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SAISA Women's Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 13 11 24
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 19 10 29
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 14 20 34
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 26 19 45
5 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 23 33 56
6 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 31 33 64
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 3 2 4 1 13 Paris Henken '22
Irene Abascal '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 3 6 1 1 2 14 Anna Huebschmann '18
Caroline Puckette '20
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 2 2 4 2 6 19 Alison Knoles '17
Delaney Brown '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 4 4 4 3 3 5 23 Abbie Probst '19
Carly Duffy '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 5 6 1 5 6 3 26 Shaynah True '19
Kelsy Waack '18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 6 5 5 6 5 4 31 Ashlyn Park '18
Hannah Williams '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 1 1 1 2 3 10 Sarah Streater '18
Mandi Dickie '18
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 3 3 1 1 11 Mary Dahl '18
Bayley Davidson '17
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 4 2 4 4 2 19 Paula Resto '20
Victoria Caba '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 3 4 2 3 4 20 Sophie Salomon '18
Jane Anne Donovan '18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 5 6 6 5 6 33 Taylor Wood '18
Elizabeth Howard '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 6 5 5 6 5 33 Jenn Casey '20 [1-6]
Susanna Massalon '18 [1-3]
Rebecca Bonner '19 [4-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222111
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111222
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons333444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins444333
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls666555
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks555666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222111
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111222
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons333444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins444333
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls666555
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks555666

Conditions — 03/25/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1026.2 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From SSE (154°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine4.1 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1026.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.21 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →