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Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 35 85 120
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 84 48 132
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 65 67 132
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 70 97 167
5 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 96 88 184
6 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 99 91 190
7 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 131 66 197
8 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 80 122 202
9 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 91 128 219
10 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 139 121 260
11 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 129 136 265
12 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 158 139 297
13 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 119 180 299
14 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 150 180 330
15 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 188 143 331
16 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 172 162 334
17 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 197 157 354
18 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 202 209 411
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 1 2 1 13 1 1 2 6 1 1 3 1 35 Rachel Bryer '17
Hannah Scanlon '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 11 4 3 3 2 3 1 5 9 RDG RDG 4 65 Hannah Polster '17
Margaret Swanson '16
Boston College Boston College Eagles 6 4 1 5 15 3 5 9 3 12 3 2 2 70 Allyson Donahue '17 [1-13]
Allison Ferraris '17 [1-8]
Katherine Downey '16 [9-10]
Tara Ferraris '19 [11-13]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 14 7 8 5 7 7 7 2 6 2 4 3 80 Carolyn Smith '17
Julia Monro '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 16 6 6 1 9 2 4 9 4 10 6 7 84 Megan Yeigh '16 [1-13]
Emma Janson '19 [1-10, 13]
Brittney Manning '18 [11-12]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 9 8 10 11 2 6 8 8 10 2 5 7 5 91 Rosalind Lesh '16 [1-13]
Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan '16 [1-10]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [11-13]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 3 3 7 8 5 4 14 7 10 12 9 11 96 Miranda Bakos '18 [1-10]
Maria Sinagra '16 [11-13]
Isabel Strachan '18 [1-12]
Mercedes Mcphee '19 [13]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 18 5 9 7 12 10 3 8 7 4 5 10 99 Erin Mullins '16 [1-13]
Olivia Diserio '16 [1-10, 13]
Catherine Price '18 [11-12]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 7 5 12 14 10 4 9 11 12 8 7 11 9 119 Alison Kent '16 [1-13]
Cailin Oakes '18 [1-12]
Emily Johnson '16 [13]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 13 12 8 2 4 10 13 6 15 17 13 10 6 129 Julia Gowell '18 [1-13]
Colleen Roney '18 [1-10]
Waverlee Harvey '18 [11-13]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 11 10 17 4 16 13 15 12 11 3 6 1 12 131 Maria El-Khazindar '19 [1-6, 9-13]
Maeve White '17 [7-8]
Elena Vandenberg '18 [1-6, 9-13]
Kathryn Booker '19 [7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 2 11 DSQ 6 14 6 13 13 18 11 8 13 139 Sarah Streater '18 [1-13]
Megan Hostetter '19 [1-12]
Kristen Walker '17 [13]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 12 6 16 10 12 15 12 5 1 11 18 15 17 150 Francesca Cappellini '16
Jacqueline Rasch Castillo '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 14 9 14 12 9 11 16 17 4 5 14 17 16 158 Grace Mason '16 [1-13]
Kaylie Gallagher '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Cady Johnson '16 [3-4, 7-13]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 18 13 9 16 14 8 11 10 14 15 15 14 15 172 Caroline Garth '17 [1-13]
Catie Hopkins '17 [1-10]
Lucy Sergeant '18 [11-13]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 15 15 13 17 11 18 14 18 DSQ 16 8 16 8 188 Anna Palmer '17 [1-13]
Kelsy Waack '18 [1-10]
Victoria Caba '17 [11-12]
Jessica Schwartz '18 [13]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 17 7 15 15 17 16 17 15 17 13 16 18 14 197 Elizabeth Hays '17
Laura Roudebush '18
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 16 17 18 13 18 17 18 16 16 14 9 12 18 202 Jessica Oswalt '16 [1-13]
Alexandra Betzios '18 [1-6, 11-13]
Sophia Ricker '19 [7-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 11 1 9 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 9 6 1 48 Amina Brown '17 [1-13]
Haley Mcmahon '18 [1-8]
Lilla Salvesen '18 [9-13]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 11 5 3 4 5 1 10 2 4 2 9 4 66 Martina Sly '19 [1-13]
Yuki Yoshiyasu '16 [1-8]
Samantha Steele '16 [9-13]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 7 4 10 2 1 8 2 13 8 5 1 5 67 Lydia Grasberger '18 [1-13]
Meredith Harrington '18 [1-8]
Emily Croteau '19 [9-13]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 10 1 1 10 4 5 7 7 16 3 11 8 85 Sarah Hermus '18 [1-13]
Marisa Decollibus '17 [1-8, 11-13]
Courtney Bombardier '16 [9-10]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 10 13 7 6 3 3 7 8 8 1 16 4 2 88 Hannah Mcnomee '16 [1-2]
India Johnstone '18 [3-13]
Madison Oleson '17 [1-2]
Shira Golub '18 [3-8, 12-13]
Emma Mendenhall '19 [9-11]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 9 8 7 7 10 6 9 11 10 1 5 3 91 Courtney Koos '16 [1-13]
Louisa Lindgren '19 [1-8]
Sydney Avitia-Jacques '18 [9-13]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 9 8 2 12 6 8 11 4 15 5 8 3 6 97 Isabella Loosbrock '19 [1-13]
Lily Mcgrath '18 [1-8]
Katja Sertl '16 [9-13]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 4 13 4 9 11 3 5 16 17 12 13 11 121 Darcy Jensen '16 [1-12]
Kelly Stukbauer '19 [13]
Kristen Walker '17 [1-12]
Megan Hostetter '19 [13]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 12 6 14 12 12 9 11 6 11 14 2 9 122 Marissa Golison '16 [1-6]
Greer Wattson '17 [7-13]
Hannah Chapman '17 [1-6, 9-11]
Elizabeth Dennison '17 [7-8, 12-13]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 15 3 10 16 5 6 4 3 9 14 15 12 16 128 Annie Hughes '19 [1-13]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [1-8]
Jorlyn Le Garrec '17 [9-13]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 8 2 3 17 11 7 15 16 3 3 17 16 18 136 Anna Louise Devanny '17 [1-13]
Waverlee Harvey '18 [1-8]
Katherine Green '19 [9-13]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 13 6 11 9 15 14 10 12 12 13 10 7 7 139 Olivia Windemuller '19
Katelyn Talley '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 17 5 12 5 14 16 14 6 14 7 6 15 12 143 Shaynah True '19 [1-13]
Lauri Niklason '16 [1-10]
Kelsy Waack '18 [11-12]
Victoria Caba '17 [13]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 7 14 15 8 13 18 13 15 10 15 4 10 15 157 Leah Ford '19
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 16 15 17 11 8 15 18 18 4 12 7 8 13 162 Raemie Ladner '19
Sarah Punzel '19
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 14 16 14 13 16 9 12 17 17 9 11 18 14 180 Isabella Hamilton '17 [1-13]
Emily Johnson '16 [1-8]
Danielle Green '18 [9-13]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 18 18 18 18 17 13 16 14 5 6 13 14 10 180 Francesca Dana '18 [1-13]
Claire Capeloto '19 [1-12]
Francesca Cappellini '16 [13]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 12 17 16 15 18 17 17 13 RDG RDG 18 17 17 209 Miia Newman '17
Katherine Robinson '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1133557799111113
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22181816161414121210108
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears335577991111131315
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials4422181816161414121210
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins55779911111313151517
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers1313151517171133557
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers66442218181616141412
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs779911111313151517171
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1414121210108866442
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151717113355779
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos886644221818161614
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls161614141212101088664
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks991111131315151717113
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal101088664422181816
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave111113131515171711335
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins121210108866442218
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717113355779911
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos18181616141412121010886

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles224466881010121214
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers111717151513131111997
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44668810101212141416
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials331117171515131311119
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins6688101012121414161618
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers1414161618182244668
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers55331117171515131311
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs88101012121414161618182
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers13131111997755331
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161618182244668810
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos775533111717151513
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1515131311119977553
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10101212141416161818224
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal9977553311171715
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave121214141616181822446
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins1111997755331117
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts181822446688101012
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos171715151313111199775
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Allyson Donahue '17 [1-13] Allison Ferraris '17 [1-8]
Katherine Downey '16 [9-10]
Tara Ferraris '19 [11-13]
Eagles Isabella Loosbrock '19 [1-13] Lily Mcgrath '18 [1-8]
Katja Sertl '16 [9-13]
Boston University Boston University Hannah Polster '17 Margaret Swanson '16
Terriers Lydia Grasberger '18 [1-13] Meredith Harrington '18 [1-8]
Emily Croteau '19 [9-13]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Erin Mullins '16 [1-13] Olivia Diserio '16 [1-10, 13]
Catherine Price '18 [11-12]
Polar Bears Courtney Koos '16 [1-13] Louisa Lindgren '19 [1-8]
Sydney Avitia-Jacques '18 [9-13]
George Washington University George Washington University Miranda Bakos '18 [1-10]
Maria Sinagra '16 [11-13]		 Isabel Strachan '18 [1-12]
Mercedes Mcphee '19 [13]
Colonials Hannah Mcnomee '16 [1-2]
India Johnstone '18 [3-13]		 Madison Oleson '17 [1-2]
Shira Golub '18 [3-8, 12-13]
Emma Mendenhall '19 [9-11]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Anna Palmer '17 [1-13] Kelsy Waack '18 [1-10]
Victoria Caba '17 [11-12]
Jessica Schwartz '18 [13]
Fins Shaynah True '19 [1-13] Lauri Niklason '16 [1-10]
Kelsy Waack '18 [11-12]
Victoria Caba '17 [13]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Rosalind Lesh '16 [1-13] Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan '16 [1-10]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [11-13]
Engineers Annie Hughes '19 [1-13] Elizabeth Zhang '16 [1-8]
Jorlyn Le Garrec '17 [9-13]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Grace Mason '16 [1-13] Kaylie Gallagher '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Cady Johnson '16 [3-4, 7-13]
Monarchs Olivia Windemuller '19 Katelyn Talley '16
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Francesca Cappellini '16 Jacqueline Rasch Castillo '18
Broncos Francesca Dana '18 [1-13] Claire Capeloto '19 [1-12]
Francesca Cappellini '16 [13]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Carolyn Smith '17 Julia Monro '17
Seahawks Marissa Golison '16 [1-6]
Greer Wattson '17 [7-13]		 Hannah Chapman '17 [1-6, 9-11]
Elizabeth Dennison '17 [7-8, 12-13]
Stanford University Stanford University Maria El-Khazindar '19 [1-6, 9-13]
Maeve White '17 [7-8]		 Elena Vandenberg '18 [1-6, 9-13]
Kathryn Booker '19 [7-8]
Cardinal Martina Sly '19 [1-13] Yuki Yoshiyasu '16 [1-8]
Samantha Steele '16 [9-13]
Tulane University Tulane University Jessica Oswalt '16 [1-13] Alexandra Betzios '18 [1-6, 11-13]
Sophia Ricker '19 [7-10]
Green Wave Miia Newman '17 Katherine Robinson '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Elizabeth Hays '17 Laura Roudebush '18
Bruins Leah Ford '19 Kylie Sullivan '17
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Alison Kent '16 [1-13] Cailin Oakes '18 [1-12]
Emily Johnson '16 [13]
Gophers Isabella Hamilton '17 [1-13] Emily Johnson '16 [1-8]
Danielle Green '18 [9-13]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Caroline Garth '17 [1-13] Catie Hopkins '17 [1-10]
Lucy Sergeant '18 [11-13]
Quakers Raemie Ladner '19 Sarah Punzel '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rachel Bryer '17 Hannah Scanlon '18
Rams Sarah Hermus '18 [1-13] Marisa Decollibus '17 [1-8, 11-13]
Courtney Bombardier '16 [9-10]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Sarah Streater '18 [1-13] Megan Hostetter '19 [1-12]
Kristen Walker '17 [13]
Bulls Darcy Jensen '16 [1-12]
Kelly Stukbauer '19 [13]		 Kristen Walker '17 [1-12]
Megan Hostetter '19 [13]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Megan Yeigh '16 [1-13] Emma Janson '19 [1-10, 13]
Brittney Manning '18 [11-12]
Catamounts Amina Brown '17 [1-13] Haley Mcmahon '18 [1-8]
Lilla Salvesen '18 [9-13]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Julia Gowell '18 [1-13] Colleen Roney '18 [1-10]
Waverlee Harvey '18 [11-13]
Wahoos Anna Louise Devanny '17 [1-13] Waverlee Harvey '18 [1-8]
Katherine Green '19 [9-13]

Conditions — 05/24/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From WSW (245°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1016.4 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn* · W 12 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at San Diego State: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at San Diego State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at San Diego State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →