University of California at Berkeley '19
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.83 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 5 | Fall 2015 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.66 (fleet 2.30) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 27–33 (45%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 | 3 | 14–21 | — |
| Spring 2017 | 2 | 13–12 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (60 matches) the record is 27–33 against 24.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.0). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-06 | Carter Ford PCCSC Team Race Championship | skipper | 2.17 | 2.96 | 3–9 | 1.7 | +0.79 | 0.8 | 24% |
| 2019-02-23 | McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 2.01 | 1.57 | 6–7 | 6.8 | −0.44 | 0.3 | 84% |
| 2019-02-09 | Cal Team Race | skipper | 1.95 | 1.57 | 5–5 | 5.5 | −0.38 | 0.1 | 81% |
| 2017-02-25 | 2017 McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 2.00 | 3.20 | 7–10 | 3.9 | +1.19 | 2.7 | 5% |
| 2017-02-11 | Cal Team Race | skipper | 1.79 | 1.78 | 6–2 | 6.0 | −0.01 | 0.0 | 69% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC Women's Conference Champs Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.0 | 2.25 |
| Carter Ford PCCSC Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 12 | 25% | — |
| Mustang Open Varsity | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.2 | 2.95 |
| McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 13 | 46% | — |
| Charleston Spring Coed Interconference | Skipper | A | 6 | 11.3 | 2.31 |
| Cal Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 57% | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC Fall Women's Champs Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 7.9 | -0.32 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke Interconference | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.8 | 2.12 |
| 2017 Women's PCC's Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 14.0 | — |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Pacific Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 4.0 | 2.55 |
| Cal Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 80% | — |
| 2017 McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 17 | 41% | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Frosh-Soph Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.0 | 2.57 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.7 | 2.87 |
| PCCSC South Designate | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.4 | 2.50 |
| PCCSC Coed Championship | Skipper | B | 10 | 5.7 | 1.77 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh-Soph | Skipper | B | 9 | 3.0 | 3.31 |
| Stoney Burke | Skipper | B | 11 | 14.0 | 0.59 |
| PCCSC Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.0 | 1.22 |
| 2015 Women's PCC's Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 9.6 | 1.93 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
