Navigate

Penobscot Bay Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 40 20 60
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 35 42 77
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 33 52 85
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 35 53 88
5 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 57 31 88
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 41 49 90
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 51 43 94
8 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 22 75 97
9 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 75 43 118
10 Boston College Boston College Eagles 61 65 126
11 Boston University Boston University Terriers 79 49 128
12 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 54 85 139
13 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 90 57 147
14 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 74 77 151
15 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 93 99 192
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 3 1 1 8 3 3 22 Nathaniel Johansson '18
Madeleine Walker '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 6 2 3 14 1 1 33 Matthew Lyons '17
Dana Bloch '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 4 10 5 1 4 9 35 Jackson Hamilton '19
Jacqueline Berlin '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 5 9 2 5 2 5 35 Rachel Bryer '17
Hannah Scanlon '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 6 4 13 13 2 40 Adam Ceely '15
Victoria Pyne Mercier '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 2 3 8 6 12 6 41 Bryce Kopp '16
Victoria Allen '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 7 4 12 4 9 10 51 Casey Gowrie '16
Caroline Ambros '17
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 8 8 14 7 7 6 4 54 John Cappetta '16
Hannah Kiesler '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 10 7 10 2 7 11 57 Jennifer Lee '17
George Williams '17
Boston College Boston College Eagles 13 11 5 6 3 15 8 61 Henry Dumke '17
Lily Mcgrath '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 9 13 11 9 9 8 15 74 Sam Shannon '19
Jennifer Killian '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 9 15 11 11 5 13 75 Jeffrey Adam '18
Sergio Gratta '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 12 8 13 12 10 12 79 Solomon Tarlin '17
Andrew Reed '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 14 14 12 15 10 11 14 90 Emmet Todd '17
Kendall Young '17
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 15 15 13 14 15 14 7 93 John Tersoni '17
Dillan Morey '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 2 6 1 1 3 6 20 Amina Brown '17
Haley Mcmahon '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 4 1 5 3 1 10 31 Sarah Fuller '16
Julia Fuller '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 8 12 7 2 6 3 42 John Wehner '18
Katherine Alfond '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 3 8 12 12 4 2 43 Frank Reeg '19
Evan Sampou '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 6 2 8 8 8 8 43 Alexander Tong '17
Lara Dienemann '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 8 5 3 10 5 11 7 49 Charlotte List '18 [1-7]
Albert Rodiger '18 [1-6]
Victoria Allen '16 [7]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 12 5 11 6 5 1 49 Samuel Campbell '17
Lily Lichtenstein '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 12 11 9 2 4 10 4 52 Courtney Koos '16
Olivia Diserio '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 10 4 9 9 2 14 53 Peter Girard '18
Kathryn Nota '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 7 13 3 10 7 11 57 Ryan Gershuny '18
Daniel Lee '18
Boston College Boston College Eagles 14 1 7 6 13 12 12 65 Drake Lyon '18
Alice Bohan '18
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 10 13 10 15 7 15 5 75 Thomas Gallagher '16
John Sullivan '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 11 9 11 13 11 9 13 77 Caden Buckley '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Bayard Lalor '19 [3-4, 7]
Emily Conaton '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kaylen Heath '16 [3-4, 7]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 15 15 14 4 14 14 9 85 Amy Macdonald '18
Mary Ferguson '18
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 13 14 15 14 15 13 15 99 Kyle Thomas '18
Henry Todesco-Perkins '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1133557
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles2244668
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3355779
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44668810
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies12121414113
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55779911
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green6688101012
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners7799111113
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers881010121214
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats13131515224
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies991111131315
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams141411335
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1010121214141
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111131315152
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts151522446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244668
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles3355779
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers44668810
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears55779911
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies13131515224
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels6688101012
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green7799111113
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners881010121214
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers991111131315
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats141411335
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1010121214141
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams151522446
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111131315152
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121414113
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1133557
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College John Cappetta '16 Hannah Kiesler '16
Bobcats Amy Macdonald '18 Mary Ferguson '18
Boston College Boston College Henry Dumke '17 Lily Mcgrath '18
Eagles Drake Lyon '18 Alice Bohan '18
Boston University Boston University Solomon Tarlin '17 Andrew Reed '18
Terriers Samuel Campbell '17 Lily Lichtenstein '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Matthew Lyons '17 Dana Bloch '17
Polar Bears Courtney Koos '16 Olivia Diserio '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Bryce Kopp '16 Victoria Allen '16
Camels Charlotte List '18 [1-7] Albert Rodiger '18 [1-6]
Victoria Allen '16 [7]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Nathaniel Johansson '18 Madeleine Walker '18
Big Green Thomas Gallagher '16 John Sullivan '18
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy John Tersoni '17 Dillan Morey '19
Mariners Kyle Thomas '18 Henry Todesco-Perkins '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Jeffrey Adam '18 Sergio Gratta '18
Buccaneers Frank Reeg '19 Evan Sampou '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Jackson Hamilton '19 Jacqueline Berlin '19
Huskies John Wehner '18 Katherine Alfond '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Sam Shannon '19 Jennifer Killian '19
Seahawks Caden Buckley '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Bayard Lalor '19 [3-4, 7]		 Emily Conaton '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kaylen Heath '16 [3-4, 7]
Tufts University Tufts University Casey Gowrie '16 Caroline Ambros '17
Jumbos Alexander Tong '17 Lara Dienemann '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Jennifer Lee '17 George Williams '17
Huskies Sarah Fuller '16 Julia Fuller '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Emmet Todd '17 Kendall Young '17
Wildcats Ryan Gershuny '18 Daniel Lee '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rachel Bryer '17 Hannah Scanlon '18
Rams Peter Girard '18 Kathryn Nota '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Adam Ceely '15 Victoria Pyne Mercier '19
Catamounts Amina Brown '17 Haley Mcmahon '18

Conditions — 09/12/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From N (358°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1010.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 4 kn · E 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Maine Maritime: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.20
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.57 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maine Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Maine Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →