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Mrs. Hurst Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 66 81 147
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 46 108 154
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 108 71 179
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 102 85 187
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 113 119 232
6 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 96 136 232
7 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 157 111 268
8 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 165 108 273
9 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 143 143 286
10 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 172 156 328
11 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 193 138 331
12 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 181 160 341
13 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 167 193 360
14 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 162 205 367
15 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 161 239 400
16 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 226 178 404
17 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 193 223 416
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 3 2 7 5 1 3 1 1 4 2 7 1 5 1 2 46 Rachel Bryer '17
Hannah Scanlon '18
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 1 6 1 11 8 4 11 2 5 1 4 2 3 2 3 66 Nikole Barnes '17 [1-16]
Emily Wright '20 [1-2, 4-14, 16]
Maddie Ekin '20 [3, 15]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 8 5 9 12 6 3 6 6 8 8 6 3 4 2 9 1 96 Casey Klingler '18
Natalya Doris '17
Boston College Boston College Eagles 6 12 11 2 7 4 8 3 3 2 7 9 13 1 6 8 102 Allyson Donahue '17 [1-16]
Megan Bamford '18 [1-10]
Alice Bohan '18 [11-16]
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 4 3 6 8 6 1 5 12 11 5 1 11 10 7 9 108 Lindsey Baab '18 [1-16]
Abigayle Konys '19 [1-6]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [7-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 6 1 3 10 7 16 8 9 1 4 13 5 14 5 7 113 Maryclaire Kiernan '17
Julia Fuller '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 10 9 17 17 13 2 15 4 4 3 3 12 3 7 11 13 143 Taylor Ladd '18
Kirstin Anderson '18
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 16 17 7 4 14 12 7 9 5 6 14 6 16 9 4 11 157 Emma White '19 [1-16]
Peninah Benjamin '20 [1-8, 11]
Madeleine Walker '18 [9-10, 12-16]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 11 10 8 5 2 5 2 17 14 10 16 10 14 17 10 10 161 Sarah Streater '18
Kristen Walker '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 8 14 15 12 11 13 2 11 13 9 5 9 8 13 14 162 Elise Gehling '17
Laura Tschiegg '17
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 7 13 13 13 4 17 14 10 15 7 8 2 15 6 15 6 165 Paris Henken '22 [1-16]
Caroline Bracken '19 [1-2, 5-10]
Elizabeth Pemberton '18 [3-4, 11-16]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 13 11 10 11 1 13 9 12 10 17 13 16 7 16 3 5 167 Annie Hughes '19 [1-16]
Jorlyn Le Garrec '17 [1-10]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [11-16]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 12 2 4 8 9 15 11 14 16 9 12 15 12 15 14 4 172 Kelsey Shakin '19
Megan Roach '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 14 14 16 10 3 16 5 16 7 12 10 11 8 13 8 DNF 181 Lindsay Doyle '18
Lilla Salvesen '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 16 12 16 16 10 10 13 6 14 17 14 10 4 17 15 193 Anna Huebschmann '18
Audrey Franchett '17
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 15 15 5 14 17 14 12 7 13 15 11 8 6 11 12 DNF 193 Julia Lambert '18
Madeline Bubb '20
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 17 7 15 9 15 9 17 15 17 16 15 17 17 12 16 12 226 Ragna Agerup '20 [1-8, 13-16]
Rebecca Quirke '17 [9-12]
Cecilia Moreira '20 [1-2, 15-16]
Jessica Hunnewell '20 [3-8]
Hannah King '19 [9-12]
Hannah Staples '20 [13-14]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 3 5 7 5 3 6 5 4 5 2 1 14 3 1 1 71 Hannah Steadman '20 [1-16]
Marina Cano '17 [1-6, 15]
Maxine De Havenon '19 [7-14, 16]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 10 6 1 5 8 4 1 3 5 2 9 2 10 2 2 11 81 Dana Rohde '18
Hannah Herring '18
Boston College Boston College Eagles 9 1 4 10 2 2 7 6 3 1 14 6 4 8 6 2 85 Isabella Loosbrock '19 [1-16]
Lily Mcgrath '18 [1-12, 15]
Megan Bamford '18 [13-14]
Madeleine Loosbrock '17 [16]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 11 8 8 9 12 4 8 2 7 5 8 2 12 4 4 108 Sarah Hermus '18
Marisa Decollibus '17
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 7 7 2 12 1 6 5 9 9 14 13 5 3 7 3 5 108 Alie Toppa '20 [1-16]
Annabel Carrington '19 [1-10]
Caroline Bracken '19 [11-16]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 10 10 4 6 1 3 7 8 4 6 14 7 1 15 10 111 Margaret Kilvert '18
Lisa Genthner '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 13 11 1 3 5 9 15 7 9 10 3 12 9 8 3 119 Molly Pleskus '18
Sabina Van Mell '19
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 13 5 12 2 14 11 8 2 1 8 8 9 17 6 7 13 136 Christine Klingler '20 [1-8]
Katharina (Kb) Knapp '18 [9-16]
Katharina (Kb) Knapp '18 [1-8]
Christine Klingler '20 [9-16]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 8 16 7 13 4 9 2 1 11 10 12 7 5 16 9 8 138 Elena Vandenberg '18
Mary Vangelos '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 16 2 16 6 11 8 12 10 6 6 1 10 6 5 10 DNF 143 Taylor Gavula '19
Emma Wheeler '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 14 9 14 9 7 7 11 4 10 3 15 15 11 10 11 6 156 Maia Agerup '20
Ariana Smaldone '20
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 4 15 3 16 10 14 16 12 11 7 12 8 4 14 12 160 Annie Spence '20
Elizabeth Holiman '20
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 12 15 3 11 10 17 13 12 14 15 4 13 13 14 5 7 178 Alexandra Maurillo '18 [1-16]
Paige Dunlevy '20 [1-6, 15]
Julia Leighton '20 [7-14, 16]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 11 17 13 15 17 13 10 11 13 13 3 11 1 11 16 DNF 193 Greta Farrell '18 [1-16]
Megan Mcknelly '17 [1-9]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [10]
Jorlyn Le Garrec '17 [11-16]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 17 14 17 16 12 14 15 14 16 12 11 4 9 13 12 9 205 Camille Matile '17
Nathalie Garcia '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 8 6 17 15 16 16 13 15 16 17 17 16 17 13 DNF 223 Hana Zwick '18
Jean Crotty '18
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 15 12 9 14 13 15 17 17 17 17 16 16 15 15 17 14 239 Rachel Yannelli '19 [1-10, 15]
Charlotte Samson '19 [11-14, 16]
Charlotte Samson '19 [1-10, 15]
Rachel Yannelli '19 [11-14, 16]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1122334455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2233445566778899
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars334455667788991010
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears13131414151516161717112233
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels44556677889910101111
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green5566778899101011111212
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons667788991010111112121313
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson77889910101111121213131414
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8899101011111212131314141515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies991010111112121313141415151616
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams141415151616171711223344
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks10101111121213131414151516161717
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1515161617171122334455
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal111112121313141415151616171711
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1212131314141515161617171122
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts16161717112233445566
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs171711223344556677

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1122334455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2233445566778899
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars334455667788991010
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears13131414151516161717112233
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels44556677889910101111
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green5566778899101011111212
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons667788991010111112121313
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson77889910101111121213131414
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8899101011111212131314141515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies991010111112121313141415151616
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams141415151616171711223344
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks10101111121213131414151516161717
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1515161617171122334455
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal111112121313141415151616171711
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1212131314141515161617171122
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts16161717112233445566
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs171711223344556677
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Allyson Donahue '17 [1-16] Megan Bamford '18 [1-10]
Alice Bohan '18 [11-16]
Eagles Isabella Loosbrock '19 [1-16] Lily Mcgrath '18 [1-12, 15]
Megan Bamford '18 [13-14]
Madeleine Loosbrock '17 [16]
Brown University Brown University Lindsey Baab '18 [1-16] Abigayle Konys '19 [1-6]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [7-16]
Bears Hannah Steadman '20 [1-16] Marina Cano '17 [1-6, 15]
Maxine De Havenon '19 [7-14, 16]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Paris Henken '22 [1-16] Caroline Bracken '19 [1-2, 5-10]
Elizabeth Pemberton '18 [3-4, 11-16]
Cougars Alie Toppa '20 [1-16] Annabel Carrington '19 [1-10]
Caroline Bracken '19 [11-16]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Ragna Agerup '20 [1-8, 13-16]
Rebecca Quirke '17 [9-12]		 Cecilia Moreira '20 [1-2, 15-16]
Jessica Hunnewell '20 [3-8]
Hannah King '19 [9-12]
Hannah Staples '20 [13-14]
Camels Alexandra Maurillo '18 [1-16] Paige Dunlevy '20 [1-6, 15]
Julia Leighton '20 [7-14, 16]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Emma White '19 [1-16] Peninah Benjamin '20 [1-8, 11]
Madeleine Walker '18 [9-10, 12-16]
Big Green Margaret Kilvert '18 Lisa Genthner '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Anna Huebschmann '18 Audrey Franchett '17
Tritons Hana Zwick '18 Jean Crotty '18
Harvard University Harvard University Taylor Ladd '18 Kirstin Anderson '18
Crimson Taylor Gavula '19 Emma Wheeler '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Annie Hughes '19 [1-16] Jorlyn Le Garrec '17 [1-10]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [11-16]
Engineers Greta Farrell '18 [1-16] Megan Mcknelly '17 [1-9]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [10]
Jorlyn Le Garrec '17 [11-16]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Elise Gehling '17 Laura Tschiegg '17
Huskies Camille Matile '17 Nathalie Garcia '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Kelsey Shakin '19 Megan Roach '18
Hawks Maia Agerup '20 Ariana Smaldone '20
Stanford University Stanford University Julia Lambert '18 Madeline Bubb '20
Cardinal Elena Vandenberg '18 Mary Vangelos '17
Tufts University Tufts University Maryclaire Kiernan '17 Julia Fuller '17
Jumbos Molly Pleskus '18 Sabina Van Mell '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Nikole Barnes '17 [1-16] Emily Wright '20 [1-2, 4-14, 16]
Maddie Ekin '20 [3, 15]
Bears Dana Rohde '18 Hannah Herring '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rachel Bryer '17 Hannah Scanlon '18
Rams Sarah Hermus '18 Marisa Decollibus '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Sarah Streater '18 Kristen Walker '17
Bulls Rachel Yannelli '19 [1-10, 15]
Charlotte Samson '19 [11-14, 16]		 Charlotte Samson '19 [1-10, 15]
Rachel Yannelli '19 [11-14, 16]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Lindsay Doyle '18 Lilla Salvesen '18
Catamounts Annie Spence '20 Elizabeth Holiman '20
Yale University Yale University Casey Klingler '18 Natalya Doris '17
Bulldogs Christine Klingler '20 [1-8]
Katharina (Kb) Knapp '18 [9-16]		 Katharina (Kb) Knapp '18 [1-8]
Christine Klingler '20 [9-16]

Conditions — 10/22/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 94%  ·  Pressure 990.2 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 14.1 kn
Gusts to 31.1 kn
From W (278°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity94% Pressure990.2 hPa Rain0.22 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn · W 14 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.16 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →