Navigate

Stoney Burke JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 16 14 30
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 20 29 49
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 19 50 69
4 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 51 36 87
5 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 67 36 103
6 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 70 46 116
7 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 32 102 134
8 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 70 67 137
9 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 80 58 138
10 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 57 83 140
11 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 70 98 168
12 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 98 97 195
13 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 98 98 196
14 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 100 105 205
15 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 120 111 231
16 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 123 109 232
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 2 3 2 3 2 2 1 1 16 Neil Stapleton '18
Maxwell Mckinney '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 1 1 3 2 1 4 3 4 19 Will Dana '19
Claire Stivers '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 4 4 1 1 3 3 2 2 20 Tristram Craig '18
Bailey Clark '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 3 5 4 5 4 1 4 6 32 Cobi Allen '16
Robert Johnson '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 8 2 6 4 11 11 6 3 51 Eric Witte '17
Helena Bugacov '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 6 9 9 9 6 6 5 7 57 Ted Alley '16
Emily Spencer '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 10 7 10 6 5 7 10 12 67 Vincent Todosiev '19
Katheryn Bell '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 5 13 8 7 9 12 11 5 70 Joseph Lausten '18
Haley Weber '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 7 10 12 10 7 5 9 10 70 Ari Zeen '17
Courtney Pacheco '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 9 8 7 13 8 10 7 8 70 Samuel Rohrbach '17
Warren Ko '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 16 6 13 8 12 8 8 9 80 Annarose Leff '18
Matthew Parker '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 11 14 14 11 10 13 12 13 98 Brenyn Bierbaum '19
Anthony Absy '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 12 12 11 12 13 9 13 16 98 Alana Mcsween '17
Joseph Naro '18
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 13 11 5 DNS 14 15 14 11 100 Levi Matsushima '17
Kelsey Trammell '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 15 16 15 14 16 14 16 14 120 Jeff Barone '17 [1-8]
Elizabeth Keenan '17 [1-6]
Jackson O'Reilly '18 [7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 14 15 16 DNS 15 16 15 15 123 Dylan Rinker '16
Chandler Gifford '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 4 14 No Show
Paula Nascimento Choinski '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 1 2 1 1 3 3 DNS 1 29 Kevin Leddy '17
Noah Congdon '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 3 3 7 7 5 2 2 7 36 Nicolai Sponholtz '19
Claudia Calonje '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 4 10 4 6 2 4 3 3 36 Cole Fargo '18
Audrey Mcnamara '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 8 5 3 3 7 7 5 8 46 Geoffrey Brelsford '18
James Kerman '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 4 5 DNS 4 5 4 6 50 Cooper Weitz '19
Sarah Scoffone '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 7 12 9 5 10 6 7 2 58 Julian Weiswasser '19
Conrad Esch '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 7 6 4 8 9 DNS 10 67 Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19
Adriana Guetter '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 9 6 8 9 9 8 DNS DNS 83 Colin Bishop '20
Maria Isberg '20
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies OCS 13 10 8 13 10 DNS 9 97 Samuel Sara '18
Ken Zheng '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 11 9 11 10 11 12 DNS DNS 98 Brennan Lund '17
John Lisenby '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 13 8 14 14 12 11 9 DNS 98 Dallas Butler '17
Austin Ferramola '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 DNS DNS DNS DNS 6 OCS 6 5 102 Lucas Ryder '16
Remy Margerum '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 12 15 13 12 14 14 8 DNS 105 Liam Morris '19
Clint Walterman '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 14 14 12 13 16 13 10 DNS 109 Adrien Ziegler '18 [1-4]
Benjamin Blumenberg '18 [5-8]
Thomas Niemisto '17 [1-4]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 10 11 15 11 15 15 DNS DNS 111 Jacqueline Rasch Castillo '18 [1-4]
Matthew Kozal '17 [5-8]
No Show [1-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 133333333
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 21111111111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 144444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 333333333
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers88888888
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters117117117117117117117117
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies471471471471471471471471
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons3030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1131131131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 222222222
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 35656565656565656
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 45555555555555555
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's3333333333333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8989898989898989

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 133333333
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 21111111111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 144444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 333333333
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers88888888
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters117117117117117117117117
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies471471471471471471471471
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons3030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1131131131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 222222222
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 35656565656565656
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 45555555555555555
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's3333333333333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8989898989898989
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Joseph Lausten '18 Haley Weber '18
Mustang 1 Geoffrey Brelsford '18 James Kerman '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Dylan Rinker '16 Chandler Gifford '18
Mustang 2 Adrien Ziegler '18 [1-4]
Benjamin Blumenberg '18 [5-8]		 Thomas Niemisto '17 [1-4]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Brenyn Bierbaum '19 Anthony Absy '19
Mustang 3 Dallas Butler '17 Austin Ferramola '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Ari Zeen '17 Courtney Pacheco '17
49ers Brennan Lund '17 John Lisenby '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Levi Matsushima '17 Kelsey Trammell '17
Otters Liam Morris '19 Clint Walterman '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Jeff Barone '17 [1-8] Elizabeth Keenan '17 [1-6]
Jackson O'Reilly '18 [7-8]
Broncos Jacqueline Rasch Castillo '18 [1-4]
Matthew Kozal '17 [5-8]		 No Show [1-4]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Vincent Todosiev '19 Katheryn Bell '16
Bears 1 Nicolai Sponholtz '19 Claudia Calonje '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Eric Witte '17 Helena Bugacov '17
Bears 2 Cole Fargo '18 Audrey Mcnamara '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Alana Mcsween '17 Joseph Naro '18
Aggies Samuel Sara '18 Ken Zheng '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Samuel Rohrbach '17 Warren Ko '19
Tritons Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 Adriana Guetter '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Neil Stapleton '18 Maxwell Mckinney '18
Gauchos 1 No Show Paula Nascimento Choinski '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Will Dana '19 Claire Stivers '18
Gauchos 2 Cooper Weitz '19 Sarah Scoffone '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Tristram Craig '18 Bailey Clark '19
Gauchos 3 Kevin Leddy '17 Noah Congdon '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Cobi Allen '16 Robert Johnson '19
Gauchos 4 Lucas Ryder '16 Remy Margerum '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Annarose Leff '18 Matthew Parker '18
Banana Slug's Julian Weiswasser '19 Conrad Esch '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Ted Alley '16 Emily Spencer '20
Vikes Colin Bishop '20 Maria Isberg '20

Conditions — 10/17/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1014.6 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From WSW (243°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover63% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1014.6 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn · W 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Berkeley: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →