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Mrs. Hurst Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 71 134 205
2 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 130 124 254
3 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 136 118 254
4 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 132 136 268
5 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 146 143 289
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 103 187 290
7 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 148 165 313
8 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 133 185 318
9 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 192 146 338
10 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 216 137 353
11 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 217 164 381
12 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 174 208 382
13 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 256 136 392
14 Brown University Brown University Bears 209 183 392
15 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 201 200 401
16 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 220 186 406
17 Boston College Boston College Eagles 193 253 446
18 Boston University Boston University Terriers 202 267 469
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 2 7 5 6 1 5 7 4 10 1 1 3 13 1 1 2 1 71 Nikole Barnes '17
Savannah Kuntz '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 16 2 2 2 7 6 1 3 2 2 5 13 6 10 3 7 7 103 Megan Yeigh '16 [1-18]
Bridget Murphy '15 [1-14, 18]
Lilla Salvesen '18 [15-17]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 8 1 4 5 2 12 8 10 7 11 4 11 5 15 17 1 5 130 Erin Mullins '16
Mary Paz '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 5 11 1 3 3 9 11 5 1 12 14 6 2 13 8 17 3 132 Chloe Lepert '15 [1-18]
Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan '16 [1-10]
Jorlyn Le Garrec '17 [11-18]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 12 12 8 11 1 13 1 2 1 3 6 3 4 16 2 10 14 14 133 Sarah Williams '16 [1-18]
Sophie Kerr '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Sophia Diserio '18 [3-4, 11-18]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 13 6 10 7 7 4 10 6 11 6 10 8 5 12 8 6 3 4 136 Lily Katz '17
Maeve White '17
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 4 9 3 16 8 4 4 2 15 8 13 17 11 9 5 6 10 146 Clerc Cooper '15
Chloe Dapp '17
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 DSQ 5 14 13 5 2 12 6 4 4 RAF 1 1 12 9 10 9 148 Marly Isler '16
Natalya Doris '17
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 6 1 6 12 4 12 14 10 7 14 5 11 14 7 14 13 12 12 174 Jennifer Borshoff '15
Claire Riedman '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 11 4 10 12 11 13 9 9 18 17 7 12 10 RDG 11 15 2 192 Kate Levinson '15 [1-18]
Emily Lynn '15 [1-13]
Molly Pleskus '18 [14-17]
Caitlin Durand '15 [18]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 14 7 3 8 17 18 3 15 14 13 13 12 7 15 3 15 8 8 193 Allyson Donahue '17
Fiona Walsh '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 7 10 18 6 8 17 15 14 8 12 7 9 15 4 11 12 11 17 201 Dominique Wright '15
Darcy Jensen '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 16 3 15 DSQ 9 9 11 13 15 11 3 17 9 3 18 7 9 15 202 Hannah Polster '17
Meredith Harrington '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 18 13 13 13 14 16 17 16 13 9 14 2 8 14 7 2 4 16 209 Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17
Katherine Sudol '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 11 14 12 DSQ 15 15 18 3 17 16 9 6 10 8 5 14 18 6 216 Taylor Ladd '18
Kristina Jakobson '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 5 9 16 9 10 10 16 5 16 8 16 16 18 RAF 4 16 13 11 217 Liz Dubovik '15
Alix Israel '15
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 17 17 17 16 11 6 8 DSQ 12 5 18 10 2 9 6 18 16 13 220 India Johnstone '18
Isabel Strachan '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 15 15 14 15 18 14 7 17 18 17 15 15 16 17 16 4 5 18 256 Kaitlyn Norton '15 [1-8, 13]
Sarah Hermus '18 [9-12, 14-18]
Danielle Arpino '15 [1-8]
Sarah Leonard '17 [9-18]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 5 15 1 9 7 1 10 1 18 11 16 4 3 2 7 4 2 118 Holly Tullo '17
Yuki Yoshiyasu '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 1 6 16 2 4 3 2 10 17 13 5 3 14 4 14 2 RDG 124 Courtney Koos '16
Frances Jimenez '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 2 10 4 13 6 7 1 8 7 2 8 7 6 9 18 8 9 134 Devon Rohde '15
Hannah Herring '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 8 4 9 7 5 13 13 17 3 4 10 2 7 3 2 14 5 136 Christina Lewis '16 [1-18]
Molly Lucyk '16 [1-11]
Danielle Arpino '15 [12-18]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 17 10 14 13 6 8 4 8 12 11 3 1 1 2 7 15 3 1 136 Rosalind Lesh '16 [1-18]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [1-12, 17-18]
Jamila Smith-Dell '16 [13-16]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 16 7 2 12 12 9 11 4 14 12 1 3 11 1 1 5 13 3 137 Sophie Bermudez '16
Ashleigh Inglis '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 6 3 2 1 3 12 6 15 1 15 9 14 13 5 13 15 7 143 Rebekah Schiff '16
Michaela Reynolds '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 12 3 13 14 11 1 5 3 4 16 10 2 6 4 14 6 18 4 146 Maryclaire Kiernan '17 [1-18]
Caitlin Durand '15 [1-13]
Emily Lynn '15 [14-18]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 4 16 17 4 10 10 9 7 4 5 18 9 9 6 9 5 11 164 Alexandra Romagnoli '15 [1-4]
Rebecca Quirke '17 [5-18]
Serena Cipullo '17 [1-12, 17-18]
Eliza Garry '17 [13-16]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 14 9 17 3 14 11 15 5 11 2 9 7 5 8 16 1 10 8 165 Casey Klingler '18 [1-18]
Meredith Megarry '17 [1-4, 11]
Emily Johnson '16 [5-10, 12-18]
Brown University Brown University Bears 8 12 7 8 16 16 8 7 2 13 14 4 17 5 17 4 11 14 183 Johanna Kincaid '15 [1-18]
Nicole Quattrocchi '15 [1-14, 17-18]
Alexandra Swanson '16 [15-16]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 13 18 1 7 3 18 2 14 13 10 DSQ 6 10 10 11 8 16 6 185 Margaret Kilvert '18
Hope Wilson '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 5 15 8 11 5 12 9 11 3 5 12 17 15 16 12 16 1 13 186 Maria Sinagra '16
Gabriella Malek '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 11 5 10 15 13 6 12 9 9 8 11 12 17 10 11 7 17 187 Amina Brown '17 [1-12, 15-18]
Lindsay Doyle '18 [13-14]
Lilla Salvesen '18 [1-12]
Brittney Manning '18 [13-18]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 18 14 9 5 8 2 16 18 5 6 7 13 18 12 15 3 12 DNS 200 Alison Knoles '17
Kayla Burrows '17
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 16 12 6 10 15 17 15 18 8 6 15 16 11 8 10 6 12 208 Quinn Howes '16
Julie Barbera '17
Boston College Boston College Eagles 6 13 DSQ 18 18 14 14 17 6 14 17 12 8 15 18 17 17 10 253 Hannah Lynn '17
Katja Sertl '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 15 17 11 15 17 17 18 16 16 15 16 14 13 18 13 12 9 15 267 Lindsey Kennett '15
Margaret Swanson '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566778899
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22111818171716161515141413131212
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3344556677889910101111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4433221118181717161615151414
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars55667788991010111112121313
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1414131312121111101099887766
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels665544332211181817171616
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red778899101011111212131314141515
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green88776655443322111818
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials9910101111121213131414151516161717
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10109988776655443322
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1111121213131414151516161717181811
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151616171718181122334455
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161515141413131212111110109988
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal121211111010998877665544
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131314141515161617171818112233
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211111010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566778899
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22111818171716161515141413131212
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3344556677889910101111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4433221118181717161615151414
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars55667788991010111112121313
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1414131312121111101099887766
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels665544332211181817171616
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red778899101011111212131314141515
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green88776655443322111818
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials9910101111121213131414151516161717
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10109988776655443322
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1111121213131414151516161717181811
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151616171718181122334455
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161515141413131212111110109988
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal121211111010998877665544
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131314141515161617171818112233
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Allyson Donahue '17 Fiona Walsh '17
Eagles Hannah Lynn '17 Katja Sertl '16
Boston University Boston University Hannah Polster '17 Meredith Harrington '18
Terriers Lindsey Kennett '15 Margaret Swanson '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Erin Mullins '16 Mary Paz '17
Polar Bears Courtney Koos '16 Frances Jimenez '16
Brown University Brown University Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17 Katherine Sudol '16
Bears Johanna Kincaid '15 [1-18] Nicole Quattrocchi '15 [1-14, 17-18]
Alexandra Swanson '16 [15-16]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Clerc Cooper '15 Chloe Dapp '17
Cougars Rebekah Schiff '16 Michaela Reynolds '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Liz Dubovik '15 Alix Israel '15
Camels Alexandra Romagnoli '15 [1-4]
Rebecca Quirke '17 [5-18]		 Serena Cipullo '17 [1-12, 17-18]
Eliza Garry '17 [13-16]
Cornell University Cornell University Jennifer Borshoff '15 Claire Riedman '16
Big Red Quinn Howes '16 Julie Barbera '17
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Sarah Williams '16 [1-18] Sophie Kerr '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Sophia Diserio '18 [3-4, 11-18]
Big Green Margaret Kilvert '18 Hope Wilson '16
George Washington University George Washington University India Johnstone '18 Isabel Strachan '18
Colonials Maria Sinagra '16 Gabriella Malek '17
Harvard University Harvard University Taylor Ladd '18 Kristina Jakobson '16
Crimson Sophie Bermudez '16 Ashleigh Inglis '15
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Chloe Lepert '15 [1-18] Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan '16 [1-10]
Jorlyn Le Garrec '17 [11-18]
Engineers Rosalind Lesh '16 [1-18] Elizabeth Zhang '16 [1-12, 17-18]
Jamila Smith-Dell '16 [13-16]
Stanford University Stanford University Lily Katz '17 Maeve White '17
Cardinal Holly Tullo '17 Yuki Yoshiyasu '16
Tufts University Tufts University Kate Levinson '15 [1-18] Emily Lynn '15 [1-13]
Molly Pleskus '18 [14-17]
Caitlin Durand '15 [18]
Jumbos Maryclaire Kiernan '17 [1-18] Caitlin Durand '15 [1-13]
Emily Lynn '15 [14-18]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Nikole Barnes '17 Savannah Kuntz '17
Bears Devon Rohde '15 Hannah Herring '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Kaitlyn Norton '15 [1-8, 13]
Sarah Hermus '18 [9-12, 14-18]		 Danielle Arpino '15 [1-8]
Sarah Leonard '17 [9-18]
Rams Christina Lewis '16 [1-18] Molly Lucyk '16 [1-11]
Danielle Arpino '15 [12-18]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Dominique Wright '15 Darcy Jensen '16
Bulls Alison Knoles '17 Kayla Burrows '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Megan Yeigh '16 [1-18] Bridget Murphy '15 [1-14, 18]
Lilla Salvesen '18 [15-17]
Catamounts Amina Brown '17 [1-12, 15-18]
Lindsay Doyle '18 [13-14]		 Lilla Salvesen '18 [1-12]
Brittney Manning '18 [13-18]
Yale University Yale University Marly Isler '16 Natalya Doris '17
Bulldogs Casey Klingler '18 [1-18] Meredith Megarry '17 [1-4, 11]
Emily Johnson '16 [5-10, 12-18]

Conditions — 09/20/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1024.9 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From S (178°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover30% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1024.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.14 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →