Bowdoin College '15
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.20 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 14 | Fall 2011 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.04 (fleet 2.81) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 27–10 (73%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2014 | 1 | 4–1 | — |
| Spring 2013 | 3 | 23–9 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (22 matches) the record is 14–8 against 9.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+4.1). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-03-01 | Thames River Team Race | skipper | 2.77 | 4.59 | 4–1 | 2.3 | +1.82 | 2.1 | 11% |
| 2013-05-04 | Fowle Trophy | skipper | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2–3 | 1.2 | +0.90 | 0.5 | 34% |
| 2013-04-20 | Staake Trophy Team Race | skipper | 3.02 | 3.73 | 8–4 | 6.4 | +0.71 | 0.8 | 23% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | B | 8 | 11.0 | 1.86 |
| Thames River Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 86% | — |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.3 | 3.14 |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 8.2 | 1.83 |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 11.9 | 2.27 |
| Reed Trophy / NEISA Women's Champs Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 7.6 | 2.85 |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.1 | 3.22 |
| BU Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.3 | 3.55 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Washington College Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 87% | — |
| Staake Trophy Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 67% | — |
| St. Mary's Womens Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 8.2 | 3.07 |
| NEISA Women's Champs, Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.4 | 2.94 |
| Owen / Mosbacher / Knapp Trophies | Skipper | B | 11 | 4.1 | 3.89 |
| NEISA Dinghy Champs/CG Alumni Bowl | Skipper | B | 9 | 11.4 | 2.56 |
| Fowle Trophy | Skipper | TR | 5 | 40% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.5 | 2.99 |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 9.9 | 2.60 |
| Stu Nelson Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.7 | 2.75 |
| RI State Champs, Sister Esther Open | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.8 | 2.67 |
| Pen Bay Open | Skipper | A | 12 | 8.6 | 2.19 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 5.3 | 3.49 |
| Lake Champlain Open | Skipper | B | 8 | 6.0 | 2.68 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 3.2 | 3.50 |
| 2012 Yale Women's Intersectional Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 13.1 | 2.06 |
| Spring 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| President's Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 3.2 | 3.85 |
| NEISA Women's Championship, Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 9.4 | 2.53 |
| Navy Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 20 | 6.8 | 3.04 |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 9.6 | 2.58 |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 8.7 | 2.95 |
| Fall 2011 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 11.8 | 1.98 |
| The Victorian Urn Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 4.9 | 3.49 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 26 | 5.2 | 2.61 |
| 138th Rudolph Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 11 | 5.4 | 3.20 |
| RI State Champs @ SRU | Skipper | B | 11 | 5.7 | 2.58 |
| NE Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.3 | 0.82 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 6 | 9.7 | 1.94 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 1.8 | 5.34 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
