Georgetown University '16
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 17.69 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.111 rating points from 21 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.35 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 44 | Fall 2015 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.31 (fleet 3.19) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 32–6 (84%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 | 3 | — | 18–3 |
| Spring 2015 | 3 | — | 14–3 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (34 matches) the record is 28–6 against 26.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-04-09 | MAISA Team Race Championship/Capt. Prosser Trophy | crew | 3.87 | 6.87 | 4–0 | 3.9 | ≥+3.00 | 0.2 | 87% |
| 2016-03-26 | MAISA/SAISA | crew | 3.81 | 2.77 | 13–3 | 14.7 | −1.05 | 1.4 | 97% |
| 2015-03-28 | MAISA/SAISA Team Race | crew | 2.92 | 4.02 | 11–3 | 8.3 | +1.09 | 2.0 | 9% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 9.7 | 3.11 |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 7.8 | 3.25 |
| Sperry College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 13.2 | 2.52 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.6 | 4.30 |
| MAISA Women’s Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 4.7 | 3.12 |
| MAISA/SAISA | Crew | TR | 16 | 81% | — |
| LaserPerformance Team Race Nationals | Crew | TR | 25 | 76% | — |
| Charleston Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 4.9 | 3.67 |
| MAISA Team Race Championship/Capt. Prosser Trophy | Crew | TR | 14 | 93% | — |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 6.9 | 3.66 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 7.2 | 3.44 |
| Radial Open Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 10.7 | 1.70 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.7 | 4.19 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Championships Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 4.2 | 3.24 |
| Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.8 | 2.22 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| MAISA/SAISA Team Race | Crew | TR | 14 | 79% | — |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 3 | 4.3 | 3.67 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 14.0 | 2.14 |
| Navy Spring | Crew | A | 6 | 5.7 | — |
| LaserPerformance Team Race National Championships | Crew | TR | 22 | 68% | — |
| Captain "Joe" Prosser Trophy | Crew | TR | 14 | 93% | — |
| Sperry ICSA Women’s National Championship Women's | Crew | A | 2 | 14.0 | — |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 1.9 | 3.96 |
| Radial Open Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 8 | 10.5 | 1.95 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.3 | 3.73 |
| Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 9 | 10.1 | 2.04 |
| Atlantic Coast Women's Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 6.6 | 3.06 |
| 35th Yale Women's Intersectional Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 8.6 | 2.56 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 11.9 | 2.25 |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.0 | 2.62 |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 12.7 | 2.73 |
| Robert P. Arrigan Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 3 | 5.0 | 2.02 |
| Navy Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 9.8 | 3.05 |
| MAISA Women's Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 5.0 | 3.14 |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 9.2 | 2.73 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 10.5 | 2.50 |
| The Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 10.0 | 2.66 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 9.2 | 2.42 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 6.8 | 2.96 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 2.4 | 3.68 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Womens Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 7.0 | 2.99 |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Finals Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 8.3 | 3.32 |
| Robert P. Arrigan Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 12 | 3.8 | 0.93 |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 5.8 | 2.83 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.1 | 2.96 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Champs Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 5.1 | 2.12 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
