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Sperry Women's Western Semifinal

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 48 36 84
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 51 85 136
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 75 78 153
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 84 71 155
5 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 102 75 177
6 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 88 91 179
7 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 69 110 179
8 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 106 86 192
9 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 94 113 207
10 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 131 81 212
11 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 124 109 233
12 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 128 111 239
13 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 144 129 273
14 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 134 146 280
15 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 130 156 286
16 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 168 183 351
17 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 187 191 378
18 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 191 201 392
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 3 3 2 3 5 1 5 3 18 2 1 48 Nikole Barnes '17 [1-12]
Anna Morin '19 [1-9, 11-12]
Madelynn Widmeier '19 [10]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 8 2 5 7 1 1 9 2 7 2 3 4 51 Casey Klingler '18
Emily Johnson '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 6 5 6 4 7 2 8 7 5 4 9 6 69 Laura Wefer '16
Jennifer Burke '16
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 1 12 8 5 13 3 1 11 6 5 3 75 Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17
Courtney Bergh '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 9 1 13 12 3 4 4 9 3 13 12 84 Simone Staff '18
Claire Stivers '18
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 12 8 1 2 12 12 9 4 11 11 2 88 Sarah Williams '16 [1-12]
Sophie Kerr '17 [1-7]
Sophia Diserio '18 [8-12]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 9 6 4 10 8 11 5 3 1 13 7 17 94 Mary Kate Mezzetti '16 [1-12]
Bettina Redway '16 [1-10]
Carolyn Dahl '18 [11-12]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 10 9 9 DSQ 6 6 8 2 7 16 5 102 Mary Dahl '18 [1-4]
Rebekah Schiff '16 [5-6]
Elizabeth Pemberton '18 [7-12]
Grace Mccarthy '18 [1-4]
Chloe Dapp '17 [5-6]
Emily Stuart '16 [7-10]
Rebekah Schiff '16 [11-12]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 3 8 14 12 13 9 7 10 16 1 4 9 106 Bailey Carter '19 [1-12]
Sarah Warren '18 [1-9]
Erin Condon '17 [10-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 16 4 2 11 4 16 13 15 DSQ 8 6 10 124 Hannah Hughes '17
Brittany Webb-Martin '18
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 18 7 7 5 10 4 17 16 14 14 8 8 128 Adelaide Ferguson '17 [1-12]
Lauren Holderman '18 [1-9]
Bailey Fryer '18 [10-12]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 14 17 16 3 9 8 14 11 6 5 14 13 130 Anna Huebschmann '18 [1-12]
Heidi Carlson '16 [1-6, 9-12]
Jessica Resnick '16 [7-8]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 11 11 17 16 6 14 11 6 10 10 1 18 131 Taylor Ladd '18
Kirstin Anderson '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 12 14 13 14 11 10 2 13 13 15 10 7 134 Amanda Attardi '17
Laura Kilgore '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 13 16 10 6 17 17 10 12 8 9 12 14 144 Kyra Oakes '18 [1-12]
Linda Ge '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Ekaterina Goncharova '18 [3-6, 9-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 10 13 15 17 15 7 18 18 12 12 15 16 168 Kate Flanagan '17
Cory Baranski '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 17 15 11 15 16 18 15 17 17 17 18 11 187 Katherine O'Donnell '19 [1-12]
Hannah Givertz '18 [1-4, 9-12]
Madison Shirey '19 [5-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 15 18 18 18 14 15 16 14 15 16 17 15 191 Erin Hawk '16
Alyssa Schultz '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 1 5 1 4 1 11 1 2 3 2 3 36 Dana Rohde '18
Hannah Herring '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 8 2 6 2 9 3 3 12 3 8 8 7 71 Ginger Luckey '16 [1-8]
Olivia Godfrey '17 [9-12]
Ellen Gable '17 [1-8]
Sarah Scoffone '19 [9-12]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 5 7 7 2 2 2 14 9 12 10 2 75 Nikki Medley '17
Irene Abascal '17
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 11 2 4 6 12 5 7 6 14 5 1 78 Lindsey Baab '18 [1-12]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [1-6, 9-12]
Haley Carter '17 [7-8]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 6 3 3 9 5 18 10 13 1 1 6 6 81 Taylor Gavula '19
Sydney Karnovsky '16
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 7 8 3 1 6 7 5 13 10 7 8 85 Marly Isler '16 [1-6]
Katharina (Kb) Knapp '18 [7-12]
Kira Woods '19 [1-4]
Natalya Doris '17 [5-8, 11-12]
Claire Huebner '18 [9-10]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Herons 9 9 1 6 10 7 1 10 12 4 13 4 86 Christine Moloney '17 [1-12]
Lindsey Kloc '19 [1-8, 11-12]
Kate Homet '19 [9-10]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 12 6 12 8 7 5 4 3 14 7 4 9 91 Emily Petno '16 [1-4]
Margaret Kilvert '18 [5-12]
Hope Wilson '16 [1-4]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 13 4 16 14 4 12 9 10 9 12 5 109 Mary Robertson '17
Molly Hanson '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 11 8 11 12 8 9 9 8 4 6 11 13 110 Kate Klement '17 [1-12]
Katie Hall '16 [1-8, 11-12]
Amelia Shankwitz '17 [9-10]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 17 10 13 5 11 13 8 2 8 5 9 10 111 Amanda Stapp '18
Elizabeth Foulston '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 4 18 11 12 16 6 11 11 2 3 15 113 Rose Edwards '18 [1-12]
Emily Fung '17 [1-8]
Madeline Higgins '16 [9-12]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 13 14 10 17 18 11 13 4 5 11 1 12 129 Jennifer Hays '17 [1-6]
Elizabeth Hansen '19 [7-12]
Katie Hitchcock '16 [1-6]
Olivia Macdonald '19 [7-12]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 7 12 14 13 13 10 14 15 7 13 14 14 146 Samara Leith '19
Kaitlyn Reilly '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 15 15 9 18 3 17 16 6 16 15 15 11 156 Sophie Salomon '18 [1-9]
Hana Zwick '18 [10-12]
Jessica Resnick '16 [1-6]
Jane Anne Donovan '18 [7-8]
Hana Zwick '18 [9]
Jean Crotty '18 [10-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 14 18 16 14 16 8 15 16 15 16 18 17 183 Shaan Shridhar '19 [1-12]
Joanna Garcia '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Athina Ebert '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 16 16 15 10 15 15 18 18 18 18 16 16 191 Susan Riley '17 [1-12]
Medina Krevans '16 [1-6, 9-12]
Samantha Harney '18 [7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 18 17 17 15 17 14 17 17 17 17 17 18 201 Tracy Hawk '16
Alexandra Oyston '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears141412121010886644
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11335577991111
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3355779911111313
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains2218181616141412121010
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1212101088664422
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green44221818161614141212
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons557799111113131515
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams664422181816161414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas77991111131315151717
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson8866442218181616
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Herons99111113131515171711
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen131315151717113355
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1010886644221818
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies11111313151517171133
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1515171711335577
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies16161414121210108866
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers17171133557799
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818161614141212101088

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears1313111199775533
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2244668810101212
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars446688101012121414
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11171715151313111199
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears11119977553311
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33111717151513131111
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons66881010121214141616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams553311171715151313
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas8810101212141416161818
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson7755331117171515
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Herons1010121214141616181822
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen141416161818224466
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats99775533111717
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies12121414161618182244
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1616181822446688
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies151513131111997755
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1818224466881010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs17171515131311119977
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brown University Brown University Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17 Courtney Bergh '16
Bears Lindsey Baab '18 [1-12] Jessica O'Dell '17 [1-6, 9-12]
Haley Carter '17 [7-8]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Amanda Attardi '17 Laura Kilgore '17
Captains Samara Leith '19 Kaitlyn Reilly '18
College of Charleston College of Charleston Mary Dahl '18 [1-4]
Rebekah Schiff '16 [5-6]
Elizabeth Pemberton '18 [7-12]		 Grace Mccarthy '18 [1-4]
Chloe Dapp '17 [5-6]
Emily Stuart '16 [7-10]
Rebekah Schiff '16 [11-12]
Cougars Nikki Medley '17 Irene Abascal '17
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Sarah Williams '16 [1-12] Sophie Kerr '17 [1-7]
Sophia Diserio '18 [8-12]
Big Green Emily Petno '16 [1-4]
Margaret Kilvert '18 [5-12]		 Hope Wilson '16 [1-4]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Anna Huebschmann '18 [1-12] Heidi Carlson '16 [1-6, 9-12]
Jessica Resnick '16 [7-8]
Tritons Sophie Salomon '18 [1-9]
Hana Zwick '18 [10-12]		 Jessica Resnick '16 [1-6]
Jane Anne Donovan '18 [7-8]
Hana Zwick '18 [9]
Jean Crotty '18 [10-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Adelaide Ferguson '17 [1-12] Lauren Holderman '18 [1-9]
Bailey Fryer '18 [10-12]
Rams Amanda Stapp '18 Elizabeth Foulston '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Mary Kate Mezzetti '16 [1-12] Bettina Redway '16 [1-10]
Carolyn Dahl '18 [11-12]
Hoyas Rose Edwards '18 [1-12] Emily Fung '17 [1-8]
Madeline Higgins '16 [9-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Taylor Ladd '18 Kirstin Anderson '18
Crimson Taylor Gavula '19 Sydney Karnovsky '16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Bailey Carter '19 [1-12] Sarah Warren '18 [1-9]
Erin Condon '17 [10-12]
Herons Christine Moloney '17 [1-12] Lindsey Kloc '19 [1-8, 11-12]
Kate Homet '19 [9-10]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Katherine O'Donnell '19 [1-12] Hannah Givertz '18 [1-4, 9-12]
Madison Shirey '19 [5-8]
Wildcats Susan Riley '17 [1-12] Medina Krevans '16 [1-6, 9-12]
Samantha Harney '18 [7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Erin Hawk '16 Alyssa Schultz '16
Aggies Tracy Hawk '16 Alexandra Oyston '18
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Nikole Barnes '17 [1-12] Anna Morin '19 [1-9, 11-12]
Madelynn Widmeier '19 [10]
Bears Dana Rohde '18 Hannah Herring '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Hannah Hughes '17 Brittany Webb-Martin '18
Midshipmen Mary Robertson '17 Molly Hanson '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Kyra Oakes '18 [1-12] Linda Ge '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Ekaterina Goncharova '18 [3-6, 9-12]
Bears Jennifer Hays '17 [1-6]
Elizabeth Hansen '19 [7-12]		 Katie Hitchcock '16 [1-6]
Olivia Macdonald '19 [7-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Simone Staff '18 Claire Stivers '18
Gauchos Ginger Luckey '16 [1-8]
Olivia Godfrey '17 [9-12]		 Ellen Gable '17 [1-8]
Sarah Scoffone '19 [9-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Kate Flanagan '17 Cory Baranski '16
Huskies Shaan Shridhar '19 [1-12] Joanna Garcia '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Athina Ebert '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Laura Wefer '16 Jennifer Burke '16
Badgers Kate Klement '17 [1-12] Katie Hall '16 [1-8, 11-12]
Amelia Shankwitz '17 [9-10]
Yale University Yale University Casey Klingler '18 Emily Johnson '16
Bulldogs Marly Isler '16 [1-6]
Katharina (Kb) Knapp '18 [7-12]		 Kira Woods '19 [1-4]
Natalya Doris '17 [5-8, 11-12]
Claire Huebner '18 [9-10]

Conditions — 05/24/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From WSW (245°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1016.4 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn* · W 12 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at San Diego State: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.21 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at San Diego State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at San Diego State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →