Sperry Top-Sider Women's Nationals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 60 125 185
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 101 89 190
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 112 163 275
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 140 136 276
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 177 109 286
6 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 127 164 291
7 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 133 163 296
8 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 170 135 305
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 140 165 305
10 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 160 168 328
11 Boston College Boston College Eagles 157 171 328
12 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 192 144 336
13 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 157 202 359
14 Brown University Brown University Bears 207 174 381
15 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 168 246 414
16 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 231 186 417
17 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 232 187 419
18 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 243 180 423
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 8 11 2 5 1 1 3 1 9 1 5 1 1 1 7 1 60 Deirdre Lambert '15
Avery Plough '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 15 9 1 2 2 2 1 2 10 3 16 4 15 6 3 3 101 Morgan Kiss '15
Katherine Gaumond '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 14 3 5 6 5 6 9 5 1 4 4 17 9 12 9 2 112 Mary Hall '15
Elizabeth Morrison '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 1 10 3 7 18 7 4 8 14 8 9 6 5 8 5 10 127 Nikole Barnes '17
Justine Morrison '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 10 4 1 6 10 7 14 13 4 2 11 14 8 2 7 4 16 133 Arielle Delisser '14
Allison Aughtry '16
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 12 9 7 17 4 13 3 2 7 11 10 13 3 18 4 2 5 140 Andrea Luna '15
Chloe Constants '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 13 3 4 11 1 11 16 5 6 13 14 7 13 6 5 8 4 140 Rachel Bryer '17 [1-17]
Kaitlyn Norton '15 [1-4, 13-17]
Fiona Christie '17 [5-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 11 2 9 9 3 13 14 11 3 9 3 7 13 18 11 15 157 Erin Mullins '16
Mary Paz '17
Boston College Boston College Eagles 11 5 15 10 15 15 4 8 3 16 5 6 11 10 9 6 8 157 Erika Reineke '17 [1-17]
Kaitlin Driscoll '16 [1-2, 5-17]
Elizabeth Barnard '15 [3-4]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 9 12 16 14 14 4 12 12 13 4 13 8 2 8 3 10 6 160 Melany Johnson '15 [1-17]
Brianna Green '16 [1-2, 5-10]
Heidi Carlson '16 [3-4]
Jessica Resnick '16 [11-17]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 2 13 7 17 9 11 17 12 15 6 2 9 3 15 13 14 168 Madeline Kennedy '14
Katrina Berry '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 7 5 12 13 10 10 11 10 7 12 18 12 11 2 12 13 170 Clerc Cooper '15 [1-17]
Elizabeth Chambers '14 [1-6]
Chloe Dapp '17 [7-17]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 16 18 6 13 3 14 5 7 18 8 16 1 10 7 10 14 11 177 Chloe Lepert '15
Iris Xu '14
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 15 10 14 8 8 6 18 6 16 6 15 11 15 4 11 17 12 192 Sarah Mace '14 [1-12, 17]
Lily Katz '17 [13-16]
Samantha Steele '16 [1-12, 17]
Michelle Catania '16 [13-16]
Brown University Brown University Bears 17 17 12 15 12 16 8 18 17 12 2 10 16 12 13 1 9 207 Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17 [1-8, 11-17]
Johanna Kincaid '15 [9-10]
Lydia Whiteford '15 [1-8, 11-17]
Nicole Quattrocchi '15 [9-10]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 14 6 18 18 11 12 9 15 15 5 17 17 5 16 17 18 18 231 Mary Kate Mezzetti '16 [1-3, 13-14]
Amanda Taselaar '14 [4-12]
Claudia Taselaar '17 [15-17]
Amanda Taselaar '14 [1-3, 15-17]
Mary Kate Mezzetti '16 [4-12]
Genevieve Burgoyne '14 [13-14]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 13 8 16 18 8 15 10 14 18 18 15 18 17 14 15 7 232 Dominique Wright '15 [1-13]
Alison Knoles '17 [14]
Charlie Bess '17 [15-17]
Alison Knoles '17 [1-10, 13]
Charlie Bess '17 [11-12]
Dominique Wright '15 [14-17]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 18 16 17 4 16 17 17 16 9 17 7 12 14 14 16 16 17 243 Laura Wefer '16 [1-17]
Katlyn Putney '14 [1-6]
Jennifer Burke '16 [7-17]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 1 10 3 12 8 11 1 5 7 1 2 3 3 11 5 5 89 Marlena Fauer '14 [1-17]
Eugenia Custo Greig '14 [1-4]
Charlotte Belling '16 [5-17]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 9 6 12 6 1 1 5 6 1 2 4 15 10 2 16 2 11 109 Hanna Vincent '14
Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan '16
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 4 2 16 4 2 17 2 12 6 7 13 6 4 3 12 10 125 Kelsey Wheeler '14
Lizzie Guynn '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 10 7 11 11 6 3 13 9 2 1 2 11 18 16 10 4 1 135 Grace Lucas '14 [1-17]
Morgan Buckley '15 [1-2, 5-17]
Charlotte Saxe '16 [3-4]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 17 5 8 13 13 16 15 11 3 3 8 3 1 1 5 8 6 136 Corina Radtke '14 [1-17]
Grace Mason '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Rachel Austin '14 [3-4]
Jill Fattibene '14 [7-17]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 12 5 10 9 11 6 4 18 9 5 7 11 6 6 11 8 144 Molly Mckinney '14
Yuri Namikawa '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 14 4 2 10 9 14 18 8 10 9 6 5 14 8 13 15 163 Marissa Lihan '14 [1-17]
Emma Ferris '15 [1-10]
Megan Hough '16 [11-17]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 8 15 18 1 15 5 2 7 14 11 17 8 4 11 12 1 14 163 Brooke Lyon '14
Jane Rew '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 14 13 13 12 3 12 3 10 9 8 16 1 2 7 7 17 17 164 Kayla Ellis '16 [1-17]
Christina Frost '16 [1-3]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [4-17]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 16 2 1 5 7 13 16 17 4 13 10 5 12 9 13 6 16 165 Chanel Miller '14
Nellie Hamilton '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 7 9 15 7 2 6 7 5 10 18 3 17 14 10 15 10 13 168 Solvig Sayre '14
Lissa Mcclung '14
Boston College Boston College Eagles 13 8 3 8 11 4 8 15 7 15 11 12 16 17 14 7 2 171 Carolyn Naughton '14 [1-8, 11-17]
Allyson Donahue '17 [9-10]
Katherine Downey '16 [1-8, 11-15]
Allison Ferraris '17 [9-10]
Caroline Drury '14 [16-17]
Brown University Brown University Bears 18 3 7 17 5 18 10 3 15 17 6 16 15 5 9 3 7 174 Sky Adams '14
Kristin Altreuter '14
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 15 11 9 4 18 10 12 12 11 4 18 10 17 12 4 9 4 180 Leslie Poole '16 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Kate Klement '17 [3-6, 9-10, 13-17]
Katie Hall '16 [1-4, 7-17]
Dana Friske '15 [5-6]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 10 6 14 8 14 4 8 6 12 12 18 13 18 17 14 9 186 Katia Dasilva '15 [1-14, 16-17]
Merritt Moran '14 [15]
Madeline Higgins '16 [1-3, 16-17]
Bettina Redway '16 [4-12]
Merritt Moran '14 [13-14]
Hollis Dana '16 [15]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 11 18 17 15 17 7 9 14 13 5 13 4 8 13 2 18 3 187 Colleen Hartman '13 [1-17]
Kayla Burrows '17 [1-3]
Ali Yarbrough '16 [4-17]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 16 14 9 14 15 1 16 16 14 15 9 7 8 18 16 12 202 Kaylee Schwitzer '15 [1-6, 13-17]
Courtney Koos '16 [7-12]
Olivia Diserio '16 [1-12]
Frances Jimenez '16 [13-17]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 12 17 16 18 16 17 18 13 17 16 14 14 9 15 1 15 18 246 Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-6, 9-17]
Louise Currie '18 [7-8]
Andrea Kelly '14 [1-8, 11-17]
Louise Currie '18 [9-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11223344556677889
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221118181717161615151414131312
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33445566778899101011
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44332211181817171616151514
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears12121111101099887766554
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green556677889910101111121213
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons6655443322111818171716
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas7788991010111112121313141415
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows141413131212111110109988776
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen887766554433221118
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers99101011111212131314141515161617
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen13131414151516161717181811223
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1010998877665544332
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1515161617171818112233445
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1616151514141313121211111010998
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal111112121313141415151616171718181
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers171718181122334455667
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818171716161515141413131212111110

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11223344556677889
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221118181717161615151414131312
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33445566778899101011
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44332211181817171616151514
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears12121111101099887766554
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green556677889910101111121213
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons6655443322111818171716
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas7788991010111112121313141415
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows141413131212111110109988776
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen887766554433221118
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers99101011111212131314141515161617
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen13131414151516161717181811223
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1010998877665544332
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1515161617171818112233445
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1616151514141313121211111010998
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal111112121313141415151616171718181
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers171718181122334455667
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818171716161515141413131212111110
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Erika Reineke '17 [1-17] Kaitlin Driscoll '16 [1-2, 5-17]
Elizabeth Barnard '15 [3-4]
Eagles Carolyn Naughton '14 [1-8, 11-17]
Allyson Donahue '17 [9-10]
Katherine Downey '16 [1-8, 11-15]
Allison Ferraris '17 [9-10]
Caroline Drury '14 [16-17]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Erin Mullins '16 Mary Paz '17
Polar Bears Kaylee Schwitzer '15 [1-6, 13-17]
Courtney Koos '16 [7-12]
Olivia Diserio '16 [1-12]
Frances Jimenez '16 [13-17]
Brown University Brown University Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17 [1-8, 11-17]
Johanna Kincaid '15 [9-10]
Lydia Whiteford '15 [1-8, 11-17]
Nicole Quattrocchi '15 [9-10]
Bears Sky Adams '14 Kristin Altreuter '14
College of Charleston College of Charleston Clerc Cooper '15 [1-17] Elizabeth Chambers '14 [1-6]
Chloe Dapp '17 [7-17]
Cougars Grace Lucas '14 [1-17] Morgan Buckley '15 [1-2, 5-17]
Charlotte Saxe '16 [3-4]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Deirdre Lambert '15 Avery Plough '14
Big Green Kelsey Wheeler '14 Lizzie Guynn '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Melany Johnson '15 [1-17] Brianna Green '16 [1-2, 5-10]
Heidi Carlson '16 [3-4]
Jessica Resnick '16 [11-17]
Tritons Solvig Sayre '14 Lissa Mcclung '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Mary Kate Mezzetti '16 [1-3, 13-14]
Amanda Taselaar '14 [4-12]
Claudia Taselaar '17 [15-17]
Amanda Taselaar '14 [1-3, 15-17]
Mary Kate Mezzetti '16 [4-12]
Genevieve Burgoyne '14 [13-14]
Hoyas Katia Dasilva '15 [1-14, 16-17]
Merritt Moran '14 [15]
Madeline Higgins '16 [1-3, 16-17]
Bettina Redway '16 [4-12]
Merritt Moran '14 [13-14]
Hollis Dana '16 [15]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Arielle Delisser '14 Allison Aughtry '16
Statesmen Brooke Lyon '14 Jane Rew '14
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Chloe Lepert '15 Iris Xu '14
Engineers Hanna Vincent '14 Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan '16
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Andrea Luna '15 Chloe Constants '14
Monarchs Corina Radtke '14 [1-17] Grace Mason '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Rachel Austin '14 [3-4]
Jill Fattibene '14 [7-17]
Stanford University Stanford University Sarah Mace '14 [1-12, 17]
Lily Katz '17 [13-16]
Samantha Steele '16 [1-12, 17]
Michelle Catania '16 [13-16]
Cardinal Molly Mckinney '14 Yuri Namikawa '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Nikole Barnes '17 Justine Morrison '13
Bears Kayla Ellis '16 [1-17] Christina Frost '16 [1-3]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [4-17]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Mary Hall '15 Elizabeth Morrison '14
Midshipmen Marissa Lihan '14 [1-17] Emma Ferris '15 [1-10]
Megan Hough '16 [11-17]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Madeline Kennedy '14 Katrina Berry '15
Rainbows Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-6, 9-17]
Louise Currie '18 [7-8]
Andrea Kelly '14 [1-8, 11-17]
Louise Currie '18 [9-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rachel Bryer '17 [1-17] Kaitlyn Norton '15 [1-4, 13-17]
Fiona Christie '17 [5-12]
Rams Chanel Miller '14 Nellie Hamilton '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Dominique Wright '15 [1-13]
Alison Knoles '17 [14]
Charlie Bess '17 [15-17]
Alison Knoles '17 [1-10, 13]
Charlie Bess '17 [11-12]
Dominique Wright '15 [14-17]
Bulls Colleen Hartman '13 [1-17] Kayla Burrows '17 [1-3]
Ali Yarbrough '16 [4-17]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Laura Wefer '16 [1-17] Katlyn Putney '14 [1-6]
Jennifer Burke '16 [7-17]
Badgers Leslie Poole '16 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Kate Klement '17 [3-6, 9-10, 13-17]
Katie Hall '16 [1-4, 7-17]
Dana Friske '15 [5-6]
Yale University Yale University Morgan Kiss '15 Katherine Gaumond '15
Bulldogs Marlena Fauer '14 [1-17] Eugenia Custo Greig '14 [1-4]
Charlotte Belling '16 [5-17]

Conditions — 05/29/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From E (92°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1022.5 hPa Rain0.34 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn · N 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Navy: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.16 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.18
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.28 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →