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President's Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 40 31 71
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 63 42 105
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 38 70 108
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 53 69 122
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 110 42 152
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 70 87 157
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 73 94 167
8 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 97 81 178
9 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 112 80 192
10 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 103 101 204
11 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 101 116 217
12 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 91 142 233
13 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 142 133 275
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 5 6 2 1 8 1 1 1 2 1 5 38 Kaylee Schwitzer '15
Ayaka Okawa '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 3 1 1 2 3 3 8 2 5 10 1 40 Marlena Fauer '14
Eugenia Custo Greig '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 4 3 3 4 1 8 10 8 4 2 3 53 Sky Adams '14
Helen Lord '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 1 2 6 13 10 2 7 4 1 6 4 63 Kimberly Kaull '13
Adriana Kopp '12
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 2 8 10 3 5 5 4 12 3 4 12 70 Katii Gullick '12
Iris Xu '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 6 9 5 5 7 2 6 6 7 9 9 2 73 Annie Schmidt '14
Samantha Pilz '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 13 10 9 8 6 4 4 5 3 6 12 11 91 Irene Jacqz '13
Rebecca Newman '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 9 8 10 4 8 12 12 3 10 7 8 6 97 Morgan Russom '14
Emma Smith '15
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 7 13 7 5 11 11 9 6 8 5 9 101 Lauren Turner '13
Erin Ahlers '13
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 4 12 12 11 9 7 10 2 5 12 11 8 103 Natalie Sinn '12
Sarah Ellis '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 DSQ 7 12 10 6 9 11 9 11 3 10 110 Erica Lush '14
Lindsey Kennett '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 6 11 9 12 9 7 12 11 10 7 7 112 Mariel Marchand '13
Barbara Murray '14
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 12 11 4 13 11 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 142 Ellen Nielsen '15
Kelly Troy '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 5 2 1 4 1 2 4 2 4 1 2 3 31 Morgan Kiss '15
Amanda Salvesen '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 6 1 11 4 2 1 1 4 3 7 42 Olivia Crane '15
Ellie O'Brien '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 3 3 3 4 1 5 8 2 2 1 4 42 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Phoebe Gittelson '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 4 5 9 8 6 8 5 5 5 9 1 69 Johanna Kincaid '15
Lydia Whiteford '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 9 7 2 2 8 11 3 7 8 5 6 70 Lizzy Hamilton '15
Isabel Low '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 6 4 8 9 11 6 7 6 6 4 2 80 Kate Levinson '15
Emily Shaw '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 5 2 7 5 5 7 4 8 11 10 10 81 Caitlin Watson '14
Jacquelyn Cooley '14
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 7 11 5 12 7 3 9 3 9 8 5 87 Laura Dunphy '15
Keren Gu '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 11 9 11 3 9 9 6 12 7 6 8 94 Rachel Perry '15
Samantha Bobo '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 12 10 8 RDG 6 3 1 11 13 3 13 13 101 Emily Oltrogge '15
Paige Boegeman '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 9 8 10 6 7 12 10 10 10 12 11 11 116 Hillary Paulsen '13
Katharine Close '14
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 10 13 DNF 12 10 10 12 12 9 10 12 9 133 Masie Comen '15
Marissa Morrison '15
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 13 12 12 10 13 13 13 13 11 13 7 12 142 Mary Margaret Meehan '15
Catherine Duggan '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3355779911111313
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears11335577991111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2244668810101212
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions4466881010121211
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red5577991111131322
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson6688101012121133
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women1010121211335577
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers7799111113132244
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks8810101212113355
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns1111131322446688
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos9911111313224466
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts12121133557799
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1313224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4466881010121211
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears2244668810101212
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3355779911111313
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions5577991111131322
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red6688101012121133
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson7799111113132244
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women1111131322446688
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8810101212113355
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9911111313224466
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns12121133557799
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010121211335577
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1313224466881010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs11335577991111

Conditions — 04/07/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From NNE (21°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover65% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn · NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston University: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →