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Bowdoin Women's Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 156
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 174
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 175
4 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 180
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 237
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 254
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 399
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 3 2 2 9 11 6 1 3 6 1 1 2 5 9 13 74 Courtney Koos '16
Olivia Diserio '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 6 1 6 3 3 11 3 2 9 8 4 5 2 1 10 74 Megan Yeigh '16
Eva Williford '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 1 6 1 1 2 3 2 8 10 3 10 1 10 11 8 77 Hannah Polster '17 [1-8]
Erica Lush '14 [9-15]
Hannah Callahan '16 [1-8]
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 2 7 3 2 12 4 5 4 4 2 6 6 9 6 7 79 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Keeton Leisure '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 4 8 5 4 4 7 6 5 1 7 8 7 4 5 9 84 Kate Levinson '15
Emily Lynn '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 7 3 11 10 5 5 4 1 7 4 5 11 8 8 2 91 Margaret Bacon '14
Erin Bondy '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 9 5 12 5 10 2 10 6 3 6 2 8 11 7 4 100 Amina Brown '17
Callagy Ross '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green A 10 4 8 8 1 1 7 7 8 13 12 3 6 12 6 106 Sarah Williams '16
Sarah Peck '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 5 9 7 7 9 9 8 9 2 10 7 12 7 2 3 106 Mary Paz '17
Kimberly Dempsey '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 8 12 4 11 7 8 11 12 12 5 3 4 3 4 11 115 Elise Gehling '17
Kristen Kuzil '16
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green B 11 10 9 6 8 13 9 10 11 11 11 10 1 10 1 131 Emily Petno '16
Caroline Gray '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 13 11 10 13 6 10 13 11 5 9 9 9 12 3 5 139 Heidi Hood '16
Margo Blagden '16
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 12 14 13 14 13 12 12 13 13 12 14 14 13 13 14 196 Jade Forsberg '17
Ellen Sartorelli '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 14 13 14 12 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 14 14 12 203 Cordelia Prouvost '17
Madeline Webb '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2211141413131212111110109
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears112233445566778
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green3344556677889910
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers4433221114141313121211
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies55667788991010111112
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos665544332211141413
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts778899101011111212131314

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers9910101111121213131414112
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears887766554433221
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green10109988776655443
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers11111212131314141122334
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies121211111010998877665
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1313141411223344556
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1414131312121111101099887

Conditions — 10/05/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1019.8 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.9 kn
avg  ·  max 4.3 kn
Gusts to 10.1 kn
From SSE (146°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1019.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 5 kn · E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →