SAISA Women's Champs

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 38
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 50
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 81
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 112
5 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 146
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 151
7 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 159
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 1 1 5 3 2 3 1 16 Sarah Streater '18
Charlie Bess '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 6 3 2 1 4 4 2 22 Alison Knoles '17
Darcy Jensen '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 2 5 1 5 3 5 3 24 Elizabeth Pemberton '18
Rebekah Schiff '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 5 4 4 2 5 2 4 26 Nikki Medley '17
Michaela Reynolds '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 4 6 3 10 1 1 8 33 Anna Huebschmann '18 [1-7]
Audrey Franchett '17 [1-4]
Heidi Carlson '16 [5-7]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 3 7 6 9 11 7 5 48 Sophie Salomon '18
Jessica Resnick '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 7 2 7 8 6 10 9 49 Anna Palmer '17
Kelsy Waack '18
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 10 9 10 4 8 8 6 55 Alexandra Damley-Strnad '17
Briana Gomes '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 8 8 11 6 9 9 11 62 Kara Wheeler '18
Jacqueline Welles '17
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 9 10 8 13 7 6 10 63 Shaynah True '19 [1-4]
Natalie Butler '18 [5-7]
Natalie Butler '18 [1-4]
Jessica Schwartz '18 [5-7]
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State A 11 11 9 7 10 11 7 66 Meghan Peltier '16
Beatriz Dunoyer De Segonzac '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 13 14 12 12 13 13 12 89 Annalisa Kristoffersen '15
Katherine Richardson '19
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 12 12 14 14 14 12 13 91 Olivia Gassner '18 [1-4, 7]
Elizabeth Davoli '18 [5-6]
Olivia Osburn '19 [1-4, 7]
Olivia Gassner '18 [5-6]
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State B 14 13 13 11 12 DNF DNF 93 Hannah Sellers '19
Caitlyn Gillespie '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1122334
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons2211141413
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State3344556
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins4433221
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes6655443
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack5566778
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls77889910

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars8877665
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons991010111112
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State101099887
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins11111212131314
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes13131414112
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1212111110109
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls14141313121211

Conditions — 10/03/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1002.0 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From NW (306°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover20% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1002.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Eckerd: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Eckerd by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (55 labelled days at Eckerd).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →