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UCSD Frosh-Soph

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 63 MRP 47 MRP 110 MRP
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 39 MRP 82 MRP 121 MRP
3 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 71 MRP 58 MRP 129 MRP
4 Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 70 MRP 62 MRP 132 MRP
5 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 91 MRP 44 MRP 135 MRP
6 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 94 MRP 57 MRP 151 MRP
7 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 58 114 172
8 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 97 78 175
9 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 70 MRP 153 MRP 223 MRP
10 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 111 112 223
11 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 78 152 230
12 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 134 114 248
13 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 100 160 260
14 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 4 106 MRP 161 MRP 267 MRP
15 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 147 123 270
16 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 5 174 MRP 99 MRP 273 MRP
17 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 136 138 274
18 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 160 MRP 127 MRP 287 MRP
19 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 141 191 332
20 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 195 160 355
21 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 189 MRP 174 MRP 363 MRP
22 Aggies Aggies Aggies 215 MRP 168 MRP 383 MRP
23 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 208 MRP 184 MRP 392 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 4 2 2 1 3 3 1 2 1 39 MRP Kristopher Swanson '18
Maxwell Mckinney '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 4 4 7 12 8 9 5 6 58 Christina Gasparich '19
Natalie Millstein '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 9 5 5 4 5 4 3 3 5 63 MRP Kyra Oakes '18
Ekaterina Goncharova '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 1 9 6 5 6 12 4 4 3 70 MRP No Show
Paula Nascimento Choinski '18
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 10 6 1 3 1 6 2 8 13 70 MRP Silas Barton '18
Maxime Rooij '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 7 3 9 8 2 2 6 7 7 71 MRP Henry Keenan '18
Jacob Basinger '18
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 5 13 3 6 7 1 14 13 16 78 Alexander Smith '18 [1-8]
Ryan Henry '18 [9]
Sierra Apillanes '19 [1-8]
Nicholas Theut '19 [9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 12 1 8 15 4 10 5 6 10 91 MRP Cooper Weitz '19
Claire Hunt '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 13 7 18 11 8 5 7 1 4 94 MRP Andrew Solomon '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Vincent Todosiev '19 [3-4, 7-9]
Chun Ting Justin Lai '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Lucas O'Brien '17 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 2 10 10 14 9 9 13 10 20 97 Leah Ford '19 [1-9]
Jennifer Zhou '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Madelyn Johnson '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 11 17 17 9 10 7 10 11 8 100 Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19
Liam Chaffey '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 4 8 8 7 10 11 11 11 9 11 106 MRP Cole Fargo '18
Lucy Laviolette '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 14 14 12 13 21 15 8 12 2 111 Ari Zeen '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Julia Jaynes '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Courtney Pacheco '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Brooke Scholl '16 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 6 12 15 19 14 14 18 17 19 134 Jason Barr '17
Chase Verstuyft '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 17 16 13 2 23 22 12 22 9 136 Alicia Ward '18
Brian Bischoff '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 19 18 14 17 13 16 17 15 12 141 Belle Lemoine '19
Nathan Dagley '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 18 15 16 20 16 19 15 14 14 147 Ben Gerber '19 [1-9]
Michael Evans '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Sally Tang '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's DSQ 11 11 16 18 13 16 16 15 160 MRP Annarose Leff '18
Matthew Parker '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 5 16 19 19 12 15 17 20 18 18 174 MRP Rohan Sinha '19
Arsalaan Muhammad '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 15 21 20 18 17 21 19 21 17 189 MRP Cullen Quine '18 [1-6]
Alexander Daniele '18 [7-9]
Lecheng Tong '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Bobbie Hutchinson '18 [3-6, 9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 20 DSQ 21 22 22 23 21 20 22 195 Natalie Hopper '19
Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 21 20 DSQ 23 20 18 22 19 21 208 MRP Caressa Brewer '18
Aggies Aggies Aggies 22 22 22 21 19 20 23 23 23 215 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 4 3 7 1 1 1 1 1 44 MRP Will Dana '19
Claire Stivers '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 4 1 6 4 3 2 2 3 2 47 MRP Elizabeth Hansen '19
Katie Hitchcock '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 1 5 7 6 2 3 6 4 3 57 MRP Nicolai Sponholtz '19
Alexandre Mutricy '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 6 3 2 1 5 8 3 6 4 58 MRP Henrik Bey '17
Olivia Macdonald '19
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 2 6 5 2 4 4 5 9 5 62 MRP Silas Barton '18
Maxime Rooij '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 3 8 12 5 11 6 9 10 14 78 Laura Roudebush '18 [1-9]
Georgia Potter '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Marianne Simpson '19 [3-6, 9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 DSQ 2 1 3 10 10 4 2 6 82 MRP Dylan Finestone '19 [1-9]
Lauren Rudnick '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Scoffone '19 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 5 7 7 11 13 6 5 14 8 8 99 MRP Daniel Anderson '14
Jacey Van Wert '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 14 10 10 10 16 14 13 14 11 112 Brennan Lund '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Eric Hanna '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Sarah Genberg '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
John Lisenby '17 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 15 14 19 8 14 9 10 5 20 114 No Show
Adriana Guetter '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans DNS DNS 9 16 7 7 7 13 7 114 Emily Quirke '19
No Show
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 DSQ 16 8 DSQ 13 11 11 7 9 123 Thomas Garcia '19 [1-9]
Michaela Perinova '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Rui Li '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 11 15 4 12 8 20 8 12 17 127 MRP Julian Weiswasser '19
Shiron Drusinsky '18
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 19 18 14 9 18 12 17 19 12 138 Liam Morris '19
Brian Bischoff '18
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 9 9 21 19 20 16 19 18 21 152 Ryan Henry '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Chasen Williams '19 [3-4, 7-9]
Bharath Tata '19 [1-2]
Elizabeth Noble '19 [3-4, 7-9]
Nicholas Theut '19 [5-6]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 8 11 15 17 12 19 16 16 19 153 MRP Robert Johnson '19 [1-9]
Noah Congdon '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Katherine Dolbear '19 [3-4, 7-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 17 20 16 15 19 21 15 21 16 160 Dallas Butler '17
Camille Villadolid '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 18 17 DSQ DSQ 17 18 12 15 15 160 Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19
No Show
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 4 13 13 18 11 OCS 17 DSQ 11 10 161 MRP Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin '17
Sage Geher '19
Aggies Aggies Aggies 10 22 13 20 9 13 21 17 23 168 MRP
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 12 12 20 18 15 22 18 DSQ 13 174 MRP Sarah Macpherson '18 [1-9]
Natalie Dao '18 [1-2, 7-9]
Robert Zalog '19 [3-6]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 16 19 17 14 21 15 22 22 18 184 MRP Caressa Brewer '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 20 21 22 21 22 23 20 20 22 191 Brenyn Bierbaum '19
Anthony Absy '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.240+0.24
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils393939393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1231231231231231231231231231
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 3242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 4999999999
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 5101010101010101010
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2444444444
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers777777777
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters111111111111111111111111111
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros565656565656565656
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373737373737373737
AggiesAggies Aggies471471471471471471471471471
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters262626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1222222222
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2271271271271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3281281281281281281281281281
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1301301301301301301301301301
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2129129129129129129129129129
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1131131131131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2323232323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3132132132132132132132132132
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's555555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils393939393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1231231231231231231231231231
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 3242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 4999999999
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 5101010101010101010
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2444444444
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers777777777
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters111111111111111111111111111
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros565656565656565656
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373737373737373737
AggiesAggies Aggies471471471471471471471471471
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters262626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1222222222
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2271271271271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3281281281281281281281281281
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1301301301301301301301301301
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2129129129129129129129129129
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1131131131131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2323232323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3132132132132132132132132132
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's555555555
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Alexander Smith '18 [1-8]
Ryan Henry '18 [9]		 Sierra Apillanes '19 [1-8]
Nicholas Theut '19 [9]
Sun Devils Ryan Henry '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Chasen Williams '19 [3-4, 7-9]		 Bharath Tata '19 [1-2]
Elizabeth Noble '19 [3-4, 7-9]
Nicholas Theut '19 [5-6]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Belle Lemoine '19 Nathan Dagley '18
Mustang 1 Brenyn Bierbaum '19 Anthony Absy '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker '19 Liam Chaffey '19
Mustang 2 Dallas Butler '17 Camille Villadolid '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Ari Zeen '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Julia Jaynes '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Courtney Pacheco '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Brooke Scholl '16 [3-4, 7-8]
49ers Brennan Lund '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Eric Hanna '15 [3-4, 7-8]		 Sarah Genberg '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
John Lisenby '17 [3-4, 7-8]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Alicia Ward '18 Brian Bischoff '18
Otters Liam Morris '19 Brian Bischoff '18
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Silas Barton '18 Maxime Rooij '18
Vaqueros Silas Barton '18 Maxime Rooij '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Andrew Solomon '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Vincent Todosiev '19 [3-4, 7-9]		 Chun Ting Justin Lai '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Lucas O'Brien '17 [3-4, 7-9]
Bears 1 Nicolai Sponholtz '19 Alexandre Mutricy '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Henry Keenan '18 Jacob Basinger '18
Bears 2 Henrik Bey '17 Olivia Macdonald '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Kyra Oakes '18 Ekaterina Goncharova '18
Bears 3 Elizabeth Hansen '19 Katie Hitchcock '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Cole Fargo '18 Lucy Laviolette '17
Bears 4 Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin '17 Sage Geher '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Rohan Sinha '19 Arsalaan Muhammad '19
Bears 5 Daniel Anderson '14 Jacey Van Wert '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Caressa Brewer '18
Anteaters Caressa Brewer '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Ben Gerber '19 [1-9] Michael Evans '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Sally Tang '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Bruins 1 Thomas Garcia '19 [1-9] Michaela Perinova '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Rui Li '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Leah Ford '19 [1-9] Jennifer Zhou '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Madelyn Johnson '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Bruins 2 Laura Roudebush '18 [1-9] Georgia Potter '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Marianne Simpson '19 [3-6, 9]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Cullen Quine '18 [1-6]
Alexander Daniele '18 [7-9]		 Lecheng Tong '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Bobbie Hutchinson '18 [3-6, 9]
Bruins 3 Sarah Macpherson '18 [1-9] Natalie Dao '18 [1-2, 7-9]
Robert Zalog '19 [3-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Natalie Hopper '19 Robyn Gillum '18
Tritons 1 Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 No Show
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Jason Barr '17 Chase Verstuyft '17
Tritons 2 No Show Adriana Guetter '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Kristopher Swanson '18 Maxwell Mckinney '19
Gauchos 1 Dylan Finestone '19 [1-9] Lauren Rudnick '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Scoffone '19 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Cooper Weitz '19 Claire Hunt '19
Gauchos 2 Will Dana '19 Claire Stivers '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara No Show Paula Nascimento Choinski '18
Gauchos 3 Robert Johnson '19 [1-9] Noah Congdon '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Katherine Dolbear '19 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Annarose Leff '18 Matthew Parker '18
Banana Slug's Julian Weiswasser '19 Shiron Drusinsky '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Christina Gasparich '19 Natalie Millstein '18
Trojans Emily Quirke '19 No Show

Conditions — 10/10/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1012.7 hPa

Temperature

85°F
↑ 91°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 86°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From W (260°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1012.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn · NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC San Diego: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →