7	+0.18	0.0	58%
2017-03-18	Ike Geiger Team Race Regatta	skipper	3.60	2.48	5–6	7.3	−1.11	1.9	98%
2015-03-28	Duplin	skipper	2.88	4.51	14–4	8.3	+1.63	6.4	<1%

Regatta results

Regatta	Role	Div	Races	Avg	Rating
Spring 2018 Team page Season
Wick/Shrew Women's	Skipper	A	9	6.6	4.04
Thompson Trophy	Skipper	C	12	8.2	3.59
Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's	Skipper	A	12	4.5	4.42
Sperry Women's National Championship Women's	Skipper	A	16	11.9	2.98
Rudkin Team Race	Skipper	TR	14	14%	—
NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's	Skipper	A	9	6.1	4.07
Mendelblatt Team Race	Skipper	TR	19	42%	—
Joseph R. Duplin Women's Team Race Women's	Skipper	TR	13	69%	—
Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's	Skipper	A	17	8.7	3.59
Fall 2017 Team page Season
Yale Women's Women's	Skipper	A	13	9.4	3.33
Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's	Skipper	A	8	5.6	4.35
St. Mary's Fall InterConference	Skipper	B	11	6.5	3.83
Sherman Hoyt Trophy	Skipper	B	14	6.2	4.50
Jen Harris Navy Fall Women's Women's	Skipper	A	17	3.7	4.57
Hatch Brown Trophy	Skipper	B	3	13.0	2.46
75th Danmark Trophy	Skipper	A	13	11.5	3.67
43rd Henry H.Anderson Jr. Trophy	Skipper	B	8	6.6	3.71
2017 Victorian Urn Trophy Women's	Skipper	A	16	4.3	4.62
Spring 2017 Team page Season
Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's	Skipper	A	9	4.1	4.49
Sperry College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's	Skipper	A	18	6.2	4.39
Owen/Mosbacher/Knapp Trophies	Skipper	B	13	3.9	4.51
NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's	Skipper	A	14	5.9	4.16
NEISA/MAISA Team Race	Skipper	TR	18	78%	—
Ike Geiger Team Race Regatta	Skipper	TR	11	46%	—
Emily Wick Trophy Women's	Skipper	A	15	6.3	4.21
Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's	Skipper	A	8	3.8	5.02
Charleston Spring Coed	Skipper	A	17	6.3	4.09
Fall 2016 Team page Season
Yale Women's Backup Women's	Skipper	A	12	6.6	3.86
Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's	Skipper	A	17	6.4	3.77
Victorian Coffee Urn Women's	Skipper	A	12	3.6	4.76
Toni Deutsch Regatta Women's	Skipper	A	13	5.3	3.63
Regis Bowl Women's	Skipper	A	10	3.9	3.94
Navy Fall Women's Women's	Skipper	A	14	3.5	4.24
Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's	Skipper	A	16	6.0	4.06
The Hatch Brown Trophy	Skipper	C	17	7.7	3.58
Spring 2016 Team page Season
St. Mary's Women's Interconference Women's	Skipper	A	18	8.6	3.37
Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's	Skipper	A	12	4.2	4.39
Sperry College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's	Skipper	A	18	7.6	3.90
Reed Trophy Women's	Skipper	A	16	9.2	3.14
Navy Spring Women's Women's	Skipper	A	5	4.4	4.37
Mosbacher, Owen, Knapp Trophies	Skipper	B	14	3.0	4.06
Emily Wick Women's	Skipper	A	7	8.1	3.12
Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's	Skipper	A	5	3.2	5.14
Fall 2015 Team page Season
Yale Women's Interconference Women's	Skipper	A	16	8.2	3.32
Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Women's	Skipper	A	18	7.3	3.58
The Victorian Urn Women's	Skipper	A	12	7.1	3.39
Stu Nelson Women's	Skipper	A	12	5.5	3.97
Navy Fall Women's Women's	Skipper	A	10	5.9	3.33
Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's	Skipper	A	10	7.8	3.28
Harry Anderson	Skipper	B	15	8.1	3.57
33rd Professor Stedman Hood Trophy	Skipper	A	9	13.1	2.31
Spring 2015 Team page Season
St. Mary's Women's Women's	Skipper	B	14	4.4	3.95
Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's	Skipper	B	14	4.2	3.31
President's Trophy Women's	Skipper	A	12	4.8	3.32
NEISA Women's Champs, Reed Trophy Women's	Skipper	B	15	6.7	3.25
Emily Wick Trophy Women's	Skipper	B	16	6.4	3.21
Duplin Women's	Skipper	TR	18	78%	—
Charleston Women's Women's	Skipper	B	14	5.1	3.16
BU Trophy	Skipper	B	3	4.7	3.14
Sperry ICSA Women’s National Championship Women's	Skipper	B	18	7.1	3.42
Fall 2014 Team page Season
Toni Deutsch Regatta Women's	Skipper	A	14	6.8	2.75
Stu Nelson Women's	Skipper	B	8	5.0	3.26
President's Trophy Women's	Skipper	A	3	2.0	5.07
Navy Fall Women's Women's	Skipper	A	15	8.5	3.19
Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's	Skipper	B	18	9.2	2.60
Hewitt Trophy	Skipper	C	15	6.2	2.89
Captain Hurst Bowl	Skipper	B	12	10.0	2.96
Atlantic Coast Women's Championship Women's	Skipper	A	18	9.3	3.14

Linked Profiles

League	Name	School	Year
ISSA	Casey Klingler	The Hotchkiss School	'14

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

How do skipper ratings work?A log-strength fitted to every race at once, smoothed week to week.
What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
How does a crew rating work?A crew rating is small and uncertain; a worked example on one roster.
Play 1, Play 2, Play 4: how team races are wonHow often each play happens, how that shifts with breeze and level, and whether a star wins differently.

All notes →

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