University of California at Berkeley '18
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keelboat | 0.69 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 1 | Fall 2016 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.21 (fleet 1.68) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 18–17 (51%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 2 | 12–11 | — |
| Spring 2015 | 1 | 6–6 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (35 matches) the record is 18–17 against 18.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-28 | Pacific Coast Team Race Championships | skipper | 1.61 | 1.04 | 1–5 | 1.3 | −0.57 | 0.1 | 87% |
| 2018-02-10 | Cal Team Race | skipper | 1.48 | 1.88 | 11–6 | 10.1 | +0.41 | 0.3 | 39% |
| 2015-02-28 | Cal Team Race | skipper | 0.94 | 0.33 | 6–6 | 7.4 | −0.62 | 0.6 | 90% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC South Designate | Skipper | B | 12 | 9.5 | 1.72 |
| Pacific Coast Team Race Championships | Skipper | TR | 6 | 17% | — |
| Mustang Open | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.9 | 2.14 |
| Cal Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 71% | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Open Regatta | Skipper | B | 10 | 4.4 | 2.27 |
| Stoney Burke Interconference | Skipper | A | 5 | 7.8 | 1.30 |
| 2017 PCCSC Match Race Championship Keelboat | Reserve | A | 1 | 6.0 | — |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| South Designate | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.6 | 1.68 |
| Anteater Open | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.8 | 1.11 |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Open Regatta | Skipper | B | 4 | 2.8 | 1.65 |
| PCCSC Match Race Championship Keelboat | Skipper | A | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat | Reserve | A | 9 | 8.3 | — |
| PCCSC South Designate | Skipper | A | 8 | 16.0 | 1.09 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh-Soph | Skipper | A | 9 | 9.6 | 1.21 |
| Stoney Burke JV | Skipper | B | 8 | 4.5 | 1.73 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| White | Skipper | A | 11 | 6.1 | 1.08 |
| St. Francis Interconference | Crew | A | 7 | 14.3 | — |
| South Designate | Skipper | B | 5 | 13.0 | 1.07 |
| Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 7.7 | — |
| Cal Team Race | Skipper | TR | 11 | 46% | — |
| Anteater Open | Skipper | B | 7 | 8.0 | 0.74 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke JV Regatta | Skipper | A | 2 | 10.0 | 1.05 |
| Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 21.1 | 0.52 |
| UCSD Frosh/Soph | Skipper | B | 11 | 8.3 | 1.12 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Cole Fargo |  Torrey Pines High School |
'14 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
