University of Vermont '17
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.77 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 6 | Fall 2015 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.57 (fleet 3.55) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 37–48 (44%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2017 | 2 | 15–19 | — |
| Spring 2016 | 2 | 14–19 | — |
| Spring 2015 | 1 | 8–10 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (85 matches) the record is 37–48 against 34.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-03-25 | Staake Team Race Trophy | skipper | 3.09 | 3.11 | 8–12 | 7.9 | +0.03 | 0.0 | 57% |
| 2017-03-18 | Southern New England Team Race | skipper | 3.03 | 3.43 | 7–7 | 6.0 | +0.39 | 0.3 | 36% |
| 2016-03-26 | Staake Trophy NE Qualifier | skipper | 2.92 | 1.97 | 3–9 | 4.2 | −0.95 | 0.8 | 94% |
| 2016-03-19 | The Ike Geiger Team Race Regatta | skipper | 2.90 | 3.15 | 11–10 | 10.0 | +0.25 | 0.2 | 39% |
| 2015-03-28 | Duplin | skipper | 2.84 | 3.41 | 8–10 | 6.0 | +0.57 | 0.8 | 20% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Staake Team Race Trophy | Skipper | TR | 20 | 40% | — |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 5.4 | 4.03 |
| Sperry College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 8.8 | 3.62 |
| Southern New England Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 50% | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 4.2 | 3.29 |
| NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.4 | 3.71 |
| NEISA Coed Championship/US Coast Guard Alumni Bowl | Skipper | A | 11 | 12.3 | 3.10 |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 8.9 | 3.61 |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.8 | 4.35 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Staake Trophy NE Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 12 | 25% | — |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 3.7 | 4.13 |
| Sperry College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 9.3 | 3.04 |
| Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 6.8 | 3.33 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.2 | 2.76 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 5 | 5.8 | 3.50 |
| The Ike Geiger Team Race Regatta | Skipper | TR | 21 | 52% | — |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.9 | 3.28 |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 5 | 8.0 | 3.13 |
| Coast Guard Alumni Bowl | Skipper | A | 2 | 16.0 | 1.55 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 7.9 | 3.06 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 8.6 | 2.81 |
| The Victorian Urn Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 9.8 | 2.60 |
| Penobscot Bay Open | Skipper | B | 7 | 2.9 | 4.09 |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Championships Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.5 | 1.58 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.6 | 2.53 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.9 | 3.62 |
| 4th Sister Esther Annual | Skipper | A | 11 | 7.2 | 3.21 |
| 33rd Professor Stedman Hood Trophy | Skipper | B | 9 | 13.7 | 2.00 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | B | 5 | 10.6 | 1.84 |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
| President's Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.0 | 2.88 |
| NEISA Women's Champs, Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 6.4 | 3.38 |
| Duplin Women's | Skipper | TR | 18 | 44% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.8 | 3.08 |
| Charleston Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 6.1 | 2.81 |
| Sperry ICSA Women’s National Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 7.0 | 3.45 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 10.3 | 2.25 |
| Toni Deutsch Regatta Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 6.4 | 2.57 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 7.8 | 2.93 |
| RI States, 3rd Sister Esther Annual | Skipper | B | 15 | 6.8 | 2.63 |
| President's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 3 | 8.3 | 2.10 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 9.9 | 2.45 |
| Bowdoin Women's Invitational Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.3 | 1.20 |
| 35th Yale Women's Intersectional Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 6.6 | 3.30 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Series 1 @ SRU | Skipper | B | 9 | 5.6 | 2.74 |
| Reed Trophy / NEISA Women's Champs Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 9.8 | 2.25 |
| President's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 4.5 | 2.76 |
| Navy Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 10.3 | 2.51 |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 11.6 | 2.18 |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 10.6 | 2.52 |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 10.9 | 2.25 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 11.1 | 2.19 |
| The Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | B | 7 | 9.9 | 2.51 |
| Toni Deutsch Trophy (women's) Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 8.0 | 2.24 |
| RI States, 2nd Sister Esther Annual | Skipper | B | 12 | 5.8 | 3.03 |
| Regis Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 5.1 | 3.04 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 8.9 | 2.35 |
| Bowdoin Women's Invite Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 6.7 | 0.53 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
