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Bowdoin Women's Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 125
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 181
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 206
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 230
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 233
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 242
7 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 254
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 2 3 4 3 1 3 3 2 4 4 5 7 7 5 53 Kate Levinson '15
Emily Lynn '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 1 1 6 RAF 7 1 4 3 1 9 1 6 2 1 58 Lizzy Hamilton '15
Jade Willey '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 4 11 1 7 3 2 1 5 8 5 2 11 5 2 67 Mary Paz '17
Julia Rew '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 3 8 2 6 8 8 5 1 13 2 6 1 3 3 69 Hannah Polster '17
Meri Harrington '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 A 8 9 8 10 4 9 7 8 2 3 3 2 1 4 78 Alexandra Romagnoli '15
Alix Israel '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 B 7 4 5 5 6 14 6 4 5 6 8 4 4 13 91 Emilia Clementi '18
Isabelle Pieper '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 5 5 3 2 10 4 11 10 6 11 4 9 8 8 96 Victoria Mcgruer '17
Taylor Williams '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 6 2 9 4 14 5 9 7 9 1 10 5 12 9 102 Amina Brown '17
Brittney Manning '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 10 12 11 8 5 6 2 13 3 7 14 3 11 7 112 Lindsey Kennett '15
Margaret Swanson '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 11 6 10 9 2 10 12 11 10 10 11 10 10 6 128 Lindsay Doyle '18
Lauren Jones '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 12 7 12 12 9 7 8 9 11 8 9 13 9 11 137 Heidi Hood '16
Jacqueline Berlin '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 A 9 10 13 11 12 11 13 6 7 12 12 8 13 14 151 Rebecca Quirke '17
Serena Cipullo '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 14 13 7 1 11 12 14 14 14 14 7 14 6 12 153 Kate Shaner '16
Julia Fuller '17
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 B 13 14 14 13 13 13 10 12 12 13 13 12 14 10 176 Eliza Garry '17
Olivia Liebnick '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221114141313121211111010
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 133445566778899
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 244332211141413131212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies556677889910101111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos6655443322111414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts7788991010111112121313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers88776655443322
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears991010111112121313141411
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 11010998877665544
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 21111121213131414112233
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies12121111101099887766
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131314141122334455
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts141413131212111110109988

Conditions — 10/04/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1007.2 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From ESE (102°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1007.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 5 kn · NW 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.75 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →