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4th Sister Esther Annual

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 50 50 100
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 63 44 107
3 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 58 55 113
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 98 52 150
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 79 74 153
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 100 75 175
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 79 103 182
8 Brown University Brown University Bears 89 95 184
9 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 80 104 184
10 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 110 78 188
11 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 95 102 197
12 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 96 115 211
13 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 83 154 237
14 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 152 124 276
15 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 142 145 287
16 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 183 170 353
17 Providence College Providence College Friars 168 190 358
18 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 185 187 372
19 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 196 202 398
20 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 204 195 399
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 1 1 2 6 1 4 7 1 4 11 50 Ryan Astwood '16 [1-6]
Brendan Cook '16 [7-11]
Alex Moreno '19 [1-6]
Lexi Pline '19 [7-11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 7 2 11 2 7 3 10 2 3 8 58 Bryce Kopp '16 [1-11]
Victoria Allen '16 [1-6, 9-11]
Albert Rodiger '18 [7-8]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 5 3 6 1 12 6 11 3 10 2 63 Allyson Donahue '17 [1-11]
Alice Bohan '18 [1-6, 9-11]
Madeleine Loosbrock '17 [7-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 15 5 10 3 10 7 2 11 2 13 79 Amina Brown '17
Victoria Pyne Mercier '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 18 6 17 9 5 1 6 6 1 4 79 Alp Rodopman '17 [1-11]
Sarah Bunney '19 [1-6]
Marie-Louise Schnetz '19 [7-11]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 14 6 11 12 4 3 14 3 5 5 3 80 John Silvestri '16 [1-4]
Sam Shannon '19 [5-11]
Kaylen Heath '16 [1-4]
Jennifer Killian '19 [5-11]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 2 12 5 7 14 10 4 9 11 7 83 Jack Fullerton '19
Louisa Lindgren '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 13 8 4 15 5 2 5 5 4 13 15 89 Sam Alexander '18
Olivia Lord '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 10 4 9 3 12 8 11 15 12 6 5 95 A. Tucker Atterbury '16
Peter Forsberg '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 10 14 9 10 15 8 9 7 8 1 96 Austin Lettengarver '19
Madelynn Widmeier '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 9 13 7 8 6 9 14 8 7 9 98 Peter Girard '18 [1-6]
Patrick Isherwood '17 [7-11]
Sarah Morin '18 [1-6]
Kathryn Nota '19 [7-11]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 11 3 10 4 15 4 15 1 13 14 10 100 Scott Goodrich '16
Taylor Williams '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 9 11 8 1 11 9 20 13 10 12 6 110 Frank Reeg '19 [1-11]
Jacqualynn Devore '19 [1-6]
Evan Sampou '17 [7-11]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 16 14 15 13 14 16 2 12 14 9 17 142 Ben Brown '18
Alden Cowap '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 7 13 16 20 13 17 12 8 18 16 12 152 Emmet Todd '17
Kendall Young '17
Providence College Providence College Friars 19 16 7 14 17 11 16 17 17 18 16 168 Anna Bloomstine '19 [1-11]
Cicely Dahn '19 [1-6]
Stephanie Burrell '16 [7-11]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 15 19 17 8 16 13 19 18 20 20 18 183 Jennifer Lee '17 [1-6]
No Show [7-11]
Melissa Conway '16 [1-6]
Charles Zizza '17 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 18 12 18 19 19 18 18 19 15 15 14 185 Hannah Ker '18
Catherine Ross '16
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 17 17 20 16 18 20 13 20 16 19 20 196 Nathaniel Barton '18 [1-11]
Catherine Streich '19 [1-6]
Rachel Kurlander '16 [7-11]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 20 20 19 18 20 19 17 16 19 17 19 204 Justin Tedeschi '18 [1-8]
Brian Reilly '16 [9-11]
David Tampellini '17 [1-8]
Renee Flores '18 [9-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 5 7 3 3 8 1 5 3 7 1 44 Drake Lyon '18
Hannah Lynn '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 1 1 1 2 1 12 3 8 5 9 50 Ravi Parent '18 [1-6]
Robby Gearon '19 [7-11]
Hannah Davis '19 [1-6]
Meredith Harrington '18 [7-11]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 6 5 4 4 2 7 1 2 8 7 52 Dakota Northrup '19 [1-6]
Sarah Hermus '18 [7-11]
Lauren Oliveira '19 [1-6]
Marisa Decollibus '17 [7-11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 4 4 2 1 3 2 2 10 6 10 55 Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-8]
Alexandra Maurillo '18 [9-11]
Eliza Garry '17 [1-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 3 2 5 10 10 10 7 9 11 3 74 Cameron Holley '19
Caroline Atwood '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 7 8 11 9 15 3 4 6 1 2 75 Jackson Hamilton '19
Jacqueline Berlin '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 9 12 6 13 4 6 6 4 10 6 78 Jeffrey Adam '18 [1-11]
Catherine Haines '19 [1-6]
Sergio Gratta '18 [7-11]
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 2 10 8 5 7 11 10 12 13 14 95 Gabriel Elstrodt '19 [1-6]
Reid Secondo '16 [7-11]
Abigayle Konys '19 [1-6]
Julia Kim '18 [7-11]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 10 14 14 8 5 8 15 13 2 5 102 Scott Booth '16
Samuel Dorothy '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 10 8 6 12 7 6 DSQ 9 7 9 8 103 Lindsay Doyle '18
Emma Janson '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 12 17 13 6 9 4 DSQ 1 4 12 104 Shannon Killian '16 [1-4]
Sean Beaulieu '18 [5-11]
Kathryn Travers '16 [1-4, 7-11]
Emily Conaton '19 [5-6]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 12 11 3 9 16 13 5 12 16 14 4 115 Connor Oursler '19 [1-6]
Liam Ballantyne '19 [7-11]
Rebecca Edmonds '19 [1-6]
Anna Maria Vaccaro '19 [7-11]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 14 17 16 10 14 11 9 8 11 3 11 124 James Amaral '19
Luke Violette '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 13 14 11 16 12 14 13 11 14 12 15 145 Alexander Baskin '19
Rebecca Freeman '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 16 13 13 17 11 16 OCS 14 5 15 13 154 Louis Frumer '18
Isabelle Austin-Green '19
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 15 18 9 7 17 12 17 19 19 19 18 170 George Williams '17 [1-6]
Christopher Baker '16 [7-11]
Tara Schwenzfeier '18 [1-2]
Bryan Davis '17 [3-6]
Alexandra Rice '16 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 18 15 18 18 20 19 16 13 15 18 17 187 Leslie Beedell '16
Jocelyn Blanchet '19
Providence College Providence College Friars 20 16 15 15 15 17 18 16 18 20 20 190 Ian Maccini '18 [1-6]
Jackie Degeorgis '19 [7-11]
No Show [1-6]
Kohl Peasley '19 [7-11]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 17 19 19 19 19 18 14 18 20 16 16 195 Rebecca Rutkiewicz '19 [1-11]
Christin Ashley '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Renee Flores '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 19 20 20 20 18 20 15 17 17 17 19 202 Kevin Winnie '16 [1-6]
Ali Dawes '19 [7-11]
Sarah Levi '19 [1-6]
Kevin Winnie '16 [7-11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles113355779911
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22202018181616141412
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33557799111113
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears442220201818161614
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears15151717191911335
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1616141412121010886
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels5577991111131315
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers6644222020181816
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds779911111313151517
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers88664422202018
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats171719191133557
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99111113131515171719
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars10108866442220
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams181816161414121210108
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111113131515171719191
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers121210108866442
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1313151517171919113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos14141212101088664
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1919113355779
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals2020181816161414121210

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22446688101012
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11191917171515131311
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4466881010121214
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears331119191717151513
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears16161818202022446
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies15151313111199775
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels668810101212141416
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers5533111919171715
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds88101012121414161618
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers77553311191917
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats181820202244668
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1010121214141616181820
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars997755331119
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717151513131111997
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121214141616181820202
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers1111997755331
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1414161618182020224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131311119977553
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts20202244668810
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals191917171515131311119
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Allyson Donahue '17 [1-11] Alice Bohan '18 [1-6, 9-11]
Madeleine Loosbrock '17 [7-8]
Eagles Drake Lyon '18 Hannah Lynn '17
Boston University Boston University Ryan Astwood '16 [1-6]
Brendan Cook '16 [7-11]		 Alex Moreno '19 [1-6]
Lexi Pline '19 [7-11]
Terriers Ravi Parent '18 [1-6]
Robby Gearon '19 [7-11]		 Hannah Davis '19 [1-6]
Meredith Harrington '18 [7-11]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Jack Fullerton '19 Louisa Lindgren '19
Polar Bears Louis Frumer '18 Isabelle Austin-Green '19
Brown University Brown University Sam Alexander '18 Olivia Lord '17
Bears Gabriel Elstrodt '19 [1-6]
Reid Secondo '16 [7-11]		 Abigayle Konys '19 [1-6]
Julia Kim '18 [7-11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Bryce Kopp '16 [1-11] Victoria Allen '16 [1-6, 9-11]
Albert Rodiger '18 [7-8]
Camels Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-8]
Alexandra Maurillo '18 [9-11]		 Eliza Garry '17 [1-8]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Frank Reeg '19 [1-11] Jacqualynn Devore '19 [1-6]
Evan Sampou '17 [7-11]
Buccaneers Jeffrey Adam '18 [1-11] Catherine Haines '19 [1-6]
Sergio Gratta '18 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Hannah Ker '18 Catherine Ross '16
Redbirds Leslie Beedell '16 Jocelyn Blanchet '19
Middlebury College Middlebury College Ben Brown '18 Alden Cowap '17
Panthers Alexander Baskin '19 Rebecca Freeman '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Scott Goodrich '16 Taylor Williams '16
Huskies Jackson Hamilton '19 Jacqueline Berlin '19
Providence College Providence College Anna Bloomstine '19 [1-11] Cicely Dahn '19 [1-6]
Stephanie Burrell '16 [7-11]
Friars Ian Maccini '18 [1-6]
Jackie Degeorgis '19 [7-11]		 No Show [1-6]
Kohl Peasley '19 [7-11]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University A. Tucker Atterbury '16 Peter Forsberg '19
Hawks Scott Booth '16 Samuel Dorothy '19
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Justin Tedeschi '18 [1-8]
Brian Reilly '16 [9-11]		 David Tampellini '17 [1-8]
Renee Flores '18 [9-11]
Pioneers Rebecca Rutkiewicz '19 [1-11] Christin Ashley '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Renee Flores '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University John Silvestri '16 [1-4]
Sam Shannon '19 [5-11]		 Kaylen Heath '16 [1-4]
Jennifer Killian '19 [5-11]
Seahawks Shannon Killian '16 [1-4]
Sean Beaulieu '18 [5-11]		 Kathryn Travers '16 [1-4, 7-11]
Emily Conaton '19 [5-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Alp Rodopman '17 [1-11] Sarah Bunney '19 [1-6]
Marie-Louise Schnetz '19 [7-11]
Jumbos Cameron Holley '19 Caroline Atwood '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Austin Lettengarver '19 Madelynn Widmeier '19
Bears Connor Oursler '19 [1-6]
Liam Ballantyne '19 [7-11]		 Rebecca Edmonds '19 [1-6]
Anna Maria Vaccaro '19 [7-11]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Jennifer Lee '17 [1-6]
No Show [7-11]		 Melissa Conway '16 [1-6]
Charles Zizza '17 [7-11]
Huskies George Williams '17 [1-6]
Christopher Baker '16 [7-11]		 Tara Schwenzfeier '18 [1-2]
Bryan Davis '17 [3-6]
Alexandra Rice '16 [7-11]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Emmet Todd '17 Kendall Young '17
Wildcats James Amaral '19 Luke Violette '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Peter Girard '18 [1-6]
Patrick Isherwood '17 [7-11]		 Sarah Morin '18 [1-6]
Kathryn Nota '19 [7-11]
Rams Dakota Northrup '19 [1-6]
Sarah Hermus '18 [7-11]		 Lauren Oliveira '19 [1-6]
Marisa Decollibus '17 [7-11]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Amina Brown '17 Victoria Pyne Mercier '19
Catamounts Lindsay Doyle '18 Emma Janson '19
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Nathaniel Barton '18 [1-11] Catherine Streich '19 [1-6]
Rachel Kurlander '16 [7-11]
Cardinals Kevin Winnie '16 [1-6]
Ali Dawes '19 [7-11]		 Sarah Levi '19 [1-6]
Kevin Winnie '16 [7-11]

Conditions — 11/07/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From WNW (293°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine4.8 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 12 kn · N 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →