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Stu Nelson Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 76 81 157
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 87 101 188
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 136 93 229
4 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 147 93 240
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 141 108 249
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 151 148 299
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 144 165 309
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 156 163 319
9 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 138 181 319
10 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 154 176 330
11 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 191 153 344
12 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 181 190 371
13 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 244 150 394
14 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 227 237 464
15 Boston University Boston University Terriers 191 284 475
16 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 267 208 475
17 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 204 273 477
18 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 223 276 499
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 5 4 6 1 1 1 2 9 1 6 2 8 5 5 3 1 12 76 Stephanie Hudson '13
Molly Clarke '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 3 10 1 5 6 9 3 1 2 5 6 12 4 3 2 6 8 87 Natalie Salk '13
Amelia Quinn '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 15 13 13 11 4 14 15 10 2 RDG 4 5 1 11 2 1 5 2 136 Claire Dennis '13
Katherine Gaumond '15
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 13 6 5 12 15 3 6 8 4 11 3 3 3 10 12 6 4 14 138 Lauren Turner '13
Lindsey Ludwig '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 10 2 9 16 8 2 16 9 6 3 1 8 10 2 10 10 12 7 141 Haley Powell '13 [1-18]
Samantha Pilz '14 [1-4]
Jaye Fahey '15 [5-12]
Rachel Perry '15 [13-18]
Brown University Brown University Bears 14 17 12 14 18 7 4 4 3 9 11 1 2 3 4 RDG 9 6 144 Sky Adams '14
Kristin Altreuter '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 9 11 7 3 10 7 6 10 10 9 13 11 8 7 7 13 1 147 Kelsey Wheeler '14 [1-18]
Lizzie Guynn '16 [1-8, 11-12]
Sarah Peck '14 [9-10, 13-18]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 9 1 2 8 7 11 11 7 17 7 7 11 9 14 8 5 7 10 151 Chloe Lepert '15 [1-18]
Brooke Winslow '15 [1-8, 13, 15-18]
Keren Gu '14 [9-12, 14]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 11 8 6 3 11 4 5 13 11 4 18 12 6 1 11 11 2 17 154 Morgan Russom '14 [1-18]
Caitlin Watson '14 [1-12]
Isabel Ruane '14 [13-18]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 10 3 4 2 17 2 14 5 8 8 16 5 16 6 18 11 4 156 Kaylee Schwitzer '15
Mae Speight '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 12 11 8 10 17 12 3 17 12 16 10 10 13 RDG 1 12 3 5 181 Marissa Lihan '14
Alexandra Asuncion '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 4 1 13 14 15 8 15 16 6 2 7 16 7 15 16 18 15 191 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Lindsey Kennett '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 16 16 7 2 16 16 14 1 14 14 15 4 4 9 9 14 17 3 191 Kaye Siemers '13
Rachel Cruz '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 12 15 17 10 9 12 5 7 5 16 17 15 13 14 4 14 11 204 Megan Yeigh '16
Callagy Ross '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 18 15 14 5 6 5 13 12 DSQ 13 17 9 17 6 18 13 10 13 223 Irene Jacqz '13
Alison Rosenfeld '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 7 17 18 9 8 17 18 8 15 12 18 7 17 13 17 15 9 227 Elise Gehling '17
Tasha Greenwood '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 18 18 9 12 18 18 11 15 12 13 14 14 15 17 8 8 18 244 Alexandra Romagnoli '15 [1-18]
Victoria Allen '16 [1-7]
Leah Bevins '16 [8-18]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 17 14 16 15 13 13 10 16 13 18 14 15 18 18 16 9 16 16 267 Mackenzie Needham '15
Kristin Horn '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 1 6 5 1 7 8 4 8 1 13 1 3 4 14 1 1 1 81 Carolyn Naughton '14
Katherine Wysocki '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 14 11 2 4 10 2 3 2 2 2 3 6 2 2 12 2 9 93 Chandler Salisbury '13
Madilyn Gamble '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 13 1 1 6 3 1 2 10 3 1 12 2 3 11 8 7 3 93 Emily Billing '13
Amanda Salvesen '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 12 8 3 4 2 8 4 5 3 4 3 4 1 10 3 3 16 8 101 Mariel Marchand '13
Sara Makaretz '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 4 8 6 14 1 5 9 11 6 4 5 5 5 1 6 4 6 108 Annie Schmidt '14 [1-18]
Samantha Bobo '15 [1-16]
Jaye Fahey '15 [17-18]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 3 2 2 11 5 14 9 7 14 14 6 16 11 11 8 5 6 4 148 Hanna Vincent '14
Taylor Burfield '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 3 7 9 10 2 16 6 7 16 5 7 13 DSQ 6 7 5 11 150 Liz Dubovik '15
Lea Bushnell '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 7 5 12 8 12 5 12 8 5 9 17 6 8 6 12 4 3 14 153 Amy Baxter '13
Ann Williamson '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 11 14 3 9 15 3 10 1 10 7 10 12 13 10 9 12 5 163 Lizzy Hamilton '15 [1-12]
Erin Mullins '16 [13-18]
Isabel Low '13 [1-12]
Kimberly Dempsey '14 [13-18]
Brown University Brown University Bears 14 12 5 15 3 9 6 14 4 7 11 2 4 7 15 13 17 7 165 Johanna Kincaid '15
Lydia Whiteford '15
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 4 9 4 14 18 6 7 1 9 11 10 17 9 16 4 16 11 10 176 Sophie Bermudez '16 [1-12]
Caitlin Watson '14 [13-18]
Isabel Ruane '14 [1-12]
Jacquelyn Cooley '14 [13-18]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 11 10 15 7 16 4 10 12 6 5 9 8 10 12 9 15 9 13 181 Jennifer Borshoff '15
Erin Ahlers '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 17 7 9 17 17 13 13 11 12 8 15 11 14 1 13 2 8 2 190 Emma Ferris '15
Erica Leinmiller '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 17 16 13 13 11 14 16 15 12 8 9 7 9 5 11 10 12 208 Kaitlyn Norton '15
Christine Delfosse '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 15 6 17 12 7 12 18 13 18 13 16 18 17 8 7 10 15 15 237 Heidi Hood '16
Estelle Beguin '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 13 16 10 10 11 16 17 15 16 18 18 15 15 15 18 18 14 18 273 Jana Gailiunas '16
Catherine Mitchell '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 16 18 18 16 15 17 11 DNF 13 17 12 13 18 14 16 14 13 16 276 Mary Margaret Meehan '15
Michelle Edelstein '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 18 15 13 18 8 18 15 17 17 15 14 14 16 17 17 17 18 17 284 Katelyn Richerts '16
Bethany Zettlet '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566778899
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4433221118181717161615151414
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22111818171716161515141413131212
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3344556677889910101111
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions665544332211181817171616
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55667788991010111112121313
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red778899101011111212131314141515
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green8877665519193322111818
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons9910101111121213131414151516161717
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1010998877665519193322
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1111121213131414151516161717181811
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen12121111101099887766551919
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies131314141515161617171818112233
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams16161515141413131212111110109988
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1414131312121111101099887766
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1515161617171818112233191955
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts171718181122331919556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211111010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11223319195566778899
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers191933221118181717161615151414
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22111818171716161515141413131212
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears331919556677889910101111
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions66551919332211181817171616
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55667788991010111112121313
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red778899101011111212131314141515
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green88776655443322111818
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons9910101111121213131414151516161717
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10109988776655443322
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1111121213131414151516161717181811
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen121211111010998877665544
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies131314141515161617171818112233
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams16161515141413131212111110109988
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1414131312121111101099887766
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151616171718181122334455
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Stephanie Hudson '13 Molly Clarke '13
Eagles Carolyn Naughton '14 Katherine Wysocki '15
Boston University Boston University Elizabeth Glivinski '14 Lindsey Kennett '15
Terriers Katelyn Richerts '16 Bethany Zettlet '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Kaylee Schwitzer '15 Mae Speight '13
Polar Bears Lizzy Hamilton '15 [1-12]
Erin Mullins '16 [13-18]		 Isabel Low '13 [1-12]
Kimberly Dempsey '14 [13-18]
Brown University Brown University Sky Adams '14 Kristin Altreuter '14
Bears Johanna Kincaid '15 Lydia Whiteford '15
Columbia University Columbia University Irene Jacqz '13 Alison Rosenfeld '13
Lions Mary Margaret Meehan '15 Michelle Edelstein '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Alexandra Romagnoli '15 [1-18] Victoria Allen '16 [1-7]
Leah Bevins '16 [8-18]
Camels Liz Dubovik '15 Lea Bushnell '15
Cornell University Cornell University Lauren Turner '13 Lindsey Ludwig '14
Big Red Jennifer Borshoff '15 Erin Ahlers '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Kelsey Wheeler '14 [1-18] Lizzie Guynn '16 [1-8, 11-12]
Sarah Peck '14 [9-10, 13-18]
Big Green Chandler Salisbury '13 Madilyn Gamble '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Kaye Siemers '13 Rachel Cruz '14
Tritons Amy Baxter '13 Ann Williamson '15
Harvard University Harvard University Morgan Russom '14 [1-18] Caitlin Watson '14 [1-12]
Isabel Ruane '14 [13-18]
Crimson Sophie Bermudez '16 [1-12]
Caitlin Watson '14 [13-18]		 Isabel Ruane '14 [1-12]
Jacquelyn Cooley '14 [13-18]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Chloe Lepert '15 [1-18] Brooke Winslow '15 [1-8, 13, 15-18]
Keren Gu '14 [9-12, 14]
Engineers Hanna Vincent '14 Taylor Burfield '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Elise Gehling '17 Tasha Greenwood '15
Huskies Heidi Hood '16 Estelle Beguin '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Haley Powell '13 [1-18] Samantha Pilz '14 [1-4]
Jaye Fahey '15 [5-12]
Rachel Perry '15 [13-18]
Hawks Annie Schmidt '14 [1-18] Samantha Bobo '15 [1-16]
Jaye Fahey '15 [17-18]
Tufts University Tufts University Natalie Salk '13 Amelia Quinn '13
Jumbos Mariel Marchand '13 Sara Makaretz '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Marissa Lihan '14 Alexandra Asuncion '15
Midshipmen Emma Ferris '15 Erica Leinmiller '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Mackenzie Needham '15 Kristin Horn '14
Rams Kaitlyn Norton '15 Christine Delfosse '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Megan Yeigh '16 Callagy Ross '14
Catamounts Jana Gailiunas '16 Catherine Mitchell '14
Yale University Yale University Claire Dennis '13 Katherine Gaumond '15
Bulldogs Emily Billing '13 Amanda Salvesen '14

Conditions — 10/20/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1004.1 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From S (191°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine7.2 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1004.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at MIT: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →