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Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 17 21 38
2 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 49 45 94
3 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 48 50 98
4 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 56 45 101
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 50 53 103
6 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 62 74 136
7 American University American University Eagles 67 73 140
8 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 114 42 156
9 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 75 92 167
10 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 82 145 227
11 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 129 108 237
12 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinal 113 154 267
13 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 140 154 294
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 17 Aj Reiter '17
Kiara Boswick '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 5 8 6 5 4 2 2 2 8 5 1 48 Sam White '18 [1-11]
Matthew Homa '18 [1-8]
Chapin Graham '18 [9-11]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 3 5 2 6 8 8 3 7 1 3 3 49 Jay Spector '16
Shuqi Dong '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 7 7 4 3 6 4 3 4 6 4 50 Spencer Nora '17
Rosie Silverstein '18
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 4 1 2 2 5 5 4 6 9 8 56 Daniel Birmingham '17
Sonia Guior '15
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 9 3 7 6 3 DSQ 5 2 4 5 62 Amanda Stapp '18
Elaina Mansley '16
American University American University Eagles 8 2 11 3 5 7 8 8 7 2 6 67 Boo Devanny '17 [1-11]
Audrey Milite '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Alexina Beckley '17 [3-4, 7-8]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 7 6 8 8 9 4 6 6 5 7 9 75 Patrick Mazzeo '18
Abraham Kruger '17
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD 6 3 5 10 7 10 7 9 10 8 7 82 Chris Lane '17
Jonathan Flink '18
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinal 11 12 9 9 10 11 9 10 9 10 13 113 Sarah Seski '15
Samuel Mortin '16
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 9 10 10 11 11 9 10 11 11 12 10 114 Jela-Ni Mccarthy '16
Miles Braden '17
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 13 11 12 12 12 12 11 12 12 11 11 129 Kris Rodriguez '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Allie Howe '18 [3-6, 9-11]
Donald Anderson '17 [1-2, 7-8]
John Giel '18 [3-6, 11]
Kris Rodriguez '15 [9-10]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 13 13 13 12 140 Aidan Barrett '17 [1-4, 7-11]
Katherine Deats '17 [5-6]
Katherine Deats '17 [1-2, 9-11]
Quentin Carbone '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Aidan Barrett '17 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 21 Mary Kate Mezzetti '16 [1-8]
Rose Edwards '18 [9-11]
Katie Olsen '15 [1-8]
Carolyn Dahl '18 [9-11]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 6 4 4 9 2 3 2 2 4 1 5 42 Cristina Ortiz Vivas '18
Albert Berk Toledo '15
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 1 BYE 6 5 5 4 8 3 5 3 1 45 Riley Engelberger '18
Madeline Taggart '15
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 8 1 6 4 2 7 4 2 5 4 45 Colin Keil '15
Perry Goodman '17
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 4 2 2 1 3 7 5 7 3 8 8 50 Matthew Ricci '15 [1-8]
Michael Ince '16 [9-11]
Chapin Graham '18 [1-8]
Henry Young '16 [9-11]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 7 7 4 6 5 3 5 7 4 2 53 James Morgan '18
Willard Hawley '18
American University American University Eagles 7 3 5 7 7 6 4 6 11 10 7 73 Kyle Magno '18 [1-8]
Alexina Beckley '17 [9-11]
Anna Ferrara '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Isabella Jorgensen '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 8 6 8 3 9 8 6 8 6 6 6 74 Elizabeth Foulston '17
Lauren Holderman '18
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 9 5 9 8 8 9 9 9 8 9 9 92 Patrick Firth '17
Kelvin Abrokwa-Johnson '17
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 7 11 108 Benjamin Hayes '16 [1-11]
Grace Bule '16 [1-10]
Donald Anderson '17 [11]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola University MD DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 9 DSQ 10 145 Thomas Zanowic '15
Ellen Studer '17
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinal DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DNS DNS DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DNS 154 No Show
No Show
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 154 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles22446688101015
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinal33557799141417
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red4466881010151518
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams557799141417172
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 166881010151518183
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 2779914141717224
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas88101015151818335
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates991414171722446
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD10101515181833557
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen141417172244668
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers151518183355779
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies17172244668810
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe18183355779914

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles33557799141417
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinal4466881010151518
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red557799141417172
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66881010151518183
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 1779914141717224
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 288101015151818335
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas991414171722446
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates10101515181833557
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola University MD141417172244668
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen151518183355779
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers17172244668810
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies18183355779914
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe22446688101015
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Boo Devanny '17 [1-11] Audrey Milite '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Alexina Beckley '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Eagles Kyle Magno '18 [1-8]
Alexina Beckley '17 [9-11]		 Anna Ferrara '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Isabella Jorgensen '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Sarah Seski '15 Samuel Mortin '16
Cardinal No Show No Show
Cornell University Cornell University Daniel Birmingham '17 Sonia Guior '15
Big Red Colin Keil '15 Perry Goodman '17
Fordham University Fordham University Amanda Stapp '18 Elaina Mansley '16
Rams Elizabeth Foulston '17 Lauren Holderman '18
George Washington University George Washington University Jay Spector '16 Shuqi Dong '17
Colonials 1 Riley Engelberger '18 Madeline Taggart '15
George Washington University George Washington University Sam White '18 [1-11] Matthew Homa '18 [1-8]
Chapin Graham '18 [9-11]
Colonials 2 Matthew Ricci '15 [1-8]
Michael Ince '16 [9-11]		 Chapin Graham '18 [1-8]
Henry Young '16 [9-11]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Aj Reiter '17 Kiara Boswick '16
Hoyas Mary Kate Mezzetti '16 [1-8]
Rose Edwards '18 [9-11]		 Katie Olsen '15 [1-8]
Carolyn Dahl '18 [9-11]
Hampton University Hampton University Jela-Ni Mccarthy '16 Miles Braden '17
Pirates Cristina Ortiz Vivas '18 Albert Berk Toledo '15
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Chris Lane '17 Jonathan Flink '18
Loyola University MD Thomas Zanowic '15 Ellen Studer '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Spencer Nora '17 Rosie Silverstein '18
Midshipmen James Morgan '18 Willard Hawley '18
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Aidan Barrett '17 [1-4, 7-11]
Katherine Deats '17 [5-6]		 Katherine Deats '17 [1-2, 9-11]
Quentin Carbone '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Aidan Barrett '17 [5-6]
Pitt Panthers No Show No Show
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Kris Rodriguez '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Allie Howe '18 [3-6, 9-11]		 Donald Anderson '17 [1-2, 7-8]
John Giel '18 [3-6, 11]
Kris Rodriguez '15 [9-10]
Hokies Benjamin Hayes '16 [1-11] Grace Bule '16 [1-10]
Donald Anderson '17 [11]
William and Mary William and Mary Patrick Mazzeo '18 Abraham Kruger '17
Tribe Patrick Firth '17 Kelvin Abrokwa-Johnson '17

Conditions — 10/11/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1018.2 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From N (8°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine1.3 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1018.2 hPa Rain0.16 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · E 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgetown: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →