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Mrs. Hurst Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 60 65 125
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 64 85 149
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 96 121 217
4 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 142 87 229
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 153 109 262
6 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 119 146 265
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 133 134 267
8 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 155 124 279
9 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 145 145 290
10 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 159 143 302
11 Boston College Boston College Eagles 158 146 304
12 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 155 160 315
13 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 131 200 331
14 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 181 155 336
15 Boston University Boston University Terriers 183 161 344
16 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 144 201 345
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 4 5 2 2 2 5 6 1 4 3 1 6 3 4 10 60 Marlena Fauer '14
Eugenia Custo Greig '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 1 7 1 12 1 3 1 2 10 1 8 7 1 1 7 64 Deirdre Lambert '15
Carissa Crawford '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 14 3 3 5 1 9 2 5 9 1 8 2 11 2 6 15 96 Sky Adams '14
Kristin Altreuter '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 5 1 3 8 14 7 16 5 DNF 13 13 2 4 2 6 119 Mary Kate Mezzetti '16
Elizabeth Mullarney '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 13 7 9 14 11 13 1 10 8 6 6 7 5 10 9 2 131 Dominique Wright '15
Darcy Jensen '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 9 8 12 9 8 6 7 12 13 4 4 14 8 3 11 133 Annie Schmidt '14
Samantha Bobo '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 15 2 16 13 4 13 4 15 3 12 16 4 5 13 3 142 Devon Rohde '15 [1-8, 13-16]
Lauren Cefali '15 [9-12]
Nikolia Kruger '17 [1-4, 10-16]
Justine Morrison '13 [5-9]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 6 14 8 6 12 4 14 13 8 9 9 9 6 5 12 144 Elise Gehling '17
Kristen Kuzil '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 11 12 4 3 11 11 13 11 14 2 11 8 7 8 8 145 Erin Mullins '16
Tess Lameyer '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 8 11 7 14 16 12 9 6 11 5 6 3 13 10 14 153 Hanna Vincent '14
Elizabeth Zhang '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 6 14 4 10 15 6 10 3 10 12 15 10 12 12 11 5 155 Caitlin Watson '14
Kristina Jakobson '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 12 12 15 9 5 10 9 12 4 2 14 3 13 16 15 4 155 Liz Dubovik '15
Marina Sachs '15
Boston College Boston College Eagles 16 2 13 11 4 7 15 11 7 5 7 15 16 9 7 13 158 Carolyn Naughton '14 [1-16]
Elizabeth Barnard '15 [1-12]
Kaitlin Driscoll '16 [13-16]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 13 10 15 10 3 16 8 3 9 10 5 1 11 14 16 159 Megan Yeigh '16
Eva Williford '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 10 16 6 7 5 8 15 14 15 11 14 15 14 12 9 181 Kate Levinson '15
Emily Lynn '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 16 6 13 16 15 14 2 16 7 DNF 12 10 15 16 1 183 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Keeton Leisure '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 2 1 7 1 10 3 6 3 4 1 4 5 8 1 8 65 Urska Kosir '15 [1-16]
Emily Johnson '16 [1-15]
Clara Robertson '17 [16]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 7 3 1 10 2 2 7 13 2 10 3 10 1 2 7 85 Kelsey Wheeler '14 [1-16]
Lizzie Guynn '16 [1-7, 11-16]
Hope Wilson '16 [8-10]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 11 8 5 8 6 5 1 2 2 1 7 5 7 9 5 5 87 Nikole Barnes '17
Savannah Kuntz '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 14 5 2 3 13 13 11 3 7 7 2 7 8 2 11 1 109 Chloe Lepert '15
Paige Omura '17
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 13 4 6 5 9 5 10 11 11 9 1 6 10 4 11 121 Johanna Kincaid '15 [1-16]
Nicole Quattrocchi '15 [1-8, 10-16]
Kelly Mcglynn '15 [9]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 12 11 10 4 8 4 8 12 6 8 5 12 4 3 14 3 124 Morgan Russom '14
Ashleigh Inglis '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 6 8 10 15 3 4 5 15 10 14 8 3 12 3 16 134 Rachel Perry '15
Morgan Wheeler '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 12 11 2 4 12 7 13 12 13 12 10 2 7 9 2 143 Amina Brown '17
Catherine Mitchell '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 14 7 9 12 7 9 1 5 12 4 14 15 13 12 4 145 Courtney Koos '16 [1-8]
Mary Paz '17 [9-16]
Olivia Diserio '16 [1-8]
Kimberly Dempsey '14 [9-16]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 3 9 15 9 8 14 11 9 5 6 13 12 15 8 6 146 Katja Sertl '16 [1-6]
Allyson Donahue '17 [7-16]
Kaitlin Driscoll '16 [1-6, 14]
Katja Sertl '16 [7-13]
Elizabeth Barnard '15 [15-16]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 9 4 6 14 2 1 15 15 4 6 11 9 13 11 16 10 146 Merritt Moran '14
Genevieve Burgoyne '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 15 16 11 14 6 12 14 1 3 13 11 1 6 15 9 155 Maryclaire Kiernan '17
Kate Wasynczuk '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 13 1 15 5 7 DSQ 10 4 10 15 16 6 14 4 10 13 160 Rebecca Quirke '17 [1-16]
Victoria Allen '16 [1-4, 10-16]
Sarah Price '14 [5-9]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 9 13 16 3 11 6 8 8 9 15 DNF DNF 5 6 14 161 Hannah Polster '17
Margaret Swanson '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 16 16 12 12 16 14 DNS DNS DNS 14 3 2 9 16 7 12 200 Colleen Hartman '13
Kristen Walker '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 10 14 13 11 15 13 9 14 16 8 15 11 14 13 15 201 Victoria Mcgruer '17
Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1122334455667788
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers443322111616151514141313
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears2211161615151414131312121111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears334455667788991010
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears66554433221116161515
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels5566778899101011111212
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green77889910101111121213131414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas8877665544332211
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson991010111112121313141415151616
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers101099887766554433
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1111121213131414151516161122
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1212111110109988776655
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls14141313121211111010998877
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131314141515161611223344
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts15151616112233445566
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs161615151414131312121111101099

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1122334455667788
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers443322111616151514141313
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears2211161615151414131312121111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears334455667788991010
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears66554433221116161515
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels5566778899101011111212
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green77889910101111121213131414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas8877665544332211
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson991010111112121313141415151616
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers101099887766554433
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1111121213131414151516161122
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1212111110109988776655
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls14141313121211111010998877
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131314141515161611223344
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts15151616112233445566
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs161615151414131312121111101099
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Carolyn Naughton '14 [1-16] Elizabeth Barnard '15 [1-12]
Kaitlin Driscoll '16 [13-16]
Eagles Katja Sertl '16 [1-6]
Allyson Donahue '17 [7-16]		 Kaitlin Driscoll '16 [1-6, 14]
Katja Sertl '16 [7-13]
Elizabeth Barnard '15 [15-16]
Boston University Boston University Elizabeth Glivinski '14 Keeton Leisure '14
Terriers Hannah Polster '17 Margaret Swanson '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Erin Mullins '16 Tess Lameyer '16
Polar Bears Courtney Koos '16 [1-8]
Mary Paz '17 [9-16]		 Olivia Diserio '16 [1-8]
Kimberly Dempsey '14 [9-16]
Brown University Brown University Sky Adams '14 Kristin Altreuter '14
Bears Johanna Kincaid '15 [1-16] Nicole Quattrocchi '15 [1-8, 10-16]
Kelly Mcglynn '15 [9]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Liz Dubovik '15 Marina Sachs '15
Camels Rebecca Quirke '17 [1-16] Victoria Allen '16 [1-4, 10-16]
Sarah Price '14 [5-9]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Deirdre Lambert '15 Carissa Crawford '14
Big Green Kelsey Wheeler '14 [1-16] Lizzie Guynn '16 [1-7, 11-16]
Hope Wilson '16 [8-10]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Mary Kate Mezzetti '16 Elizabeth Mullarney '16
Hoyas Merritt Moran '14 Genevieve Burgoyne '14
Harvard University Harvard University Caitlin Watson '14 Kristina Jakobson '16
Crimson Morgan Russom '14 Ashleigh Inglis '15
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Hanna Vincent '14 Elizabeth Zhang '16
Engineers Chloe Lepert '15 Paige Omura '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Elise Gehling '17 Kristen Kuzil '16
Huskies Victoria Mcgruer '17 Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Annie Schmidt '14 Samantha Bobo '15
Hawks Rachel Perry '15 Morgan Wheeler '15
Tufts University Tufts University Kate Levinson '15 Emily Lynn '15
Jumbos Maryclaire Kiernan '17 Kate Wasynczuk '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Devon Rohde '15 [1-8, 13-16]
Lauren Cefali '15 [9-12]		 Nikolia Kruger '17 [1-4, 10-16]
Justine Morrison '13 [5-9]
Bears Nikole Barnes '17 Savannah Kuntz '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Dominique Wright '15 Darcy Jensen '16
Bulls Colleen Hartman '13 Kristen Walker '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Megan Yeigh '16 Eva Williford '14
Catamounts Amina Brown '17 Catherine Mitchell '14
Yale University Yale University Marlena Fauer '14 Eugenia Custo Greig '14
Bulldogs Urska Kosir '15 [1-16] Emily Johnson '16 [1-15]
Clara Robertson '17 [16]

Conditions — 09/21/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 28.2 kn
From S (183°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover54% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1013.5 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 15 kn · W 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →