University of South Florida '18
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.73 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 44 | Fall 2017 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.51 (fleet 3.45) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 15–14 (52%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 2 | 15–14 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (29 matches) the record is 15–14 against 11.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.9). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-28 | Women's National Team Race Invitational | skipper | 2.67 | 3.29 | 9–7 | 6.7 | +0.63 | 1.1 | 17% |
| 2018-03-24 | Joseph R. Duplin Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.30 | 2.93 | 6–7 | 4.4 | +0.62 | 0.7 | 23% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's National Team Race Invitational Women's | Skipper | TR | 16 | 56% | — |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.3 | 3.84 |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 9.8 | 3.51 |
| SAISA Women's Conference Championships Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.6 | 3.70 |
| Joseph R. Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 13 | 46% | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Women's Singlehandeds Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.0 | 2.20 |
| SAISA Women's Fall Championships Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.1 | 2.95 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 9.8 | 3.07 |
| Laser Performance Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 9.7 | 2.81 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | A | 9 | 11.4 | 3.12 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| USF Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 2.6 | 2.91 |
| St. Mary's Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 6.7 | 3.51 |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 7.7 | 2.90 |
| Sperry College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 11.3 | 2.83 |
| SAISA Women's Championships Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 1.7 | 3.69 |
| ODU Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.0 | 2.81 |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 7.9 | 3.48 |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 11.1 | 2.68 |
| Charleston Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.7 | 2.87 |
| Charleston Spring Coed | Skipper | B | 16 | 7.6 | 3.25 |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 9.3 | 3.04 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 8.8 | 3.24 |
| SAISA Women's Singlehandeds Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.3 | 1.75 |
| SAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Champs Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 3.4 | 2.34 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 13 | 5.0 | 2.70 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 10.1 | 2.96 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 10.0 | 2.37 |
| Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat | Reserve | A | 7 | 8.6 | — |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.6 | 3.27 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 4.8 | 3.73 |
| SAISA Women's Singlehanded Champs Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 4 | 2.2 | — |
| SAISA Women's Champs Women's | Skipper | B | 7 | 2.3 | 2.58 |
| SAISA Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.2 | 2.44 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 5.8 | 2.92 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.4 | 3.72 |
| LaserPerformance Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 6.3 | 3.26 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Sarah Streater |  Old Dominion University |
'18 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
