U. S. Coast Guard Academy '18
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 3.42 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 72 | Fall 2017 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.06 (fleet 4.25) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 36–51 (41%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 3 | 13–14 | — |
| Spring 2017 | 3 | 9–20 | — |
| Spring 2016 | 1 | 5–8 | — |
| Spring 2015 | 1 | 9–9 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 8 graded regattas (87 matches) the record is 36–51 against 48.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−12.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 5 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 14 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-07 | New England Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | skipper | 3.31 | 2.63 | 2–6 | 3.0 | −0.68 | 0.5 | 89% |
| 2018-03-24 | Staake Team Race | skipper | 3.47 | 3.23 | 8–4 | 8.4 | −0.23 | 0.1 | 76% |
| 2018-03-04 | Sharpe Team Race Trophy | skipper | 3.45 | 3.75 | 3–4 | 2.5 | +0.30 | 0.1 | 49% |
| 2017-04-08 | New England Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | skipper | 3.48 | 2.98 | 3–8 | 4.1 | −0.50 | 0.4 | 85% |
| 2017-03-25 | Jan T. Friis Trophy | skipper | 3.52 | 0.79 | 2–6 | 4.3 | −2.72 | 4.0 | >99% |
| 2017-03-04 | Bob Bavier Team Race | skipper | 3.26 | 3.16 | 4–6 | 4.2 | −0.10 | 0.0 | 68% |
| 2016-04-02 | The 35th Lynne Marchiando Trophy | skipper | 2.97 | 2.30 | 5–8 | 6.8 | −0.67 | 0.8 | 92% |
| 2015-03-28 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.95 | 1.22 | 9–9 | 14.8 | −1.72 | 7.8 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Staake Team Race | Skipper | TR | 20 | 80% | — |
| St. Mary's Women's InterConference Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 4.3 | 4.72 |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.9 | 4.24 |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 5.8 | 4.50 |
| Sharpe Team Race Trophy | Skipper | TR | 10 | 40% | — |
| Owen/Mosbacher/Knapp Trophies | Skipper | A | 15 | 6.3 | 3.87 |
| New England Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | Skipper | TR | 11 | 27% | — |
| NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 5.0 | 4.40 |
| NEISA Coed Championship/US Coast Guard Alumni Bowl | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.5 | 4.60 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 4.8 | 4.50 |
| Gill Coed National Championships | Skipper | A | 11 | 10.5 | 3.97 |
| Gill Coed Eastern Semifinal | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.1 | 3.89 |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 4.5 | 4.77 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 2.5 | 5.67 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.5 | 4.70 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 7.6 | 3.70 |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 4.3 | 4.60 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.6 | 4.57 |
| Laser Performance Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 5.8 | 3.87 |
| 75th Danmark Trophy | Skipper | A | 13 | 7.5 | 4.56 |
| 43rd Henry H.Anderson Jr. Trophy | Skipper | A | 16 | 7.1 | 4.12 |
| 2017 Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 3.8 | 4.80 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 4.6 | 4.04 |
| Sperry College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 7.4 | 3.74 |
| New England Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | Skipper | TR | 11 | 27% | — |
| NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 3.2 | 4.89 |
| NEISA Coed Championship/US Coast Guard Alumni Bowl | Skipper | B | 16 | 6.3 | 4.09 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.2 | 3.92 |
| Jan T. Friis Trophy | Skipper | TR | 12 | 50% | — |
| Gill Coed Western Semifinal | Skipper | B | 11 | 5.9 | 4.35 |
| Gill Coed College Sailing National Championship | Skipper | B | 17 | 9.3 | 4.00 |
| Bob Bavier Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 22% | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 5.1 | 4.10 |
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.2 | 3.75 |
| NEISA Women Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 4.3 | 4.13 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 5.1 | 3.79 |
| LaserPerformance Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.6 | 3.46 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.6 | 4.31 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 3.0 | 4.48 |
| Sperry College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 8.0 | 3.33 |
| Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 5.2 | 3.82 |
| The 35th Lynne Marchiando Trophy | Skipper | TR | 13 | 38% | — |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 5.1 | 3.83 |
| The Victorian Urn Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 7.8 | 3.16 |
| Toni Deutsch Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 6.5 | 3.23 |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Championships Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.7 | 4.38 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 6.0 | 3.35 |
| LaserPerformance Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 7.5 | 2.89 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 11.5 | 2.85 |
| 33rd Professor Stedman Hood Trophy | Skipper | A | 9 | 9.3 | 3.23 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | C | 13 | 7.6 | 3.26 |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 3.1 | 4.36 |
| NEISA Women's Champs, Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 5.6 | 3.60 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 6.5 | — |
| Gill Coed Eastern Semifinals | Skipper | B | 3 | 6.0 | 3.96 |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 7.1 | 3.65 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 50% | — |
| Sperry ICSA Women’s National Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 5.6 | 3.85 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Weekday Invite Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.8 | 0.69 |
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 11.8 | 1.85 |
| Toni Deutsch Regatta Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 3.6 | 3.66 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 6.5 | 3.27 |
| President's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 3 | 9.3 | 1.74 |
| Lake Champlain Open | Skipper | B | 4 | 9.2 | 1.62 |
| Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.8 | 4.59 |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | B | 11 | 5.2 | 3.12 |
| 35th Yale Women's Intersectional Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 6.1 | 3.41 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Dana Rohde |  Richmond Hill High School |
'14 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
