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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 29 27 56
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 63 34 97
3 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 45 53 98
4 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 58 57 115
5 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 77 45 122
6 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 59 65 124
7 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 32 100 132
8 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 81 60 141
9 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 48 100 148
10 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 102 79 181
11 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 86 137 223
12 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 128 99 227
13 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 142 104 246
14 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 103 151 254
15 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 118 142 260
16 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 145 124 269
17 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 156 122 278
18 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 152 132 284
19 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 152 159 311
20 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 141 198 339
21 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 186 173 359
22 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 181 193 374
23 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 209 172 381
24 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 228 187 415
25 Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 213 217 430
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 4 1 7 3 2 2 1 5 4 29 Matthew Hecht '16
Hope Modugno '18
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 2 4 3 1 5 7 5 2 3 32 Gregory Dair '15
Bianca Barnes '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 9 3 4 9 9 1 4 1 5 45 Chuck Eaton '17
Patrick Manuel '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 6 7 14 5 6 3 2 4 1 48 Kendall Sanson '15
Melissa Schem '18
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 5 5 2 13 9 10 11 2 58 Ryan Hopps '18
Elisabeth Mckee '17
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 5 9 2 4 1 8 8 8 14 59 Jeremy Hitchcock '17
Cole Brauer '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 2 1 10 11 11 11 3 11 63 Simone Staff '18
Rory Mcclish '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 10 6 11 12 12 4 6 9 7 77 Tyler Webb '15
Anna Rubino '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 8 12 9 17 4 12 3 6 10 81 David Cornella '17
Kathryn Cornella '16
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 13 8 6 8 8 15 7 12 9 86 Olivia Gibbons '17
Lauren Orloff '16
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 17 10 13 7 14 6 16 13 6 102 Luke Muller '18
Amelia Hardy '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 12 15 12 6 3 14 9 16 16 103 Nicolas Delfino '16
Grant Lin '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 18 21 16 14 7 5 15 10 12 118 Henry Keenan '18
Hani Azam '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 14 19 15 21 17 10 17 7 8 128 Francesca Cappellini '16
Jeff Barone '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 15 13 10 16 23 13 20 14 17 141 John Mcinerney '18
Brooke Scholl '16
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 7 16 21 13 16 19 13 15 22 142 Alex Verdoia '15
Altea Hines '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 20 11 18 11 15 18 12 19 21 145 Gabriel Monti '15
Laura Roudebush '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 11 14 8 19 19 20 21 20 20 152 Lucas Murray '15
Natasha Jarett '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 16 17 19 15 20 16 14 17 18 152 Saul Rosen '15
Lauren Rehbein '16
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 19 18 20 22 10 17 19 18 13 156 Samuel Heller '15 [1-6]
Nicholas Weis '15 [7-9]
Daniel Diaz '15 [1-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 23 23 17 20 18 21 18 DNF 15 181 Samuel Rohrbach '17
No Show
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 21 20 22 18 21 22 22 21 19 186 Max Nutkiewicz '15 [1-9]
Jordan Ross '15 [1-4]
Bleiz Larzul '18 [5-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 24 22 24 23 22 24 23 23 24 209 Kip Wanaselja '16
Conrad Esch '17
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 25 25 23 24 24 23 24 22 23 213 Amy Woo '16
Alice Geng '16
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 22 24 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 228 Levi Matsushima '17
Hannah Aisawa '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 3 1 6 2 2 6 1 1 5 27 John Coakley '16
Paul Chyz '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 7 3 3 1 6 2 5 4 3 34 Sterling Henken '18
Paige Tripp '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 5 10 7 4 1 3 3 10 2 45 Sunny Scarbrough '17
Nicholas Santos '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 6 5 5 9 3 4 9 5 7 53 Giacomo Paoletti '15
Katrina Berry '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 6 2 10 4 OCS 4 3 1 57 Corey Lynch '17
Eileen Welch '15
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 10 4 11 3 5 7 6 8 6 60 Grace Carrick '18
Kathryn Eberle '17
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 9 19 1 11 12 1 2 2 8 65 Mackenzie Cook '17
Taylor Morgan '16
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 12 2 8 15 10 5 11 12 4 79 Holly Tullo '17
Haley Fox '18
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 11 9 12 7 16 8 7 6 23 99 Francesca Dana '18
William Pollard '18
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 8 13 16 12 7 15 10 9 10 100 Jeffrey Tedmori '15
Kinsey Cohen '17
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 20 11 4 5 9 11 13 15 12 100 Olivia Gebelein '15
Nicole Bosetti '15
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 4 7 13 17 13 9 15 11 15 104 Ian Spilman '15
Emma Shaw '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 8 22 16 14 12 18 14 16 122 Brian Maclean '18
Philip Tagatac '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 14 15 18 13 8 14 14 19 9 124 Sarah Wyman '17
Justina Leo '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 13 12 10 6 17 OCS 17 13 18 132 Kyra Oakes '18
Ekaterina Goncharova '18
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 16 14 15 22 15 13 8 23 11 137 Peter Schmidt '18
Kylee Walterman '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 19 20 14 18 18 20 12 7 14 142 Daniel Anderson '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Cole Fargo '18 [3-4, 7-9]
Tyler Hogan '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Katie Hitchcock '16 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 22 22 9 20 11 10 21 16 20 151 Brett Farrell '17
Hayley Chong '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 23 16 17 8 20 18 20 20 17 159 No Show
Cynthia Shyvers '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 15 21 20 14 23 17 19 24 19 172 Shiron Drusinsky '18
Alexander Brocchini '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 17 18 19 19 21 16 23 18 22 173 Cullen Quine '18
Nellie Ponarul '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 18 23 21 DNS 22 21 22 21 13 187 Levi Matsushima '17
Hannah Aisawa '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 24 17 23 21 24 19 24 17 24 193 Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-9]
Alex Sinclair '16 [1-4, 9]
Ghanim Hableel '17 [5-8]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 21 24 24 23 25 22 16 22 21 198 Ari Zeen '17
Brennan Lund '17
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 25 25 25 24 19 23 DNF 25 25 217 Christopher Sue '15
Julee Felts '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2242424242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang444444444
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 1777777777
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 2888888888
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1353535353535353535
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2363636363636363636
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 1111111111111111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2117117117117117117117117117
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 1373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 2383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal121121121121121121121121121
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters262626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2271271271271271271271271271
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1303030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2295295295295295295295295295
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos313131313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1333333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2343434343434343434
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors323232323232323232

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2242424242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang444444444
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 1777777777
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 2888888888
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1353535353535353535
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2363636363636363636
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 1111111111111111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2117117117117117117117117117
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 1373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 2383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal121121121121121121121121121
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters262626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2271271271271271271271271271
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1303030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2295295295295295295295295295
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos313131313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1333333333333333333
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2343434343434343434
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors323232323232323232
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. David Cornella '17 Kathryn Cornella '16
Mustang Grace Carrick '18 Kathryn Eberle '17
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Ryan Hopps '18 Elisabeth Mckee '17
Keelhaulers Corey Lynch '17 Eileen Welch '15
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Gregory Dair '15 Bianca Barnes '15
Dolphins Jeffrey Tedmori '15 Kinsey Cohen '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Tyler Webb '15 Anna Rubino '16
49ers 1 Sunny Scarbrough '17 Nicholas Santos '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach John Mcinerney '18 Brooke Scholl '16
49ers 2 Ari Zeen '17 Brennan Lund '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Olivia Gibbons '17 Lauren Orloff '16
Otters 1 Peter Schmidt '18 Kylee Walterman '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Levi Matsushima '17 Hannah Aisawa '17
Otters 2 Levi Matsushima '17 Hannah Aisawa '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Francesca Cappellini '16 Jeff Barone '17
Broncos Francesca Dana '18 William Pollard '18
Stanford University Stanford University Luke Muller '18 Amelia Hardy '18
Cardinal Holly Tullo '17 Haley Fox '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Saul Rosen '15 Lauren Rehbein '16
Bears 1 Kyra Oakes '18 Ekaterina Goncharova '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Henry Keenan '18 Hani Azam '17
Bears 2 Daniel Anderson '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Cole Fargo '18 [3-4, 7-9]		 Tyler Hogan '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Katie Hitchcock '16 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Lucas Murray '15 Natasha Jarett '14
Aggies No Show Cynthia Shyvers '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Samuel Heller '15 [1-6]
Nicholas Weis '15 [7-9]		 Daniel Diaz '15 [1-6]
Anteaters Brian Maclean '18 Philip Tagatac '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Gabriel Monti '15 Laura Roudebush '18
Bruins 1 Sarah Wyman '17 Justina Leo '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Max Nutkiewicz '15 [1-9] Jordan Ross '15 [1-4]
Bleiz Larzul '18 [5-9]
Bruins 2 Cullen Quine '18 Nellie Ponarul '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 Grant Lin '17
Tritons 1 Brett Farrell '17 Hayley Chong '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Samuel Rohrbach '17 No Show
Tritons 2 Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-9] Alex Sinclair '16 [1-4, 9]
Ghanim Hableel '17 [5-8]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Simone Staff '18 Rory Mcclish '18
Gauchos Sterling Henken '18 Paige Tripp '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Alex Verdoia '15 Altea Hines '16
Banana Slug's 1 Ian Spilman '15 Emma Shaw '14
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Kip Wanaselja '16 Conrad Esch '17
Banana Slug's 2 Shiron Drusinsky '18 Alexander Brocchini '17
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Chuck Eaton '17 Patrick Manuel '16
Rainbows 1 Giacomo Paoletti '15 Katrina Berry '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Jeremy Hitchcock '17 Cole Brauer '17
Rainbows 2 Mackenzie Cook '17 Taylor Morgan '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Matthew Hecht '16 Hope Modugno '18
Trojans 1 John Coakley '16 Paul Chyz '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Kendall Sanson '15 Melissa Schem '18
Trojans 2 Olivia Gebelein '15 Nicole Bosetti '15
Westmont College Westmont College Amy Woo '16 Alice Geng '16
Warriors Christopher Sue '15 Julee Felts '15

Conditions — 03/28/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From SSW (208°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1016.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →